Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$162
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10
lifetime
Volume
$1.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$1.05K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 11:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
27%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes -720 $-364 53¢ $-381 $-18 05-06 11:42
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +355 $20 96¢ $343 +$323 05-05 13:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? No -275 $-222 64¢ $-177 +$45 05-06 00:28
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes +126 $85 59¢ $74 $-10 05-06 01:44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? Yes +4,657 $100 $37 $-63 05-06 01:59
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes +174 $30 16¢ $29 $-1 05-05 14:14
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +1,290 $20 $10 $-10 05-05 19:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? No +222 $40 $0 $-40 05-06 00:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? No +191 $65 $0 $-65 05-06 00:23