Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$761

Unrealized P&L

-$169

Hit rate

20.1%

Resolved

436

Trades

1,916

lifetime

Volume

$47.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 08-11 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

58% 68% -$696

Other

38% 98% -$69

Crypto

4% 90% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+0	$169	3¢	$0	-$169	08-11 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	60	$6.8K	14,405	14,405	+0	No	-$59	08-10 08:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	56	$6.1K	12,269	12,269	+0	Yes	-$75	07-24 09:09
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	30	$5.6K	15,286	15,286	+0	No	-$158	07-18 19:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	37	$4.4K	17,138	17,138	+0	Yes	-$169	07-27 18:08
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	30	$4.2K	7,812	7,812	+0	open	—	08-11 08:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	34	$3.4K	8,854	8,854	+0	Yes	-$65	07-25 07:45
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	27	$3.4K	5,833	5,833	+0	Yes	-$41	07-13 12:53
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	16	$2.0K	5,090	5,090	+0	Yes	-$148	08-02 02:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$857	1,587	1,587	+0	open	—	07-20 20:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$857	3,060	3,060	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$785	935	935	+0	No	-$19	07-31 16:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$490	2,040	2,040	+0	Yes	-$41	08-02 18:43
highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 73forbelow	23	$125	121	5	+116	No	+$0	03-27 08:45
highest temperature in beijing on march 27 2026 25c	14	$76	65	11	+54	No	+$0	03-27 08:46
amzn above 180 on march 27 2026	12	$63	55	9	+46	Yes	+$0	03-27 15:04
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 27 2026 22c	12	$61	49	13	+36	No	+$0	03-27 14:55
will rafael quispe flores win the 2026 la paz gubernatorial election 976	6	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	04-01 17:19
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	10	$55	44	11	+33	No	+$0	03-27 08:46
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	9	$49	44	5	+38	Yes	+$0	03-27 15:28
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	8	$46	35	12	+23	No	+$0	03-20 04:50
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	11	$46	34	12	+22	Yes	+$0	03-27 14:19
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 24 2026 30c	5	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-25 02:28
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	8	$45	34	11	+23	Yes	+$0	03-26 13:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	5	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-24 16:07
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	13	$45	39	6	+33	Yes	+$0	03-19 01:41
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	5	$45	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 16:07
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	5	$45	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-22 11:23
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 26	12	$44	28	17	+11	No	+$0	03-27 04:33
bitcoin above 66k on march 24	5	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	03-24 12:43
will jhonny fernndez win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	5	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-24 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 08:33:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	539	19¢	$102	0x1673b2…
08-11 08:25:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	19¢	$120	0xd0c477…
08-11 08:25:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0x4cb575…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,222	25¢	$306	0x286474…
08-10 18:58:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,173	25¢	$293	0x619df7…
08-10 18:26:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,173	26¢	$305	0x117723…
08-10 17:59:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	368	26¢	$96	0x42cc32…
08-10 17:36:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0x16e73c…
08-10 17:31:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	26¢	$7	0x2537c5…
08-10 17:12:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x62ebe9…
08-10 17:03:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	673	26¢	$175	0xfbe940…
08-10 16:39:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x3d3810…
08-10 16:37:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xda40e9…
08-10 16:21:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,156	26¢	$301	0x16fa83…
08-10 08:05:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	184	17¢	$31	0xefd832…
08-10 07:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	122	17¢	$21	0xec4825…
08-10 04:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	306	17¢	$52	0x25cfeb…
08-09 22:38:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,799	17¢	$306	0xaff452…
08-09 21:51:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,799	17¢	$306	0xf8acf0…
08-09 11:16:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,139	21¢	$239	0xb88949…
08-09 11:16:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xd61452…
08-09 11:16:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	110	21¢	$23	0xb2afd9…
08-09 11:16:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x8b62dd…
08-09 11:16:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x3e3ce8…
08-09 11:13:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xc49022…
08-09 10:44:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	95	21¢	$20	0x0b2f16…
08-09 09:54:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xbe8203…
08-09 08:35:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,465	21¢	$308	0x77bb4e…
08-09 04:36:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,385	21¢	$291	0x034aa5…
08-09 04:24:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x75c9e8…
