Jolly-Sovereignty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$958

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

13,167

Trades

35,686

lifetime

Volume

$142.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-28 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$958

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:10 UTC	26	$336	199	198	+1	Up	+$57	06-14 22:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:40 UTC	18	$328	196	191	+5	Up	+$55	07-02 02:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:50 UTC	26	$327	234	167	+67	Down	+$8	07-02 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:40 UTC	24	$295	174	168	+6	Up	+$44	06-14 21:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:35 UTC	27	$294	172	167	+5	Up	+$42	07-02 02:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:50 UTC	29	$293	172	167	+5	Up	+$42	07-02 12:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:05 UTC	21	$287	170	165	+5	Down	+$45	07-02 04:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:40 UTC	18	$286	166	162	+4	Down	+$40	07-02 09:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:30 UTC	21	$284	166	162	+4	Up	+$41	07-02 02:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:15 UTC	24	$281	168	162	+6	Up	+$45	07-02 13:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:45 UTC	18	$278	165	159	+6	Up	+$43	07-02 12:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:05 UTC	16	$276	165	161	+4	Up	+$47	07-02 10:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:10 UTC	19	$272	156	152	+4	Up	+$32	07-02 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:30 UTC	22	$272	161	157	+4	Down	+$43	06-14 14:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:15 UTC	21	$260	152	148	+4	Up	+$37	07-02 02:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:00 UTC	24	$257	150	145	+5	Down	+$35	07-02 04:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:30 UTC	25	$242	143	138	+5	Up	+$35	07-02 09:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 01:25 UTC	21	$237	137	132	+5	Up	+$30	07-02 01:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:15 UTC	23	$235	135	133	+2	Down	+$30	07-02 10:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:55 UTC	17	$199	115	111	+4	Down	+$25	07-02 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	18	$197	116	113	+4	Down	+$30	06-14 22:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:35 UTC	13	$195	113	109	+4	Up	+$25	07-02 09:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:40 UTC	18	$193	116	114	+2	Down	+$35	07-02 12:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 13:00 UTC	18	$192	111	111	+0	Up	+$28	07-02 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:20 UTC	18	$191	195	63	+132	Up	+$31	06-14 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:05 UTC	32	$190	109	105	+4	Down	+$22	06-14 22:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:00 UTC	12	$189	108	106	+2	Down	+$23	07-02 12:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:05 UTC	12	$189	108	106	+2	Up	+$23	07-02 12:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 00:30 UTC	21	$188	112	111	+1	Down	+$33	07-02 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	12	$188	110	108	+2	Down	+$28	07-02 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x68663b…
10-28 03:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x4d158b…
10-28 02:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x5c0728…
10-28 02:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0xc93e28…
10-28 02:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	18¢	$4	0xfe7338…
10-28 02:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	18¢	$4	0x006b14…
10-28 01:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x9a0732…
10-28 01:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$4	0x8ff18f…
10-28 01:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$4	0x5f66b1…
10-27 19:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6b1f7d…
10-27 19:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xdef37b…
10-27 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x8d658f…
10-27 19:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0x4487d4…
10-27 19:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x8d4f61…
10-27 19:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc349f9…
10-27 19:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xdd88df…
10-27 19:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x964618…
10-27 18:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb072dd…
10-27 18:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x397d99…
10-27 18:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x2525c8…
10-27 18:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0x4dafe2…
10-27 18:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0xb181c4…
10-27 18:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xf6f67b…
10-27 18:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x7993ee…
10-27 17:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0xc5b47c…
10-27 17:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x15c89f…
10-27 16:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xadf40b…
10-27 16:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0x7755a9…
10-27 16:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8addd5…
10-27 16:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xc5df27…
10-27 15:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xf91267…
10-27 15:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xe7a1c8…
10-27 15:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x60c39d…
10-27 15:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	12¢	$4	0x6db463…
10-27 15:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	12¢	$4	0x060819…
10-27 15:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4387ff…
10-27 15:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xbb9638…
10-27 14:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xab305e…
10-27 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$3	0xbf9b2a…
10-27 14:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x400108…
10-27 14:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x97b35e…
10-27 13:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x165bee…
10-27 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0xb08ded…
10-27 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x4be02d…
10-27 13:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xfce113…
10-27 13:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xd0aebe…
10-27 13:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$4	0xd27521…
10-27 13:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x3c899b…
10-27 12:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4b5a01…
10-27 12:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xd4f44b…
10-27 12:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x248085…
10-27 12:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xffb439…
10-27 12:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x0aab90…
10-27 12:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x77a7ff…
10-27 12:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	18¢	$4	0x3ae9fe…
10-27 12:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0x45103c…
10-27 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xa885ec…
10-27 11:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0x20734f…
10-27 11:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$4	0xd3c778…
10-27 11:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$4	0xcd7f97…
10-27 10:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x12d376…
10-27 10:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x0426b2…
10-27 10:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xdb5406…
10-27 10:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x0a4de8…
10-27 10:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	12¢	$4	0x89baba…
10-27 10:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	12¢	$4	0x983542…
10-27 10:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfc4c96…
10-27 10:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1f7a68…
10-27 09:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$4	0xeb518e…
10-27 09:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$4	0xb4168e…
10-27 09:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe83ef3…
10-27 09:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x0f9955…
10-27 09:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x3ed468…
10-27 09:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x2b58f0…
10-27 08:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x25edee…
10-27 08:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x852daf…
10-27 08:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x1c9215…
10-27 08:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2ab35e…
10-27 08:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x33e071…
10-27 08:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x9f8d2f…
10-27 08:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x81bba6…
10-27 08:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x4db8a6…
10-27 08:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x44c7cc…
10-27 07:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xa1059c…
10-27 07:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xe3d4ac…
10-27 06:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$4	0x05efd8…
10-27 06:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xe6953b…
10-27 06:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x45473d…
10-27 05:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x975cca…
10-27 05:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xd58f3a…
10-27 05:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xa5c4bf…
10-27 05:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0xbb7f37…
10-27 05:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x705a46…
10-27 05:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	18¢	$4	0xe96dc6…
10-27 05:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	18¢	$4	0x91b198…
10-27 05:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe98371…
10-27 05:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf86b03…
10-27 05:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$4	0xa1a39e…
10-27 05:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$4	0x3c332f…
10-27 05:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x3826bf…