Same-Abrogation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,602 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$89

$3.12K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-28 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 70% -$121

Other

1% 11% -$7

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	Yes		+449	$6	0¢	$1	-$5	07-18 21:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$44	60	20	+40	Up	-$26	05-24 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$14	13	8	+5	Down	-$2	07-21 08:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 16:30 UTC	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	07-21 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$12	20	0	+20	Down	-$2	05-24 11:19
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	15	$11	797	349	+449	open	—	07-18 21:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:15 UTC	5	$11	25	0	+25	Down	-$6	06-06 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$11	20	0	+20	Down	-$1	05-23 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$10	30	0	+30	Up	+$10	05-24 11:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:35 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	07-21 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	07-19 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-23 17:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 19:30 UTC	2	$9	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	07-21 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	3	$9	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-31 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$9	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	05-23 17:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:50 UTC	2	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	07-21 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$9	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	05-23 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$9	21	0	+21	Down	-$9	05-24 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$9	18	0	+18	Up	-$1	05-23 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$9	19	0	+19	Up	+$0	07-21 19:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	05-24 05:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:30 UTC	3	$8	10	5	+5	Up	+$4	06-06 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:00 UTC	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	-$8	07-19 17:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	07-21 21:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	2	$8	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	07-21 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$2	05-23 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$2	05-23 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 16:40 UTC	2	$8	17	0	+17	Down	+$1	06-14 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$8	20	0	+20	Down	+$2	05-31 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	Up	+$5	05-24 16:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:10 UTC	2	$8	11	11	+0	Down	-$2	07-21 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x08edfb…
10-28 16:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd12600…
10-28 16:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb823d6…
10-28 16:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x383e07…
10-28 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x82bd6d…
10-24 15:58:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x233e1d…
10-24 15:43:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x66ff7d…
10-24 14:41:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x97daff…
10-24 14:41:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb34b0f…
10-24 13:14:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x487168…
10-24 13:07:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x66c679…
10-24 13:07:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa968e1…
10-24 09:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1035ed…
10-24 09:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x784d0d…
10-24 09:37:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdfbabd…
10-24 09:36:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x359289…
10-23 17:22:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x674a38…
10-23 17:21:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x464fd2…
10-23 17:21:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6c2608…
10-23 16:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8b52b8…
10-23 16:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf72617…
10-23 16:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5afb14…
10-23 16:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x35b720…
10-23 16:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x61f2aa…
10-23 16:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xe99083…
10-23 16:08:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0d7f58…
10-23 16:06:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1d1452…
10-23 16:02:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xf239ae…
10-23 16:02:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0718ac…
10-23 16:02:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xb63475…
10-23 15:59:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xbbd31f…
10-23 15:32:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xae8454…
10-23 15:32:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x02e12a…
10-23 11:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1000e0…
10-23 11:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x451647…
10-23 11:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x248417…
10-23 11:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8be69a…
10-23 11:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2ac1a4…
10-23 10:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2c3c0e…
10-23 10:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x338637…
10-23 09:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x26ae82…
10-23 09:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfd6310…
10-23 09:17:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa73a4d…
10-23 09:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe40abd…
10-23 09:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe010a7…
10-23 09:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd64f82…
10-23 09:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x447aec…
10-23 09:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x0df30d…
10-23 08:52:23	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xba4f07…
10-22 17:22:00	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0c034f…
10-22 17:10:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x914c1a…
10-22 17:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x717f53…
10-22 16:56:02	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	955	0¢	$1	0x41ecbf…
10-22 16:56:02	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x12fc49…
10-10 09:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x02391f…
10-10 09:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x73ee0b…
09-19 14:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe2560e…
09-19 14:24:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdb9088…
09-19 14:23:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2e5110…
09-19 14:21:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x87b7b3…
09-19 14:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9f4050…
09-06 15:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x286c92…
09-06 10:59:00	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x52642c…
09-06 10:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc7638e…
09-05 07:57:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3de868…
09-05 07:56:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x67648e…
09-05 07:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc4b164…
09-03 07:24:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xef4913…
09-03 07:21:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x587e9f…
09-02 21:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x005cca…
09-02 20:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2bb605…
09-02 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xda983c…
09-02 19:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x94ee60…
09-02 19:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb8dbc8…
09-02 19:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb52f88…
09-02 19:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0fba0d…
09-02 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x74a17e…
09-02 19:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb435ad…
09-02 19:24:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1b3f38…
09-02 19:22:15	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x584f3e…
09-02 19:17:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1655ae…
09-02 19:16:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb122cd…
09-02 17:41:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x555dce…
09-02 17:40:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x75d7a8…
09-02 17:39:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x685dd5…
09-02 17:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x117e1c…
09-02 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaa052c…
09-02 17:31:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3f24d1…
09-02 09:14:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ab98a…
09-02 09:13:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd80f49…
09-02 06:03:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0f6102…
09-02 06:00:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbb4ecf…
09-02 05:57:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ca2cb…
09-02 05:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x42faf2…
09-02 05:46:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf4b232…
09-01 22:32:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1277dd…
09-01 22:31:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd65df2…
09-01 21:52:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x86c990…
09-01 21:50:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2db5f7…
09-01 21:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x769c0a…