08-09 04:23:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,385	22¢	$305	0x566f53…
08-08 18:46:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	582	24¢	$140	0xf407cc…
08-08 18:11:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	39	25¢	$10	0x8cd84a…
08-08 18:05:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	604	26¢	$157	0xa32c27…
08-08 18:05:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa182ef…
08-08 14:19:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x70845c…
08-08 01:28:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	88	27¢	$24	0xeef35e…
08-08 00:02:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xaf6e56…
08-08 00:02:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0x29bf4c…
08-07 22:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$6	0x56e680…
08-07 22:34:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	68	27¢	$18	0xd33f4e…
08-07 22:34:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	786	27¢	$212	0x3ea539…
08-07 20:08:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	874	27¢	$236	0x4b6e3b…
08-06 19:51:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	986	24¢	$237	0x6e89e5…
08-06 19:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	986	24¢	$237	0xe757bf…
08-06 19:07:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	308	27¢	$83	0xf41803…
08-06 19:06:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	490	27¢	$132	0xcc9891…
08-06 16:38:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	798	29¢	$231	0x6487b1…
08-06 16:13:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	450	31¢	$140	0x8cf6f0…
08-06 15:56:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	450	31¢	$140	0x1f37cf…
08-05 18:17:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	785	30¢	$235	0xe27d7d…
08-05 17:15:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	785	30¢	$235	0xcf80e4…
08-04 18:08:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	569	29¢	$165	0x210e79…
08-04 17:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xac1bae…
08-04 17:47:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	168	32¢	$54	0x038c6b…
08-04 17:03:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	740	32¢	$237	0x531b9a…
08-04 06:32:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	64	23¢	$15	0x92daef…
08-04 06:15:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x65c51d…
08-04 06:13:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xa02d1d…
08-04 06:13:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x593151…
08-04 05:26:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	91	23¢	$21	0xceebc1…
08-04 05:25:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	857	23¢	$197	0xcc95a6…
08-04 02:59:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,041	23¢	$240	0x309d12…
08-04 00:37:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,039	23¢	$239	0x0c7144…
08-04 00:29:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x21c8c6…
08-03 23:10:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,039	23¢	$239	0xcdf391…
08-03 18:47:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	688	23¢	$158	0x8a0096…
08-03 18:42:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	87	23¢	$20	0x79fe90…
08-03 18:31:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	236	23¢	$54	0xc3493f…
08-03 18:27:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,011	23¢	$233	0x623171…
08-03 13:08:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	809	23¢	$186	0x1dc5ac…
08-03 12:50:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x72471e…
08-03 11:08:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x331e71…
08-03 08:53:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,017	23¢	$234	0x9cde91…
08-02 18:43:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	2,040	11¢	$224	0x52ffa6…
08-02 18:13:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	2,040	13¢	$265	0x526701…
08-02 02:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x158567…
08-02 02:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x0e34d3…
08-02 02:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	457	7¢	$32	0x042bfc…
08-02 02:10:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	457	7¢	$32	0xbf71d7…
08-02 02:10:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x84a01a…
08-02 02:10:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	393	7¢	$27	0x5bd0d4…
08-02 02:07:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	2,122	13¢	$276	0x0d45f0…
08-01 23:57:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	231	20¢	$46	0xd2fa1e…
08-01 23:55:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	247	20¢	$49	0xd4a55a…
08-01 23:55:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0xfc7ef7…
08-01 23:55:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x5a14fb…
08-01 23:54:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x135aea…
08-01 23:51:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	103	24¢	$25	0x1130f0…
08-01 23:51:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	1,596	25¢	$399	0x41d4cd…
08-01 23:26:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	1,372	33¢	$453	0xbdd4dc…
08-01 22:58:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	1,372	29¢	$398	0x51777e…
07-31 16:05:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	801	41¢	$328	0xd0d004…
07-31 15:57:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x461ce6…
07-31 15:56:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xfe69e9…
07-31 15:39:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	73	41¢	$30	0x6be8ed…
07-31 15:34:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xe4782c…
07-31 15:33:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x57fa9b…
07-31 15:31:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5f3f3c…
07-31 15:28:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xfe124d…