Scrawny-Hovel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$228

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

533

Trades

1,090

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-28 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 59% -$159

Other

16% 69% +$1

Sports

13% 68% +$293

Politics

12% 53% +$92

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 13:00 UTC	15	$1.1K	666	663	+3	Up	+$36	03-28 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:30 UTC	12	$911	516	515	+1	Down	+$7	03-28 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 03:45 UTC	11	$764	440	438	+2	Down	+$10	03-29 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 03:30 UTC	4	$682	353	353	+0	Down	+$17	03-29 03:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 03:15 UTC	2	$664	333	333	+0	Up	+$1	03-29 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 13:15 UTC	8	$603	359	358	+1	Down	+$2	03-28 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:45 UTC	11	$483	291	290	+1	Up	+$25	03-28 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:15 UTC	4	$430	233	232	+0	Up	+$10	03-28 12:29
will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	3	$311	162	162	+0	No	+$11	03-29 21:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-24 12:00 UTC	28	$304	936	764	+172	Down	-$76	03-24 15:46
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	9	$272	240	240	+0	Yes	-$80	04-25 12:41
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC	8	$263	209	207	+3	Up	+$12	03-23 18:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-29 00:00 UTC	11	$254	252	250	+2	Up	+$25	03-29 03:25
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 11am et	2	$234	118	118	+0	Down	+$2	03-23 16:11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$220	273	0	+273	Yes	+$53	02-02 14:39
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	4	$217	327	0	+327	Yes	+$111	02-28 16:31
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	2	$184	100	100	+0	No	-$3	03-19 14:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC	17	$173	368	110	+258	Down	-$39	03-22 19:54
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 2pm et	11	$171	212	108	+104	Down	+$6	04-03 18:59
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$170	108	108	+0	Yes	+$43	04-25 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:45 UTC	2	$157	80	80	+0	Down	+$2	04-03 18:51
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	9	$157	158	117	+41	No	-$52	03-16 15:33
will silver si hit low 60 by end of march	4	$147	112	74	+37	No	-$26	03-25 05:45
will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	4	$146	90	90	+0	Yes	+$31	03-20 02:28
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	3	$134	70	70	+0	Yes	+$2	04-25 12:41
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	20	$113	229	226	+2	Down	-$37	03-27 12:04
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	2	$101	53	53	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 12:41
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$96	64	64	+0	No	-$4	04-25 12:41
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	3	$92	55	55	+0	No	-$5	03-19 14:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 16:45 UTC	5	$89	98	50	+47	Down	+$10	03-21 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 15:30:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x4ddb78…
05-28 13:10:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2d20fb…
05-28 13:10:02	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x7bb666…
05-23 08:20:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x63cf25…
05-23 08:20:19	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc8856d…
05-23 08:19:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x8a1d90…
05-22 13:06:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x2a898f…
05-22 13:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x3968f1…
05-22 13:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf9d925…
05-22 12:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x10909c…
05-22 12:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8f47b7…
05-22 12:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3c9b1e…
05-22 12:52:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x023c08…
04-25 12:41:02	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa9a18c…
04-25 12:41:02	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xa2c7e3…
04-25 12:41:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x82f1e3…
04-25 12:41:02	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x450aef…
04-25 12:41:00	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xe9c2e6…
04-25 12:41:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xdbefef…
04-25 12:41:00	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	64	71¢	$46	0xbd4c22…
04-25 12:41:00	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	Yes	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xaf1d45…
04-25 12:41:00	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xa9b313…
04-25 12:41:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0xa7439b…
04-25 12:41:00	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0xa6cf18…
04-25 12:41:00	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x9a5cb6…
04-25 12:41:00	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x3d2855…
04-25 12:41:00	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	53	95¢	$51	0x01e4f2…
04-22 14:32:38	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x1c841b…
04-22 14:16:46	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x1375ce…
04-22 14:15:48	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x342313…
04-22 14:15:32	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x209f49…
04-21 22:11:50	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x4bbfd4…
04-21 13:32:50	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3a7138…
04-21 13:32:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf12d07…
04-21 13:18:58	Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Multan Sultans	Multan Sultans	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xb88c91…
04-21 13:14:24	Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovic	Bekkhan Atlangeriev	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8f5db6…
04-20 08:00:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x8d756b…
04-20 07:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x31d626…
04-19 05:49:08	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x6e2973…
04-19 04:04:52	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x304bc9…
04-19 02:28:04	KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc6ae9f…
04-19 02:03:48	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	Yes	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0xcaa281…
04-13 01:26:19	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0xa2a77a…
04-13 01:26:07	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	69	39¢	$27	0xe173dd…
04-13 01:25:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x4070ad…
04-13 01:25:33	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	49	40¢	$20	0x3dddaf…
04-13 01:25:15	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	109	41¢	$44	0x5c3bc4…
04-11 21:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d9778…
04-11 21:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd42188…
04-06 16:59:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9d061b…
04-06 16:57:03	atp vachero cerund 2026 04 06	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8c636d…
04-06 16:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xe8d8a7…
04-06 16:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8d6493…
04-06 16:39:57	rut up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8a9bd6…
04-06 15:54:09	coin up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe819e4…
04-06 15:52:53	will xagusd dip to 67 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x96a853…
04-06 15:52:23	will xagusd dip to 67 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x557108…
04-05 17:34:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x3f8b87…
04-05 17:34:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x6896b8…
04-05 17:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfb3669…
04-05 17:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfefa26…
04-05 17:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x393022…
04-05 17:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x017a26…
04-05 02:54:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0xe3a099…
04-05 02:49:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x020138…
04-05 02:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x4b735e…
04-05 02:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x5327a7…
04-05 02:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xacb1b1…
04-05 02:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xc8eb20…
04-05 02:14:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x240c09…
04-05 02:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x60c116…
04-05 02:09:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x741573…
04-05 02:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x16c074…
04-05 02:02:29	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xbc94cd…
04-05 02:01:43	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xe5f865…
04-05 01:59:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x1ce04c…
04-05 01:55:31	highest temperature in atlanta on april 5 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x63e9c9…
04-04 14:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x951935…
04-04 14:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	41	85¢	$34	0xae7962…
04-04 14:31:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x508d97…
04-04 14:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x6f1d21…
04-04 14:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x21e0bf…
04-04 14:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x2776bc…
04-04 14:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xda1a7e…
04-04 14:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x6508e6…
04-04 13:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x2c0171…
04-04 12:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x407346…
04-04 12:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x877c5b…
04-04 11:49:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x469024…
04-04 11:34:15	crint nam omn 2026 04 04	Namibia	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x6927a9…
04-04 11:33:01	nba det orl 2026 04 06	Pistons	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x353f1e…
04-04 11:32:51	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xf414b9…
04-04 11:31:59	nba mil det 2026 04 08	Pistons	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xf264d4…
04-04 00:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x503c47…
04-04 00:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0ada69…
04-04 00:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8a0413…
04-04 00:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x2be5c5…
04-04 00:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5874f1…
04-04 00:41:33	highest temperature in atlanta on april 5 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe60478…
04-04 00:34:29	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xbc21a5…