Serious-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

145

1,064 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$185

$1.54K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 66% +$16

Other

5% 59% -$16

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 20:45 UTC	1	$36	39	0	+39	Down	+$3	01-05 20:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 09:00 UTC	1	$35	38	0	+38	Up	+$3	01-18 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 23:30 UTC	4	$29	27	12	+15	Up	+$4	01-02 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:00 UTC	3	$24	36	0	+36	Up	+$12	01-24 13:14
bitcoin up or down january 14 10am et	7	$21	21	12	+9	Up	+$4	01-14 15:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-12 09:00 UTC	5	$18	21	12	+9	Up	-$4	01-12 12:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 23:00 UTC	4	$17	24	0	+24	Down	-$1	01-02 23:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 20:30 UTC	4	$16	21	21	+0	Down	-$4	01-22 20:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 20:00 UTC	4	$15	29	0	+29	Up	-$3	01-02 20:14
bitcoin up or down january 5 3pm et	5	$15	26	4	+22	Down	-$2	01-05 20:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 12:30 UTC	5	$15	16	5	+11	Down	+$3	01-26 12:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 01:15 UTC	2	$14	40	0	+40	Up	+$26	01-05 01:28
bitcoin up or down january 2 12pm et	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	-$2	01-02 18:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 14:45 UTC	6	$14	17	0	+17	Down	-$4	06-23 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 00:15 UTC	6	$13	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	01-03 00:24
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	2	$11	15	0	+15	Over	-$6	06-23 18:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	3	$11	10	5	+5	Up	-$4	02-25 12:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 08:00 UTC	4	$10	15	15	+0	Down	-$6	01-23 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 08:45 UTC	10	$10	15	7	+8	Down	+$2	06-25 08:57
bitcoin up or down january 2 9am et	6	$10	35	35	+0	Up	$0	01-02 14:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-21 21:00 UTC	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	01-22 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 14:30 UTC	6	$9	13	0	+13	Down	-$1	06-23 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	7	$9	17	0	+17	Down	$0	05-06 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	9	$9	14	6	+7	Up	-$8	11-02 10:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-22 13:00 UTC	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	01-22 15:48
bitcoin up or down january 6 9am et	4	$9	13	2	+11	Up	$0	01-06 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$8	10	5	+5	Up	-$2	10-19 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 16:15 UTC	4	$8	10	2	+8	Down	+$0	07-24 16:27
bitcoin up or down january 22 1pm et	4	$8	21	0	+21	Down	-$3	01-22 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 18:45 UTC	4	$8	11	0	+11	Up	-$1	06-24 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 10:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x484f4c…
11-02 10:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x359b52…
11-02 10:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x00a87d…
11-02 10:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6c6812…
11-02 10:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x47ec98…
11-02 10:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x01c8e1…
11-02 10:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa26d4f…
11-02 10:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9d4758…
11-02 10:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe302d4…
11-02 10:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x86a022…
11-02 10:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9f4c86…
11-02 10:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1dd4ae…
11-02 10:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x787990…
10-30 13:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xccc48a…
10-30 08:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x61750e…
10-29 22:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xf443c0…
10-29 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x22e137…
10-29 19:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x21e093…
10-29 17:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x57ff13…
10-27 15:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x2d5f4f…
10-27 15:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x52d066…
10-27 15:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x0e225e…
10-27 15:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x495d5f…
10-27 15:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x97fede…
10-27 15:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x81f2be…
10-27 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xa74411…
10-27 15:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3910a2…
10-27 12:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xae527b…
10-27 12:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2a9b28…
10-27 07:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6117c1…
10-26 01:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3d63ff…
10-26 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5bf9f5…
10-26 01:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x0f32ca…
10-26 01:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$0	0xb7c94c…
10-26 01:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8546a5…
10-26 01:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x575ac2…
10-26 01:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc51995…
10-24 15:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xac9965…
10-24 15:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x09811f…
10-24 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x32df2a…
10-24 09:08:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13c95b…
10-24 09:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcc70a9…
10-24 08:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfaec5c…
10-22 11:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4e72d7…
10-22 11:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2992a0…
10-21 11:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbf799a…
10-21 08:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa8a931…
10-21 08:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x43e389…
10-21 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xef3399…
10-21 08:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd30692…
10-21 08:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc6c23f…
10-21 08:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb17925…
10-20 18:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4ea05b…
10-20 18:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf07bc2…
10-20 13:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbc764e…
10-20 13:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a38ba…
10-20 13:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x39034f…
10-20 09:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x01d885…
10-20 09:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe06910…
10-20 08:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xa8fff5…
10-20 08:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x519c5f…
10-20 08:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6e9d46…
10-20 06:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x435240…
10-20 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x495384…
10-19 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x935f64…
10-19 15:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8e8ed7…
10-19 15:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd78ceb…
10-19 15:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x697ba0…
10-19 15:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd354ec…
10-19 14:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x771d0a…
10-19 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8211b6…
10-19 08:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xf424e5…
10-19 08:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x744240…
10-19 08:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xddb5bf…
10-19 08:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7c0356…
10-19 07:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x77c9bf…
10-19 07:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa8ba6c…
10-19 07:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x26caba…
10-19 07:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8c6cd1…
10-19 07:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3a1af3…
10-19 07:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6f331a…
10-19 06:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x0eec3e…
10-19 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe77a7f…
10-19 06:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x172738…
10-19 06:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xde4ac1…
10-19 06:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8f3b1a…
10-19 06:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x61ad5e…
10-18 20:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x90de7b…
10-18 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8d70e5…
10-18 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5159fa…
10-18 19:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x239fbb…
10-18 19:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd600ba…
10-18 19:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x00efea…
10-03 08:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8877d1…
10-03 07:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x463bb6…
10-03 07:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb16118…
10-02 19:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xf7f5bd…
10-02 19:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x80d70e…
10-02 19:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x752f21…
10-02 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x7d7922…