Definite-Butler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

24.5%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$7.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$69

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-09 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

49% 33% $-4

Other

34% — —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+280	$70	24¢	$69	$-1	07-02 09:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$971	800	800	+0	open	—	05-07 12:07
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	12	$595	600	600	+0	open	—	04-24 11:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$546	306	506	-200	open	—	03-21 23:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$546	295	265	+30	open	—	05-12 07:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$496	250	250	+0	open	—	04-16 04:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	8	$448	236	236	+0	No	$-3	05-04 09:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 02:52
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	12	$267	200	800	-600	open	—	03-21 21:25
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$199	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 11:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$187	100	100	-0	open	—	04-03 23:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	5	$178	76	106	-30	open	—	05-21 16:59
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$165	100	100	+0	No	$-1	05-07 11:22
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	05-28 03:50
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	4	$127	180	180	+0	open	—	03-28 01:57
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	6	$112	119	119	+0	open	—	05-28 03:49
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$96	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 11:19
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	04-03 21:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$94	34	61	-27	open	—	05-12 09:15
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	6	$77	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 21:44
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	2	$76	51	51	+0	open	—	05-28 04:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	05-12 12:21
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$70	280	0	+280	open	—	07-02 09:48
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	6	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 07:22
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	1	$59	131	0	+131	open	—	07-02 12:36
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 04:03
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	05-12 15:16
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	7	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	07-09 03:10
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$48	100	100	+0	open	—	05-22 06:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$46	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-03 17:03
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 03:23:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8945e6…
07-09 03:22:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc2a701…
07-09 03:21:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x66393a…
07-09 03:19:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x28da2a…
07-09 03:10:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xb1b457…
07-09 03:09:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x24da87…
07-09 03:07:07	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x3d22bf…
07-09 03:05:11	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa416f0…
07-09 03:04:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xfbea24…
07-09 03:04:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x4b9cb7…
07-08 13:21:04	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x07d6a9…
07-08 13:20:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x7e99fa…
07-08 13:19:53	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x89cd39…
07-08 13:18:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x4c868d…
07-08 13:10:17	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xfb7ffe…
07-08 13:01:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x75de1d…
07-08 13:01:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xa00a3e…
07-08 13:00:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x25fc3f…
07-08 12:57:49	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x73ffca…
07-08 12:55:40	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x1d22f9…
07-08 12:55:07	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 654	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xeba08a…
07-02 12:36:07	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	131	45¢	$59	0x901c72…
07-02 09:48:04	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	280	25¢	$70	0x5bd59a…
07-02 04:49:31	will the announcers say ronaldo during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844374	No	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x96100a…
07-02 04:48:56	will the announcers say ronaldo during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844374	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb332ff…
07-02 04:48:56	will the announcers say ronaldo during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844374	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4c3c82…
07-02 04:48:37	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x21ad1a…
07-02 04:40:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644167	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x12a9f5…
07-02 04:17:16	will the announcers say golden boot during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844369	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x187583…
07-02 04:14:05	will the announcers say golden boot during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844369	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x690348…
06-30 07:52:53	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526248	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x8fecd6…
06-30 06:53:59	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xe186c5…
06-30 05:14:59	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2be012…
06-30 05:14:47	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xd381bd…
06-30 05:13:10	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526248	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x54bca7…
06-30 05:09:59	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x9a3ddf…
06-20 08:14:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	602	0¢	$3	0x21b56a…
06-13 08:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa8f85c…
06-13 08:16:46	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$12	0xb1d528…
06-05 08:31:10	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd3d18a…
06-05 07:59:55	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc934ff…
06-02 15:08:29	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$11	0x69d43e…
06-02 15:07:24	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0xe90c93…
06-01 04:18:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x7e0860…
06-01 04:15:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe4478e…
06-01 04:03:56	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xf3c7bc…
06-01 03:52:32	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xa76546…
06-01 03:22:45	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x7a583f…
06-01 03:20:46	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x3c2805…
06-01 03:08:45	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0x53538d…
06-01 03:06:42	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x01d608…
06-01 03:06:41	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5cff0f…
06-01 03:06:41	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1d4358…
06-01 03:06:39	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xed3bae…
06-01 03:06:39	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x652b56…
06-01 03:06:37	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x372000…
06-01 03:06:35	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xefef6d…
06-01 03:06:34	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xc13d32…
06-01 03:06:34	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x623523…
06-01 03:06:32	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x729acb…
06-01 03:06:32	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x490d98…
06-01 03:06:30	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x6ef860…
06-01 03:06:28	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe58b8e…
06-01 03:06:28	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xcde296…
06-01 03:06:27	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1169b1…
06-01 03:05:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x375af1…
06-01 03:05:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x05d933…
06-01 02:43:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x4f57ab…
06-01 02:42:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xcfc915…
06-01 01:59:36	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x7829b0…
05-31 13:30:44	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xc2ac32…
05-31 12:39:51	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe734fd…
05-31 12:32:54	Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xe8a943…
05-31 12:32:33	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x0953a0…
05-31 12:32:17	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xedc2a1…
05-31 12:31:56	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x84b662…
05-31 12:30:25	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x66c257…
05-31 12:29:26	Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x319b2b…
05-31 12:29:24	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3db7b9…
05-31 12:27:09	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4bbade…
05-31 12:20:37	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb40255…
05-31 12:19:45	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x1e1c34…
05-28 04:34:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2b9f5e…
05-28 04:32:51	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2fc2c0…
05-28 04:29:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	SELL	51	74¢	$38	0x88fcfc…
05-28 04:28:43	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	BUY	51	75¢	$38	0x53ff74…
05-28 04:10:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in May?	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0xf9f844…
05-28 04:10:22	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x5d8acd…
05-28 04:09:07	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x17498a…
05-28 04:06:08	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x5da464…
05-28 03:52:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xf348c7…
05-28 03:52:10	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x07c155…
05-28 03:50:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x80fc86…
05-28 03:49:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	53¢	$22	0xf3da54…
05-28 03:48:52	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x09fa36…
05-28 03:48:24	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x63b580…
05-28 03:44:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x06f80c…
05-28 03:39:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xd11205…
05-28 03:37:35	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x35ef47…
05-28 03:36:34	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xde9c42…