Crafty-Snob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$274

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.9%

Resolved

Trades

434

lifetime

Volume

$9.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

88% 42% $-145

Politics

7% 0% $-29

Crypto

2% 0% $-100

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl che mac 2026 04 12 che	4	$580	1,185	1,000	+185	open	—	04-12 10:19
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-26?	1	$480	500	0	+500	open	—	04-26 08:43
xagusd up or down on april 13 2026	1	$294	600	0	+600	open	—	04-12 07:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$274	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 06:34
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$254	200	200	+0	open	—	03-20 05:03
will opinion launch a token on march 5	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 14:27
wti up or down on april 13 2026	2	$140	146	146	+0	open	—	04-11 15:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 12:13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	7	$125	90	140	-50	open	—	05-26 15:43
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	2	$114	111	111	+0	open	—	04-04 20:37
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	3	$101	70	70	+0	open	—	01-06 03:48
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	1	$100	233	0	+233	open	—	04-08 16:14
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$100	128	0	+128	No	$-100	03-18 14:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	6	$98	210	10	+200	Down	$-89	05-12 05:13
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$91	536	0	+536	open	—	03-17 15:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 07:35
will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	5	$85	84	46	+38	open	—	06-08 15:11
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	6	$79	75	75	+0	open	—	05-19 16:10
epl che wes 2026 01 31 total 2pt5	3	$75	105	40	+66	open	—	01-31 16:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$71	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 16:46
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	7	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 16:14
epl tot not 2026 03 22 spread home 1pt5	1	$67	354	0	+354	open	—	03-22 12:33
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	2	$67	37	37	+0	open	—	03-04 16:02
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 09:17
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	12	$58	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 08:30
wti closes above 88 on april 21 2026	3	$58	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 09:47
googl up or down on march 4 2026	14	$57	100	0	+100	open	—	03-04 16:11
hood up or down on april 9 2026	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 08:53
epl bre eve 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	1	$53	486	0	+486	open	—	04-11 11:12
wti closes above 86 on april 21 2026	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-21 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:11:49	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xf6b173…
06-08 14:07:06	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x7887cc…
06-08 13:47:04	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x1b9e5b…
06-08 07:18:45	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0x60b589…
06-08 07:11:55	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x4d35fd…
05-30 00:12:26	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x71bc68…
05-30 00:10:36	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9d0b4c…
05-29 09:28:09	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x09abca…
05-29 09:08:14	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x5c9ad1…
05-28 07:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xabb533…
05-28 07:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x0db471…
05-27 12:21:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xd4d066…
05-26 15:43:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0xedd52c…
05-26 15:38:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0xc1b41c…
05-26 12:59:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc18c18…
05-26 12:59:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa94c8a…
05-26 12:41:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0xb82459…
05-26 12:36:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5e091b…
05-26 03:38:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x64316d…
05-24 08:43:58	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x4a2a6e…
05-24 08:03:39	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa006e5…
05-24 07:50:14	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xef5253…
05-23 16:53:01	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xcbc299…
05-22 17:10:49	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x4a6f6c…
05-22 16:53:31	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x7f0c1f…
05-22 14:13:15	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3c31b2…
05-22 02:47:24	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x1dd162…
05-21 19:01:27	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd42be9…
05-21 01:41:47	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x625809…
05-21 00:54:23	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x06df27…
05-21 00:53:25	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe0616f…
05-20 20:01:59	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x47922c…
05-20 20:01:54	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x65bcd9…
05-20 20:00:07	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x3ab2bb…
05-20 14:08:50	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xa7270c…
05-20 13:25:56	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd439dc…
05-20 13:22:56	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.55B?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x80edcb…
05-20 13:06:11	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc2dbc3…
05-19 22:19:09	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.65B?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x897c0e…
05-19 18:55:09	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2e9ec6…
05-19 18:53:22	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe0ee77…
05-19 18:43:33	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa138cc…
05-19 17:11:00	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.65B?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x047d2a…
05-19 16:10:44	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0x000d85…
05-18 16:47:58	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.0B?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe2d4dc…
05-18 14:49:51	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.0B?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xfe3744…
05-18 14:48:13	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.0B?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc466bd…
05-18 02:33:28	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xdee0cf…
05-17 18:23:37	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x79b379…
05-17 08:31:41	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x5c4ef3…
05-17 08:30:52	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa3eefd…
05-17 08:30:50	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x0aaad9…
05-17 08:30:36	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5c5f6f…
05-17 08:30:06	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xbbae00…
05-14 04:12:19	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x25b081…
05-14 03:52:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xf75b96…
05-14 03:52:13	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc7610f…
05-14 02:44:17	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	60	65¢	$39	0x47787a…
05-14 02:43:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7b6e45…
05-13 16:59:16	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x33015e…
05-13 16:58:34	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xeeacfe…
05-12 13:30:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x81ef63…
05-12 11:37:29	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xf0b57e…
05-12 11:37:23	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xcfcdf3…
05-12 10:21:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd90236…
05-12 06:34:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x564742…
05-12 05:13:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x437044…
05-12 05:12:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x725ac8…
05-12 04:54:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x5f5571…
05-12 04:53:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x176522…
05-12 04:02:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xfa810b…
05-12 04:00:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd8a9a1…
05-11 07:41:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0xb0f8b1…
05-11 07:41:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x970c5e…
05-11 07:41:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x46e0dd…
05-11 07:41:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x42afff…
05-11 07:41:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x23b4b8…
05-11 06:48:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xee1279…
05-11 04:57:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0x018c0d…
05-11 04:42:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8d3713…
05-10 13:33:23	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x99093e…
05-09 14:17:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xdbc867…
05-09 13:53:08	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x49abf7…
05-09 13:52:39	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x8ee043…
05-09 12:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5fafe5…
05-09 09:54:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x457b7b…
05-09 09:22:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x526ad8…
05-09 06:57:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x36d786…
05-09 06:33:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xefb8d4…
05-09 05:10:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x254d85…
05-09 04:55:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe9377e…
05-05 08:44:22	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x3108d3…
05-05 08:28:52	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x1d8799…
05-05 07:24:52	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xdfe39b…
05-05 04:01:14	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x7a7c78…
05-04 09:49:24	Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x715a84…
05-04 09:49:02	Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x156dcc…
05-04 09:35:16	Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x08f2c2…
05-03 05:29:52	Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x2ae94f…
05-02 15:05:34	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x306bf0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Clumsy-Sum 0x571e…67b2	195	$8.25K	383	06-08 07:11
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	134	$4.96M	19,160	05-23 20:29
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	132	$1.59M	15,750	05-23 20:04
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	123	$1.30M	7,667	05-23 12:47
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	104	$632.2K	6,925	05-10 17:14
Dirty-Automaton 0x200f…7a96	99	$5.66K	597	05-10 15:20
(anonymous) 0x4133…5e70	96	$2.38M	14,653	04-22 09:48
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	84	$3.35M	8,376	06-02 02:31