Costly-Preparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$122

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$7	13	+13	Up	+$6	05-05 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Up	+$5	05-05 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$6	12	+12	Down	$-6	05-05 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$6	12	+12	Up	+$6	05-05 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Up	+$5	05-07 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Down	$-6	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Up	+$5	05-05 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Down	$-6	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-08 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-06 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-08 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	open	—	05-08 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Up	$-4	05-08 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Down	+$5	05-06 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	$-4	05-06 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	$-4	05-08 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	$-4	05-08 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	$-4	05-06 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	$-3	05-08 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-07 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-08 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-08 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-06 18:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x23e335…
05-08 17:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x837c6c…
05-08 17:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x209a61…
05-08 04:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe2c501…
05-08 04:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5bace9…
05-08 03:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbf85e6…
05-08 02:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x405b53…
05-08 02:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xa334c9…
05-08 01:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xdf475e…
05-08 00:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x4a4792…
05-07 16:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x70ef29…
05-07 00:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xefcf37…
05-06 18:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x853bf4…
05-06 16:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xe9c32b…
05-06 16:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x084ad1…
05-06 15:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb0ea35…
05-06 14:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x666e8a…
05-06 00:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xbf6c15…
05-05 19:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2f5ed0…
05-05 18:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x9d47e8…
05-05 18:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xa3793c…
05-05 17:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xee4804…
05-05 17:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x4b306f…
05-05 16:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x00e617…
05-05 16:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x87bc31…
05-05 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xde53bb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$3.03K	139	05-08 18:22
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	23	$566	123	05-08 18:22
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$10.6K	103	05-08 18:22
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	21	$1.31K	121	05-08 18:22
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	20	$1.41K	84	05-08 18:22
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	20	$1.25K	85	05-08 18:22
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	19	$1.58K	279	05-08 18:22
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	19	$541	84	05-08 18:22