Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$296

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 09-25 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

67% 56% +$182

Other

29% 25% -$308

Tech

3% 50% -$170

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$2.0K	1,106	1,106	+0	Yes	+$208	04-13 06:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,209	1,209	+0	No	+$145	04-22 08:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$1.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	Yes	-$30	03-23 11:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$909	2,110	2,110	+0	Yes	-$64	04-07 09:17
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	6	$908	800	800	+0	Yes	+$4	04-07 09:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	4	$895	3,644	3,644	+0	open	—	09-25 15:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$613	364	364	+0	No	+$111	04-22 08:11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$576	598	225	+373	Yes	+$139	02-27 14:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	1	$400	986	0	+986	No	+$586	05-22 20:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$292	501	501	+0	Yes	-$51	02-27 14:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$267	774	774	+0	No	+$67	03-23 11:41
will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	2	$222	144	144	+0	Yes	+$24	02-12 12:01
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$208	196	196	+0	Yes	+$8	03-23 11:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$200	2,774	0	+2,774	No	-$200	05-12 09:23
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	1	$200	441	0	+441	Yes	-$200	05-03 06:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$200	476	0	+476	No	-$200	05-03 06:34
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$200	295	0	+295	No	-$200	05-03 06:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$200	951	0	+951	Yes	-$200	03-06 09:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$194	1,209	0	+1,209	Yes	-$194	06-05 16:51
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$139	1,176	0	+1,176	No	-$139	05-22 20:22
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	5	$138	129	129	+0	Yes	+$86	04-07 22:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$99	393	393	+0	No	-$21	03-23 12:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$90	416	0	+416	Yes	-$90	03-06 05:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$70	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	04-07 09:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$61	82	82	+0	Yes	+$43	03-23 11:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$50	625	0	+625	No	-$50	05-22 20:15
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	5	$49	1,306	0	+1,306	No	-$49	06-05 17:02
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	6	$39	1,712	0	+1,712	No	-$39	06-05 17:02
will israel strike lebanon on march 9 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-06 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 15:46:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,300	5¢	$165	0xa7ec87…
07-10 08:24:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	344	11¢	$38	0x843ee2…
06-12 19:36:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,368	19¢	$260	0x4fe931…
06-05 17:02:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x2d276f…
06-05 17:02:12	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	418	4¢	$16	0x767821…
06-05 17:02:07	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x773ef1…
06-05 17:01:42	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	900	2¢	$22	0xfe6d10…
06-05 17:00:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xd5daaf…
06-05 17:00:51	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xce1249…
06-05 17:00:12	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	285	4¢	$11	0x1e75f8…
06-05 16:59:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcf8350…
06-05 16:59:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	481	4¢	$19	0x08c848…
06-05 16:57:19	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xe027f2…
06-05 16:56:45	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$2	0xdcc19b…
06-05 16:51:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	1,209	16¢	$194	0x223ea8…
06-05 16:40:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,276	19¢	$432	0x2aafe2…
05-22 20:22:33	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,176	12¢	$139	0x09c309…
05-22 20:17:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	986	41¢	$400	0xa59a0e…
05-22 20:15:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x285c26…
05-12 09:23:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,774	7¢	$200	0x64bbf6…
05-03 06:50:32	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	295	68¢	$200	0x48a6be…
05-03 06:48:00	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	441	45¢	$200	0xccdd12…
05-03 06:34:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x3a8e63…
04-22 08:13:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,209	85¢	$1,027	0xbb01f6…
04-22 08:11:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	364	100¢	$362	0xa0ee8e…
04-17 18:02:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	364	69¢	$251	0x72c522…
04-14 09:26:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,209	73¢	$882	0x958987…
04-13 06:13:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1,106	99¢	$1,092	0x2bc1ac…
04-12 07:46:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	221	80¢	$177	0xbd604d…
04-12 07:36:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	885	80¢	$708	0xab68b6…
04-07 22:54:27	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	SELL	129	87¢	$112	0xedc3bb…
04-07 09:34:59	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	57¢	$228	0x6f37f2…
04-07 09:34:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	57¢	$228	0xf44ee8…
04-07 09:28:23	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0xff0fc7…
04-07 09:28:11	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0b5579…
04-07 09:27:13	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9bd8b3…
04-07 09:26:53	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x49098f…
04-07 09:20:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	944	4¢	$38	0x5dedf6…
04-07 09:19:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xc1e15c…
04-07 09:19:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8bef6e…
04-07 09:17:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xc6e37c…
04-07 09:17:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	264	18¢	$47	0x4cde7b…
04-06 12:07:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	528	17¢	$90	0x1f992f…
04-06 11:58:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	264	16¢	$42	0xcd2f22…
04-05 17:47:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x1c13d1…
04-05 17:45:45	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x11b899…
04-05 17:44:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x117a0c…
03-31 16:45:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	629	23¢	$145	0x081703…
03-31 16:45:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x65df29…
03-31 16:44:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0xbfac06…
03-31 16:44:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x712dad…
03-29 10:44:02	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x8e6783…
03-29 10:43:36	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x580f7b…
03-29 10:41:14	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x6dc701…
03-29 10:40:42	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	110	15¢	$17	0x07e522…
03-25 15:16:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	31¢	$310	0x1377de…
03-23 12:25:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	393	10¢	$39	0x171da5…
03-23 11:56:35	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	196	55¢	$108	0x35cf8d…
03-23 11:46:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x74c1b2…
03-23 11:44:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,032	48¢	$493	0x34a8fc…
03-23 11:41:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	774	22¢	$167	0xaafbda…
03-23 11:23:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	82	64¢	$52	0x5e6eeb…
03-16 15:50:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	293	17¢	$50	0x82df5d…
03-16 15:48:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xa7a518…
03-16 15:48:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x54998b…
03-15 14:23:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0x49d22c…
03-15 14:21:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xecd1c8…
03-15 14:21:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xe26d74…
03-15 14:21:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x1806c5…
03-06 09:02:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xaa3dc1…
03-06 09:00:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x190fb8…
03-06 05:38:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	416	22¢	$90	0xb5a620…
03-06 05:33:31	will israel strike lebanon on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb57d99…
03-01 23:27:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	611	61¢	$373	0x6eae47…
02-27 14:01:37	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	82¢	$120	0xe4f591…
02-27 14:01:19	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	501	24¢	$120	0x50e987…
02-18 13:53:48	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	501	34¢	$171	0x2372ac…
02-18 13:50:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	76¢	$171	0x5185fa…
02-17 19:54:53	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	64¢	$161	0x7ec601…
02-12 12:06:59	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	62¢	$123	0x9504cd…
02-12 12:01:45	will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	Yes	SELL	144	85¢	$123	0xda3222…
01-31 20:58:48	will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	Yes	BUY	144	69¢	$99	0x4a34ce…