Upset-Birthday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

126

Trades

498

lifetime

Volume

$9.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-14 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 15% $-399

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$54	100	+100	Down	$-54	05-06 13:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$54	100	+100	Up	+$46	05-08 13:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$54	100	+100	Down	$-54	05-07 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$54	100	+100	Down	$-54	05-08 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$54	100	+100	Down	$-54	05-06 13:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$54	100	+100	Up	+$46	05-06 14:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$54	100	+100	Up	+$46	05-06 15:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-07 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Up	+$47	05-06 15:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-07 14:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-07 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-07 09:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Up	+$47	05-07 10:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Up	+$47	05-07 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-07 15:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-06 14:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-07 15:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Down	$-53	05-07 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$53	100	+100	Up	+$47	05-07 15:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$52	100	+100	Down	$-52	05-10 20:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$52	100	+100	Up	+$48	05-06 14:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$52	100	+100	Down	$-52	05-07 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$27	50	+50	Up	+$23	05-05 23:30
eth updown 15m 1776940200	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	04-23 10:15
eth updown 15m 1776679200	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	04-20 09:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	05-01 21:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	05-04 00:45
eth updown 15m 1776727800	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	04-20 23:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$27	50	+50	Up	+$23	05-05 23:45
eth updown 15m 1775964600	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	04-12 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x76cf7d…
05-14 01:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x113bea…
05-14 01:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xea2601…
05-14 01:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x02ac54…
05-14 01:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x2c937d…
05-14 01:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xcc8b6e…
05-14 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xa3f2d9…
05-14 00:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x2f9b82…
05-14 00:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x83c6d3…
05-14 00:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x3b7c82…
05-14 00:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x1a7e50…
05-13 23:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x79ca75…
05-13 23:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xe8fe84…
05-13 22:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x63153b…
05-13 21:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xa386ef…
05-13 21:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xca90cb…
05-13 21:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xaaaf6e…
05-13 19:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x0a92cb…
05-13 19:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0xd21f86…
05-13 19:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8d5d0b…
05-13 18:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xfd4e82…
05-13 18:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x6f9a22…
05-13 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xa08667…
05-13 18:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x897fc3…
05-13 18:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x7db00d…
05-13 17:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x0938b4…
05-13 17:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x0c9be0…
05-13 17:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x75a227…
05-13 16:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x779a47…
05-13 16:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x7a4add…
05-13 15:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x5926d3…
05-13 15:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x3c07d0…
05-13 15:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9cb2b1…
05-13 15:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7ac828…
05-13 15:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xa65d97…
05-13 15:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x9a8d94…
05-13 15:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xacf25d…
05-13 15:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xa3ed38…
05-13 15:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x39bd59…
05-13 15:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x3f7d63…
05-13 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x6d0676…
05-13 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xde9463…
05-13 14:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xcd89a5…
05-13 14:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xf406d2…
05-13 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x82d6b2…
05-13 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x1f2de8…
05-13 13:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x8483ad…
05-13 13:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x060049…
05-13 13:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xff3834…
05-13 13:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xdf80f3…
05-13 13:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xbc0dd9…
05-13 13:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x0df85f…
05-13 13:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x7c8e3a…
05-13 13:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x72f137…
05-13 13:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x784a8c…
05-13 12:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0xa1ff19…
05-13 11:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x64062b…
05-13 11:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xf450ff…
05-13 11:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x8dd957…
05-13 08:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x5e1eba…
05-13 08:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xead2a2…
05-13 08:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xdd2ccf…
05-13 07:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xb72717…
05-13 07:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0xaa7105…
05-13 07:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x04965e…
05-13 07:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x0c6681…
05-13 06:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x206229…
05-13 06:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x08d4cd…
05-13 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x71ed16…
05-13 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xb3d54e…
05-13 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xe4517d…
05-13 05:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x1f5627…
05-13 05:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x9e5e94…
05-13 05:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xfd9dd3…
05-13 04:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1df953…
05-13 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x653dac…
05-13 02:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x8d43ff…
05-13 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xefcb1e…
05-13 02:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0xade34d…
05-13 02:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x5a2c25…
05-13 01:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xd82d12…
05-13 01:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	53	3¢	$1	0x37b09d…
05-13 01:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x4e081a…
05-13 01:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x0d7458…
05-13 00:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x6857e7…
05-13 00:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x737f72…
05-13 00:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x6f5828…
05-13 00:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x7c5fd9…
05-13 00:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x421248…
05-13 00:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x65021a…
05-13 00:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xd5d320…
05-12 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x1fd6ce…
05-12 23:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xef5bf7…
05-12 23:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x849014…
05-12 23:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x468cca…
05-12 23:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4e78f6…
05-12 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x7a7bf2…
05-12 22:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x392cf4…
05-12 20:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x42a9d8…
05-12 19:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xe13008…