Crafty-Snob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.45K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

434

Trades

819

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-19 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

86% 38% -$1,390

Politics

6% 56% -$22

Sports

6% 62% +$55

Crypto

1% 50% -$102

Pop-Culture

1% 75% +$14

Tech

0% 50% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No		+20	$14	2¢	$0	-$14	06-09 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl che mac 2026 04 12 che	4	$580	1,185	1,000	+185	No	-$40	04-12 10:19
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-26?	1	$480	500	0	+500	Yes	+$20	04-26 08:43
xagusd up or down on april 13 2026	1	$294	600	0	+600	Down	-$294	04-12 07:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$274	200	200	+0	No	+$2	04-12 06:34
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$254	200	200	+0	No	+$18	03-20 05:03
will opinion launch a token on march 5	2	$193	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	03-05 14:27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$147	101	101	+0	Yes	+$47	07-10 20:57
wti up or down on april 13 2026	2	$140	146	146	+0	Up	+$3	04-11 15:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$132	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	03-18 12:13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	7	$125	90	140	-50	No	-$13	05-26 15:43
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	2	$125	270	0	+270	Egypt	-$125	07-07 14:01
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	2	$114	111	111	+0	Yes	+$14	04-04 20:37
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 btts	2	$112	183	183	+0	No	-$38	07-04 03:09
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 btts	2	$104	94	94	+0	No	+$4	06-20 04:39
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	3	$101	70	70	+0	No	+$29	01-06 03:48
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	1	$100	244	0	+244	Côte d'Ivoire	-$100	06-20 14:13
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	1	$100	233	0	+233	Club Atlético de Madrid	-$100	04-08 16:14
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$100	128	0	+128	No	-$100	03-18 14:31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	3	$100	294	0	+294	No	-$100	05-03 08:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	6	$98	210	10	+200	Down	-$89	05-12 05:13
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$91	536	0	+536	Yes	+$445	03-17 15:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$86	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-28 07:35
will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	5	$85	84	46	+38	No	+$13	06-08 15:11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$82	179	179	+0	No	-$18	05-09 13:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	5	$81	60	60	+0	Yes	+$9	07-04 08:49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$80	96	96	+0	No	-$20	05-24 16:46
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	6	$79	75	75	+0	Yes	+$11	05-19 16:10
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	2	$79	100	100	+0	No	-$21	07-11 22:41
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	2	$78	100	100	+0	No	-$22	07-03 04:39
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	2	$78	217	0	+217	France	+$139	07-09 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 03:39:45	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xadb27c…
10-19 03:39:33	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x94238d…
07-19 19:04:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	232	25¢	$58	0x143a03…
07-15 17:14:20	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x573221…
07-14 17:10:04	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xb2573a…
07-14 08:19:44	will agptal qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715573	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x99f464…
07-14 07:25:44	will sentinels qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715581	No	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0x33177e…
07-14 07:25:28	will agptal qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715573	No	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x4c7fd2…
07-14 07:25:02	will dplus kia qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715571	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xd1a3ff…
07-14 06:26:11	will g2 esports qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715575	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x98992e…
07-14 06:25:40	will g2 esports qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715575	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xabd575…
07-14 04:41:37	will agptal qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715573	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa36acf…
07-14 04:37:43	will agptal qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715573	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5a07b0…
07-14 04:20:13	will dplus kia qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715571	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb0aac0…
07-14 04:02:53	will sentinels qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715581	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xff4859…
07-14 03:38:11	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716367	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe81ed4…
07-14 03:19:14	will sentinels qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715581	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x15d913…
07-11 22:41:19	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x6123c8…
07-11 13:17:10	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	164	30¢	$50	0xa8446b…
07-11 13:16:44	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc9c3d5…
07-10 20:57:49	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0xe5a967…
07-10 20:24:38	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x7b6118…
07-10 20:21:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	140	17¢	$24	0xaed08b…
07-10 20:19:11	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xbaf226…
07-10 17:40:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x5b6247…
07-10 08:48:43	will the announcers say golden goal during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543756	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0863a5…
07-10 04:55:52	will the announcers say var during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543755	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x333573…
07-09 19:54:26	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0xba045d…
07-09 19:53:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x32600c…
07-09 19:52:47	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xe5b2bb…
07-09 19:52:05	Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xb9f08f…
07-07 18:54:08	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736131	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6a4853…
07-07 14:01:49	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	174	43¢	$75	0x8aec5e…
07-07 14:01:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	156	48¢	$75	0xc0c44c…
07-07 05:17:23	will the announcers say var during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736121	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x582495…
07-07 04:40:14	will the announcers say golden goal during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736122	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xdc29a8…
