Wet-Monk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$455

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

809

Trades

1,400

lifetime

Volume

$5.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-02 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

69% 61% -$281

Crypto

15% 77% -$118

Politics

13% 83% -$34

Sports

2% 63% -$25

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+8	$8	88¢	$7	$0	11-02 05:03
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	+7	$6	94¢	$7	+$0	11-02 02:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	No	+6	$6	98¢	$6	+$0	11-02 05:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	06-30 04:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC	15	$103	152	47	+105	Up	-$56	03-23 16:05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	5	$101	102	102	+0	No	+$1	07-29 20:54
will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	11	$74	54	24	+30	No	$0	03-29 20:20
will trump post impeach or impeachment on truth social this week	6	$57	30	30	+0	No	-$1	03-29 17:40
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	8	$49	42	23	+19	No	-$11	03-30 19:21
will trump say khamenei this week march 29	5	$42	24	24	+0	No	-$5	03-29 17:40
will trump say eat our lunch this week march 29	6	$40	30	12	+18	No	+$0	03-29 16:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 30	7	$39	42	0	+42	Yes	+$3	03-30 11:52
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	4	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	04-04 08:50
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	4	$33	18	18	+0	No	-$1	03-29 10:53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	5	$25	67	0	+67	No	-$25	04-28 18:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$24	20	8	+12	Yes	+$3	03-30 16:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 23?	4	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-24 00:00
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-23 20:38
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by 12–16%?	1	$19	53	0	+53	No	-$19	07-30 07:18
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	2	$18	11	11	+0	Phantom	+$4	11-01 13:18
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 22?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-22 21:57
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	3	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	10-23 00:22
Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	10-25 04:06
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 30c	4	$17	21	21	+0	Yes	-$1	03-29 10:53
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 29 2026 31c	4	$17	53	53	+0	No	-$3	03-29 10:53
lol al tes 2026 03 30	3	$17	18	0	+18	Anyone's Legend	+$1	03-30 11:51
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	3	$17	18	12	+6	Yes	+$2	03-29 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$1	11-01 15:43
will kai or speed be eliminated by drowning 20260807142948635	1	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	-$16	08-08 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 1?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$2	11-01 04:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 29?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-29 13:24
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-30 21:29
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	2	$15	10	10	+0	Metizport	+$2	11-01 13:02
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group C	2	$15	15	15	+0	Iberian Soul	+$1	10-29 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x61c647…
11-02 05:34:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x02b059…
11-02 05:03:51	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x500a77…
11-02 05:03:49	Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x457199…
11-02 02:09:10	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xcb596e…
11-02 00:04:19	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x74c588…
11-02 00:01:19	Will Angie Nixon underperform Kamala in Florida?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x722afa…
11-01 23:47:43	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x19605b…
11-01 19:34:22	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xfd45b4…
11-01 19:08:40	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x32d2ed…
11-01 15:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x0ace84…
11-01 13:18:24	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	Phantom	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3dc190…
11-01 13:02:28	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x56aa10…
11-01 12:53:09	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6e6e03…
11-01 12:51:03	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	Phantom	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x090c62…
11-01 06:59:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x34de62…
11-01 06:59:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb0132…
11-01 06:23:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd9008d…
11-01 06:23:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1ace30…
11-01 05:01:16	Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x928546…
11-01 04:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd9a5a3…
11-01 03:59:37	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd629de…
11-01 03:59:37	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x710508…
11-01 03:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x7b5ae2…
11-01 02:44:19	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe912fa…
11-01 01:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x965404…
10-31 21:40:22	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x40bef6…
10-31 20:58:28	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x846ce4…
10-31 20:02:46	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3c395c…
10-31 20:02:39	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c0ca7…
10-31 18:39:55	Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xdbbabf…
10-31 17:43:48	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa7c22…
10-31 17:27:49	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc02d5d…
10-31 16:58:58	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5d1741…
10-31 16:58:57	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf40ba3…
10-31 16:58:57	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd55fc0…
10-31 16:58:55	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2501fc…
10-31 16:02:27	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x195163…
10-31 15:59:58	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x0bd620…
10-31 15:40:15	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x35332c…
10-31 14:44:49	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4a46d9…
10-31 08:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe3cb2f…
10-31 05:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x411cfa…
10-31 05:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x117df2…
10-31 04:36:43	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x86b8f8…
10-31 04:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0802cb…
10-31 04:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe84728…
10-31 04:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5db8b8…
10-30 21:29:31	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeeb69b…
10-30 21:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa857cc…
10-30 20:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x92e988…
10-30 19:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x797b59…
10-30 17:54:09	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x168f41…
10-30 17:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd1f11b…
10-30 16:34:25	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf71d9a…
10-30 15:58:19	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ff106…
10-30 15:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9a46e6…
10-30 15:06:58	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbb9a8b…
10-30 14:59:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6d47dd…
10-30 14:10:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0c333f…
10-30 14:02:00	Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4bc8dd…
10-30 14:01:39	Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x560156…
10-30 14:01:34	Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe68528…
10-30 13:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5123f1…
10-30 13:39:52	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6b5dd8…
10-30 13:33:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3d798c…
10-30 05:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xefc2c2…
10-30 05:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8c9fce…
10-30 04:19:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3cd169…
10-30 04:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3c606b…
10-30 04:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x982eb6…
10-30 04:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfe07de…
10-30 03:58:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xea7d9f…
10-30 03:50:21	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf117f2…
10-30 03:48:22	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1d2df4…
10-30 03:30:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3a0f1c…
10-30 02:41:22	Will XRP dip to $1.20 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4e4d78…
10-30 02:37:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0928c8…
10-30 00:48:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x40313e…
10-29 23:39:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaf514e…
10-29 23:34:09	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbbb9e2…
10-29 23:34:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x4a0fce…
10-29 21:36:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd89022…
10-29 21:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x549dde…
10-29 21:24:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a44ce…
10-29 20:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd5664f…
10-29 20:19:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc1405d…
10-29 19:53:06	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group C	TYLOO	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xfb6049…
10-29 19:04:10	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group C	TYLOO	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1bac41…
10-29 19:01:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d37f3…
10-29 17:45:10	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaff4a3…
10-29 17:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe1ba06…
10-29 17:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0153f0…
10-29 16:02:19	Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6aa138…
10-29 16:02:16	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbbe41a…
10-29 15:54:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x740d64…
10-29 14:40:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xbef44c…
10-29 13:38:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x848e1b…
10-29 13:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2c9a60…
10-29 13:17:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x89f25d…