Definite-Butler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

24.5%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$6.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-13 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% 33% $-4

Other

36% — —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes		+136	$3	1¢	$1	$-2	06-02 15:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$971	800	800	+0	open	—	05-07 12:07
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	12	$595	600	600	+0	open	—	04-24 11:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$546	306	506	-200	open	—	03-21 23:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$546	295	265	+30	open	—	05-12 07:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$496	250	250	+0	open	—	04-16 04:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	8	$448	236	236	+0	No	$-3	05-04 09:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 02:52
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	12	$267	200	800	-600	open	—	03-21 21:25
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$199	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 11:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$187	100	100	-0	open	—	04-03 23:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	5	$178	76	106	-30	open	—	05-21 16:59
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$165	100	100	+0	No	$-1	05-07 11:22
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	05-28 03:50
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	4	$127	180	180	+0	open	—	03-28 01:57
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	6	$112	119	119	+0	open	—	05-28 03:49
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$96	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 11:19
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	04-03 21:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$94	34	61	-27	open	—	05-12 09:15
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	6	$77	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 21:44
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	2	$76	51	51	+0	open	—	05-28 04:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	05-12 12:21
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	6	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 07:22
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 04:03
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	05-12 15:16
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$48	100	100	+0	open	—	05-22 06:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$46	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-03 17:03
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 23:09
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	5	$33	90	90	+0	open	—	05-15 14:01
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	2	$33	100	100	+0	open	—	05-28 04:10
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-31 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 08:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa8f85c…
06-13 08:16:46	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$12	0xb1d528…
06-05 08:31:10	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd3d18a…
06-05 07:59:55	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc934ff…
06-02 15:08:29	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$11	0x69d43e…
06-02 15:07:24	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0xe90c93…
06-01 04:18:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x7e0860…
06-01 04:15:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe4478e…
06-01 04:03:56	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xf3c7bc…
06-01 03:52:32	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xa76546…
06-01 03:22:45	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x7a583f…
06-01 03:20:46	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x3c2805…
06-01 03:08:45	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0x53538d…
06-01 03:06:42	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x01d608…
06-01 03:06:41	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5cff0f…
06-01 03:06:41	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1d4358…
06-01 03:06:39	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xed3bae…
06-01 03:06:39	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x652b56…
06-01 03:06:37	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x372000…
06-01 03:06:35	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xefef6d…
06-01 03:06:34	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xc13d32…
06-01 03:06:34	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x623523…
06-01 03:06:32	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x729acb…
06-01 03:06:32	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x490d98…
06-01 03:06:30	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x6ef860…
06-01 03:06:28	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe58b8e…
06-01 03:06:28	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xcde296…
06-01 03:06:27	Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1169b1…
06-01 03:05:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x375af1…
06-01 03:05:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x05d933…
06-01 02:43:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x4f57ab…
06-01 02:42:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xcfc915…
06-01 01:59:36	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x7829b0…
05-31 13:30:44	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xc2ac32…
05-31 12:39:51	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe734fd…
05-31 12:32:54	Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xe8a943…
05-31 12:32:33	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x0953a0…
05-31 12:32:17	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xedc2a1…
05-31 12:31:56	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x84b662…
05-31 12:30:25	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x66c257…
05-31 12:29:26	Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x319b2b…
05-31 12:29:24	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3db7b9…
05-31 12:27:09	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4bbade…
05-31 12:20:37	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb40255…
05-31 12:19:45	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x1e1c34…
05-28 04:34:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2b9f5e…
05-28 04:32:51	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2fc2c0…
05-28 04:29:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	SELL	51	74¢	$38	0x88fcfc…
05-28 04:28:43	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	No	BUY	51	75¢	$38	0x53ff74…
05-28 04:10:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in May?	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0xf9f844…
05-28 04:10:22	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x5d8acd…
05-28 04:09:07	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x17498a…
05-28 04:06:08	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x5da464…
05-28 03:52:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xf348c7…
05-28 03:52:10	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x07c155…
05-28 03:50:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x80fc86…
05-28 03:49:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	53¢	$22	0xf3da54…
05-28 03:48:52	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	Yes	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x09fa36…
05-28 03:48:24	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x63b580…
05-28 03:44:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x06f80c…
05-28 03:39:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xd11205…
05-28 03:37:35	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x35ef47…
05-28 03:36:34	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 in May?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xde9c42…
05-22 07:03:46	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xe0991b…
05-22 06:53:37	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfe505f…
05-22 06:39:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xbf81cf…
05-22 06:37:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x9bd378…
05-21 16:59:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xae3506…
05-18 23:09:02	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1e4982…
05-17 13:02:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb88b18…
05-17 11:30:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7bc32e…
05-17 11:30:13	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4900cc…
05-15 14:16:08	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xef1c32…
05-15 14:15:59	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x77ef0f…
05-15 14:15:21	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaa6257…
05-15 14:01:05	Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	paiN Academy	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x34fb9d…
05-15 13:57:07	Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	paiN Academy	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4a1cf1…
05-15 13:56:29	Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	paiN Academy	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x2062fc…
05-15 13:52:55	Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	paiN Academy	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0x3db05c…
05-15 13:52:34	Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	paiN Academy	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0x2288dc…
05-15 07:22:00	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x208a17…
05-15 07:07:09	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6600de…
05-15 06:58:57	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaa9a6e…
05-15 06:12:37	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeb1a3f…
05-15 04:43:09	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x690168…
05-13 03:45:00	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5626d8…
05-12 15:16:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8a7e29…
05-12 15:09:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x68028e…
05-12 13:04:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x68dd26…
05-12 13:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0x00e3e1…
05-12 12:21:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x3972af…
05-12 10:45:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x24164c…
05-12 09:24:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb59988…
05-12 09:15:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x49294f…
05-12 09:10:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xd7e5db…
05-12 08:40:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xd5efa7…
05-12 08:38:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3e934d…
05-12 07:55:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x9dd6a9…
05-12 07:40:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0290b4…
05-12 07:31:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x0b38cc…