07-07 03:56:41	will the announcers say golden goal during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736122	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x64a6a0…
07-07 01:32:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x5fbf5f…
07-06 16:30:28	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x962cf7…
07-06 16:30:16	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x56da05…
07-05 16:49:10	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xbce136…
07-05 16:48:46	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xaa3221…
07-05 16:48:37	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x70ed4a…
07-04 17:14:40	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xb33271…
07-04 17:14:25	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x6ece43…
07-04 09:55:14	will the announcers say extra time during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750039	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb99f4a…
07-04 09:12:16	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xb3ad0b…
07-04 08:53:02	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x633ee1…
07-04 08:51:53	will the announcers say ronaldo during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750051	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x44c82a…
07-04 08:49:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xf37416…
07-04 08:49:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	46	75¢	$34	0x3465a5…
07-04 08:36:34	will the announcers say ronaldo during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750051	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x104dd9…
07-04 08:36:32	will the announcers say ronaldo during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750051	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x425219…
07-04 08:36:32	will the announcers say ronaldo during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750051	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x1b5f32…
07-04 08:36:29	will the announcers say ronaldo during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750051	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa2e638…
07-04 08:29:29	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x852f27…
07-04 07:35:29	will the announcers say foul 5 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750031	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0a641b…
07-04 07:20:13	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x3dd0a9…
07-04 07:16:02	will the announcers say var during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750038	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x209ef9…
07-04 07:09:38	will the announcers say var during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750038	Yes	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x3cbf48…
07-04 07:09:26	will the announcers say var during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750038	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa3f142…
07-04 07:05:32	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x13f55e…
07-04 06:01:58	will the announcers say extra time during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750039	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xd3d7b1…
07-04 05:48:28	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xd2a622…
07-04 05:39:47	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x623613…
07-04 05:39:46	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xa9e1fc…
07-04 05:36:55	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x496f77…
07-04 05:36:23	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb598d3…
07-04 05:36:11	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xa39471…
07-04 05:34:50	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x6c0a57…
07-04 05:34:49	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x723815…
07-04 04:19:08	will the announcers say what a save during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750045	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb0e145…
07-04 04:09:31	will the announcers say extra time during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750039	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x4d98c5…
07-04 04:07:01	will the announcers say messi during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750050	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa13e1d…
07-04 04:04:20	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the canada vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260703211750028	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa19e8f…
07-04 03:09:35	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	SELL	183	20¢	$37	0xd431bc…
07-03 18:46:55	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x45d3b8…
07-03 12:16:38	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xe21735…
07-03 12:14:35	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xc41cda…
07-03 12:14:35	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x229628…
07-03 12:05:34	will the announcers say dream or dreaming during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236633	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa9a3fc…
07-03 12:00:44	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd04417…
07-03 12:00:31	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xae0a51…
07-03 11:55:59	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x9aec8c…
07-03 11:45:01	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x1b4e04…
07-03 11:35:53	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032807	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x5749e5…
07-03 11:22:25	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe437e6…
07-03 11:22:14	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402807	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xaeeca9…
07-03 11:17:37	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236627	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x2b78df…
07-03 10:48:05	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9a7753…
07-03 10:27:44	will the announcers say quality during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402816	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe01223…
07-03 09:40:04	will the announcers say goalkeeper 8 times during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236630	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xdb042e…
07-03 09:38:14	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0d01d1…
07-03 09:37:25	will the announcers say england during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402817	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x285967…
07-03 09:16:14	will the announcers say pyramid during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032815	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x929cbf…
07-03 08:59:29	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032810	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2b81e2…
07-03 08:58:46	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc9d099…
07-03 08:58:01	will the announcers say history during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032821	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4bd0f9…
07-03 08:42:41	will the announcers say history during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032821	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xea803e…
07-03 08:42:04	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x54932c…