Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
+$281
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
9
9 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$813
$813 lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$866
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 01:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
Politics
40%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +355 $20 100¢ $354 +$334 05-05 13:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? No -275 $-222 82¢ $-224 $-1 05-06 00:28
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes +126 $85 66¢ $83 $-1 05-06 01:44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? Yes +4,657 $100 $77 $-23 05-06 01:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? No +191 $65 31¢ $59 $-6 05-06 00:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? No +222 $40 18¢ $39 $-1 05-06 00:23
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes +174 $30 13¢ $23 $-7 05-05 14:14
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +1,290 $20 $7 $-13 05-05 19:53