Cultivated-Eponym — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

842

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-16 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% — —

Other

19% 0% $-0

Politics

8% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$112	64	64	+0	open	—	05-15 16:51
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	8	$105	596	57	+539	open	—	02-07 09:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	03-31 18:20
btc updown 15m 1770563700	7	$80	42	40	+2	open	—	02-08 15:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$77	45	45	+0	open	—	04-23 10:31
btc updown 15m 1770732900	6	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	02-10 14:29
btc updown 15m 1770720300	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	02-10 10:59
bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	4	$57	32	32	+0	open	—	02-01 22:43
will bugonia be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$52	135	0	+135	open	—	01-08 21:33
bitcoin up or down february 7 5pm et	5	$52	54	2	+52	open	—	02-07 22:59
btc updown 15m 1770505200	4	$46	95	45	+50	open	—	02-07 23:14
bitcoin up or down february 2 5am et	6	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	02-02 11:45
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	7	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	01-11 11:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$39	29	19	+10	open	—	03-31 15:31
btc updown 15m 1770652800	2	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	02-09 16:12
bitcoin up or down february 10 9am et	2	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	02-10 14:44
btc updown 15m 1770714900	1	$37	38	0	+38	open	—	02-10 09:30
bitcoin up or down february 2 8am et	4	$36	32	7	+26	open	—	02-02 14:53
bitcoin up or down february 2 6am et	7	$34	32	5	+27	open	—	02-02 12:55
bitcoin up or down february 9 10am et	4	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	02-09 15:57
bitcoin up or down february 2 10am et	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	02-02 16:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 8	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-08 16:59
btc updown 15m 1770239700	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	02-04 21:22
btc updown 15m 1770564600	10	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 15:42
bitcoin up or down on january 18	3	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	01-18 17:07
btc updown 15m 1770307200	2	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	02-05 16:10
btc updown 5m 1774859700	8	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-30 08:39
btc updown 15m 1770465600	2	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	02-07 12:12
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	6	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	01-15 03:31
btc updown 15m 1770718500	2	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	02-10 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 23:51:19	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc5d8ff…
05-16 23:51:03	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9549f3…
05-16 04:51:05	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xadd70a…
05-16 04:50:58	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x681e7c…
05-15 16:51:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x20eb65…
05-04 22:09:46	Will Meryl Streep attend the Met Gala?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x721adf…
05-04 21:35:20	Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1be5da…
05-04 21:31:24	Will Meryl Streep attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x872ecd…
05-04 09:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x87f6af…
05-04 09:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5ec9eb…
04-28 07:33:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xdc3a96…
04-28 07:32:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x966da4…
04-28 07:24:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa10e32…
04-28 07:17:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x498e53…
04-28 07:13:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf5029e…
04-27 05:46:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfb36b9…
04-27 05:45:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2ef4e0…
04-27 05:42:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xf38788…
04-26 07:59:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb77049…
04-25 05:49:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0e6ba7…
04-25 05:49:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd7b6dd…
04-23 10:31:52	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xc50ea7…
04-23 10:31:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xd77c3f…
04-23 10:00:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3e0ab5…
04-23 09:59:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe94ac3…
04-23 09:57:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2a4c42…
04-23 09:57:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1bd0dd…
04-23 09:57:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xba795a…
04-23 07:21:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x886719…
04-20 08:25:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x410c82…
04-20 07:59:20	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x565bc0…
04-20 07:58:50	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x8d5f67…
04-20 07:58:22	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xefc311…
04-20 07:58:12	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf7f37…
04-20 07:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xa0b1bb…
04-20 07:52:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe61d4c…
04-20 07:51:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc36282…
04-20 07:49:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xcd8cd6…
04-20 07:47:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x81da81…
04-20 07:46:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4db7b9…
04-04 04:43:55	btc updown 15m 1775277000	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x8c6757…
