True-Concert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

134

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 26% -$12

Other

16% 27% -$71

Politics

7% 44% -$17

Tech

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		-31	-$5	8¢	$-2	+$3	10-24 00:31
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		-62	-$2	2¢	$-1	+$1	10-27 08:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$92	96	96	+0	Up	+$62	11-03 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	13	$91	673	118	+556	Down	+$1	11-03 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$52	52	52	+0	Up	+$28	11-03 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$52	81	43	+38	Down	-$8	10-27 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$51	93	38	+56	Up	+$1	10-27 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$51	53	53	+0	Up	+$39	11-03 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	6	$51	206	106	+100	Up	+$29	11-07 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$40	68	33	+34	Down	-$8	10-27 19:53
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$35	56	56	+0	Yes	-$5	10-23 13:56
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$34	154	154	+0	open	—	10-23 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$33	273	23	+250	Down	-$1	11-03 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	7	$33	32	32	+0	Down	+$11	11-05 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	10	$32	95	40	+56	Down	+$3	11-07 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$31	82	46	+36	Down	-$3	11-05 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$18	10-24 00:54
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	01-22 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$26	140	40	+100	Down	-$2	10-27 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	7	$25	100	20	+80	Up	+$3	10-24 01:34
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$23	19	19	+0	Yes	+$13	01-22 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	10	$23	274	24	+250	Up	-$1	11-07 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$22	313	113	+200	Down	+$10	10-24 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$22	392	27	+365	Up	-$2	10-24 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	6	$21	142	22	+120	Up	-$5	11-03 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	8	$20	252	26	+226	Down	-$4	11-05 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$20	186	20	+167	Up	+$4	11-08 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:15 UTC	3	$19	22	13	+8	Down	-$1	03-12 00:29
elon musk 48h tweets january 1 january 3 140plus	2	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	01-03 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$18	51	16	+36	Up	$0	11-07 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$18	18	18	+0	Down	-$2	10-27 20:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$17	25	25	+0	No	-$3	10-24 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 03:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe8546f…
11-08 03:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2431f2…
11-08 03:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x44762c…
11-08 03:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x961b84…
11-08 03:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x8f4077…
11-08 03:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x15a670…
11-08 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa71a5d…
11-08 03:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4fe0aa…
11-08 02:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8fbc15…
11-07 23:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xbf9383…
11-07 23:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x35317d…
11-07 23:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc17e72…
11-07 23:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x000587…
11-07 23:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x212ba1…
11-07 23:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x4e2c0e…
11-07 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6eb34c…
11-07 23:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x275404…
11-07 23:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe58a20…
11-07 23:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x938d34…
11-07 23:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xff6548…
11-07 23:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xafda33…
11-07 23:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb7a070…
11-07 23:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7d366c…
11-07 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x96f967…
11-07 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	81	24¢	$19	0x823c26…
11-07 23:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x95497c…
11-07 23:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x54b7d6…
11-07 23:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xb8d2df…
11-07 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbbad37…
11-07 23:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x80b65a…
11-07 23:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa7efea…
11-07 23:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x26f4c1…
11-07 23:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x995476…
11-07 23:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	43¢	$7	0x0bbf71…
11-07 23:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x94d3c7…
11-07 23:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0d0793…
11-07 23:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x156732…
11-07 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa1fae5…
11-07 23:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x471478…
11-07 23:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x586a71…
11-07 22:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0ec860…
11-07 22:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xf58cd9…
11-07 22:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x63ef95…
11-07 22:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x54f990…
11-07 22:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3098ab…
11-07 22:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3d1793…
11-07 22:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4f3430…
11-07 22:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xba2ffb…
11-07 22:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xc7ed4f…
11-07 22:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x42638b…
11-07 22:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x96a8dc…
11-07 22:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0b47eb…
11-07 22:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xa497ff…
11-07 22:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8c27dc…
11-07 22:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x5cc81d…
11-07 22:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x23805e…
11-05 23:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb5d670…
11-05 23:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x32b181…
11-05 23:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfd75bd…
11-05 23:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf806f0…
11-05 23:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x02c9df…
11-05 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xda2268…
11-05 23:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x40578d…
11-05 23:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x846507…
11-05 23:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7f6514…
11-05 23:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7e3ff7…
11-05 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x83548f…
11-05 23:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x6151e5…
11-05 23:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x3a54f8…
11-05 23:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa37a84…
11-05 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x6858eb…
11-05 23:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x546c61…
11-05 23:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x998941…
11-05 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x02c2f9…
11-05 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x584cd4…
11-05 23:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0xdf97da…
11-05 23:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa4a4ef…
11-05 23:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x8abd7e…
11-05 23:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x30fb31…
11-05 09:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb9fce4…
11-05 09:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x80067b…
11-05 09:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x51a541…
11-05 09:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0a94da…
11-05 09:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x936fa9…
11-05 09:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x21f838…
11-05 09:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcb2eb2…
11-05 09:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x7c593e…
11-05 09:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x15cfbf…
11-05 09:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xc8146c…
11-05 09:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe5e460…
11-05 09:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb2fa9a…
11-04 20:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0d256e…
11-04 20:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7c7322…
11-04 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x882ebb…
11-03 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xbc4bb4…
11-03 23:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xcf8485…
11-03 23:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf84f0d…
11-03 23:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x54c159…
11-03 23:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0897fe…
11-03 23:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6a3cc0…