Single-Flood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$79.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-14 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 50% $-23

Other

14% — —

Politics

13% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$7.5K	18,839	18,313	+526	open	—	04-16 11:31
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	29	$4.6K	29,541	15,075	+14,466	open	—	05-07 19:19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	13	$4.6K	9,772	2,500	+7,272	open	—	04-14 11:01
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	5	$3.2K	2,157	2,157	+0	open	—	04-09 22:48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	32	$3.0K	22,770	21,932	+838	open	—	04-30 11:05
Trump out as President by April 30?	10	$2.3K	104,575	104,575	+0	open	—	04-17 10:36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	2	$1.9K	3,110	2,958	+152	open	—	04-06 17:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$1.9K	1,160	1,160	+0	open	—	04-13 18:33
btc updown 5m 1775497500	4	$1.8K	1,630	1,563	+67	open	—	04-06 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$1.7K	1,164	1,164	+0	open	—	04-22 13:36
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	4	$1.4K	2,637	2,483	+154	open	—	04-07 15:52
btc updown 5m 1775494200	2	$1.3K	903	874	+29	open	—	04-06 16:53
btc updown 5m 1775497800	3	$1.3K	976	942	+34	open	—	04-06 17:51
btc updown 5m 1775649300	3	$1.1K	800	771	+29	open	—	04-08 11:58
btc updown 5m 1775502900	5	$1.1K	3,412	0	+3,412	open	—	04-06 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	21	$1.1K	819	819	+0	open	—	04-29 14:48
btc updown 5m 1775496000	19	$1.0K	985	943	+42	open	—	04-06 17:22
btc updown 5m 1775480700	2	$1.0K	889	861	+28	open	—	04-06 13:08
btc updown 5m 1775507400	1	$1000	1,795	0	+1,795	open	—	04-06 20:28
btc updown 5m 1775577300	21	$944	850	818	+32	open	—	04-07 15:58
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	4	$938	813	813	+0	open	—	04-12 22:12
btc updown 5m 1775576700	5	$909	938	899	+39	open	—	04-07 15:48
btc updown 5m 1775650500	24	$866	742	717	+25	open	—	04-08 12:18
btc updown 5m 1775493600	4	$800	2,718	0	+2,718	open	—	04-06 16:43
btc updown 5m 1775840400	6	$800	2,480	0	+2,480	open	—	04-10 17:03
btc updown 5m 1775565300	5	$776	1,727	1,655	+72	open	—	04-07 12:39
btc updown 5m 1775497200	6	$761	3,197	3,017	+180	open	—	04-06 17:44
btc updown 5m 1775580900	15	$717	576	557	+20	open	—	04-07 16:56
btc updown 5m 1775562300	2	$700	1,203	0	+1,203	open	—	04-07 11:47
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	3	$684	2,765	2,587	+177	open	—	04-06 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 20:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xca392d…
05-07 19:19:31	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,039	10¢	$100	0x431bd2…
05-07 19:19:17	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,106	9¢	$100	0xd599f7…
05-07 19:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xbdda35…
05-07 19:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0b2138…
05-06 22:58:43	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,584	4¢	$70	0xfc4ab9…
05-06 19:38:23	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x19b9cf…
05-06 18:33:18	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	800	4¢	$30	0x16380a…
05-06 18:32:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	600	4¢	$26	0x8c43a6…
05-06 18:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	284	1¢	$4	0xf5a5b0…
05-06 18:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xbbde46…
05-06 18:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xc155cf…
05-06 18:00:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	116	8¢	$9	0x6cb30c…
05-06 17:58:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3758eb…
05-06 17:58:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x5c14a0…
05-06 17:57:07	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x8e5dd7…
05-06 17:51:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0x885803…
05-06 17:50:45	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x78cf33…
05-06 17:45:49	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x93502d…
05-06 17:45:07	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xe70fe6…
05-06 17:42:42	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcb3be3…
05-06 17:41:13	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x124d5d…
05-06 17:38:44	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0xe230c2…
05-06 17:37:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb9cb30…
05-06 17:37:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8ed6f1…
05-06 17:36:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x088bd1…
05-06 17:36:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x1a9c5f…
05-06 17:34:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xeb96aa…
05-06 17:34:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0xb287d7…
05-06 17:32:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x9a24a8…
05-06 17:32:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe0e4f1…
05-06 17:32:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x09b03a…
05-06 17:31:53	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8c3c0a…
05-06 17:31:49	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xa29b28…
05-06 17:31:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa7683b…
05-06 17:31:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xa79866…
05-06 17:31:21	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x12a063…
05-06 17:23:31	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	125	5¢	$6	0xbd1b7e…
05-06 16:04:47	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	513	4¢	$20	0x569dbd…
05-06 15:08:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xe21f9b…
05-06 15:08:53	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,178	3¢	$35	0xf352c2…
05-06 14:48:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xf7782a…
05-06 14:36:28	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xd0d9c9…
05-06 14:35:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x6dc6c5…
05-06 14:30:07	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xc4228a…
05-06 09:46:00	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	15,075	6¢	$904	0xbb125a…
05-04 15:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdea594…
05-04 15:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe47907…
05-04 15:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x815c76…
05-04 15:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x21bff5…
05-04 15:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x14ea13…
05-04 13:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x4e9490…
05-04 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdfa8eb…
05-04 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3cf869…
05-04 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc4b261…
05-04 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x60418c…
05-04 13:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x069c47…
05-04 13:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xae2701…
05-04 13:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e820c…
05-04 13:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd17f25…
05-04 12:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x7806af…
05-04 12:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x98678b…
05-04 10:26:40	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	455	15¢	$68	0x7fb837…
05-01 17:39:42	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb894af…
05-01 17:26:12	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x8c5ac9…
04-30 17:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	485	1¢	$5	0xfe4b3d…
04-30 17:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x65297f…
04-30 17:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x73eeaa…
04-30 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x1a0a55…
04-30 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x7b1e3b…
04-30 17:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xc5bc57…
04-30 17:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	133	49¢	$65	0xfdc9d6…
04-30 17:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0xdb170f…
04-30 17:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x31756c…
04-30 14:04:04	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xa8e7d9…
04-30 11:05:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5,483	0¢	$6	0xae40e3…
04-29 15:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	237	76¢	$179	0x613317…
04-29 15:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x03ed82…
04-29 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0xf056ac…
04-29 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	96	89¢	$86	0x260d46…
04-29 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	323	88¢	$284	0x0278f7…
04-29 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	98	80¢	$78	0xf836f0…
04-29 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe5cac2…
04-29 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xdf3034…
04-29 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	68	80¢	$54	0xd3429e…
04-29 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x71e5f9…
04-29 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xfe6f92…
04-29 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	94	80¢	$75	0x87b429…
04-29 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x26d8df…
04-29 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x203c73…
04-29 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	61	80¢	$49	0x5cb619…
04-29 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x083f8e…
04-29 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xdf1e93…
04-29 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xdc7481…
04-29 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xa94aef…
04-29 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x599804…
04-29 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x40c47e…
04-29 14:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xc1114e…
04-29 14:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0x8a6f56…
04-29 14:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x2b707a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	136	$73.5K	2,211	05-14 20:54
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	129	$47.3K	8,450	05-14 20:52
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	129	$40.1K	6,160	05-14 20:52
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	128	$37.4K	13,297	05-14 20:52
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	127	$54.2K	15,376	05-14 20:52
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	126	$32.9K	1,298	05-14 20:50
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	124	$106.4K	5,870	05-14 20:53
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	122	$193.0K	32,850	05-14 20:53