04-04 04:42:15	btc updown 15m 1775277000	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbda5be…
04-04 04:41:49	btc updown 15m 1775277000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x74c5d9…
04-01 18:40:43	btc updown 15m 1775068200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7659b4…
03-31 21:21:41	btc updown 15m 1774991700	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1c8253…
03-31 21:18:31	btc updown 5m 1774991700	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfd1ba4…
03-31 18:21:17	btc updown 5m 1774980900	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1b9d54…
03-31 18:20:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xfdfec0…
03-31 18:19:55	btc updown 5m 1774980900	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x11e0fc…
03-31 15:31:27	bitcoin above 68k on march 31	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x19dcc8…
03-31 15:31:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x74c352…
03-31 15:23:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xcdcdeb…
03-31 15:15:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 31	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x351f8f…
03-31 15:14:17	btc updown 5m 1774969800	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe25e92…
03-31 15:13:13	btc updown 5m 1774969800	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x053400…
03-31 15:12:07	btc updown 15m 1774969200	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fce8f…
03-31 15:00:03	btc updown 5m 1774968900	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x75e6e8…
03-31 10:59:37	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb59a3e…
03-31 10:59:03	btc updown 15m 1774953900	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc6715…
03-31 10:14:35	btc updown 5m 1774951800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70a14d…
03-31 09:51:37	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb798a1…
03-31 07:58:47	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68235b…
03-31 07:58:29	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d1022…
03-31 07:58:07	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x5a593a…
03-31 07:57:27	btc updown 15m 1774943100	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x459766…
03-31 07:56:07	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xc0133e…
03-31 07:55:23	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6183de…
03-31 07:54:25	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4626bf…
03-31 07:32:41	btc updown 5m 1774942200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xec7a8c…
03-31 07:29:49	btc updown 15m 1774941300	Up	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xe3d30e…
03-31 07:29:35	btc updown 15m 1774941300	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x8973b6…
03-31 07:28:31	btc updown 15m 1774941300	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xed818c…
03-31 07:27:13	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfcfc57…
03-31 07:26:29	btc updown 15m 1774941300	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x647fbf…
03-31 07:26:01	btc updown 15m 1774941300	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdc62db…
03-31 07:09:27	btc updown 5m 1774940700	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8daea7…
03-30 16:12:37	btc updown 15m 1774886400	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2561a0…
03-30 13:17:38	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x4aeba4…
03-30 13:16:52	bitcoin above 68k on march 30	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x3569a2…
03-30 13:14:46	btc updown 15m 1774875600	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc05ba8…
03-30 13:14:34	btc updown 15m 1774875600	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfaadca…
03-30 09:14:50	btc updown 5m 1774861800	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x51988d…
03-30 09:13:46	btc updown 15m 1774861200	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9404e6…
03-30 08:57:42	btc updown 15m 1774860300	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x04afcc…
03-30 08:56:40	bitcoin above 66k on march 30	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfb94d1…
03-30 08:56:20	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x75e6ef…
03-30 08:55:40	bitcoin above 70k on march 30	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8a7d1e…
03-30 08:53:30	btc updown 5m 1774860600	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x37ccf5…
03-30 08:51:00	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc49c5b…
03-30 08:41:42	btc updown 15m 1774859400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc4730b…
03-30 08:40:58	btc updown 15m 1774859400	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc6bd19…
03-30 08:39:58	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x34b732…
03-30 08:39:22	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8b3efc…
03-30 08:38:34	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Up	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4485e2…
03-30 08:38:08	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf60c03…
03-30 08:37:34	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x6d69ee…
03-30 08:36:38	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbdddaa…
03-30 08:36:18	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x36df0a…
03-30 08:35:56	btc updown 5m 1774859700	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf2f6f0…
03-30 08:30:14	btc updown 5m 1774859100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x700515…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	219	$389.2K	29,813	04-05 04:35
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	198	$479.5K	33,366	03-31 21:19
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	197	$1.07K	1,115	04-23 02:58
Unacceptable-Art 0x2bac…f238	195	$52.2K	549	05-27 13:26
Super-Something 0x4709…f6c2	192	$22.0K	702	04-27 20:36
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	189	$65.5K	1,889	04-04 04:29
Indolent-Classroom 0x0d19…38d1	186	$580	192	04-20 07:55
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	183	$1.10M	67,160	03-17 20:10