Belated-Hall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-10 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$3

Politics

26% — —

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$233	118	118	+0	open	—	02-24 04:39
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	3	$229	125	125	+0	open	—	02-25 15:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$224	113	113	+0	open	—	02-21 05:43
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	3	$222	113	113	+0	open	—	03-02 01:42
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$219	111	111	+0	open	—	02-20 04:02
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$216	109	109	+0	open	—	02-19 02:59
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$214	108	108	+0	open	—	02-18 01:50
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	2	$213	107	107	+0	open	—	02-17 01:09
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	2	$211	106	106	+0	open	—	02-15 01:33
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	02-14 08:54
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	02-13 02:23
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	3	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	02-12 04:27
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$161	85	85	+0	open	—	02-27 14:06
highest temperature in seoul on march 1 2026 7c	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-01 02:14
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 90 114	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	02-28 15:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	2	$138	70	70	+0	open	—	05-14 15:36
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$133	69	69	+0	open	—	03-08 02:07
bitcoin above 60k on march 5	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	03-05 01:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	2	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	04-27 14:58
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	2	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	02-11 08:08
highest temperature in london on february 9 2026 13corhigher	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	2	$125	63	63	+0	open	—	04-13 12:43
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 13c	2	$125	63	63	+0	open	—	02-09 01:29
highest temperature in toronto on february 7 2026 neg 10corhigher	2	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	02-08 04:45
bitcoin above 76k on april 9	2	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	04-08 14:20
highest temperature in miami on february 6 2026 70forhigher	2	$120	62	62	+0	open	—	02-07 08:57
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 14:59
bitcoin above 60k on april 6	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-06 09:14
bitcoin above 62k on april 4	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-04 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 01:11:11	bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1ece2a…
07-08 15:39:52	bitcoin above 56k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xaa66f9…
07-07 00:57:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x536de7…
07-06 05:54:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6ade34…
07-04 14:53:07	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9e5f65…
07-03 15:07:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xba90d8…
07-02 11:18:58	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x9acaea…
06-30 14:25:05	bitcoin above 52k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xdf95b5…
06-28 15:42:26	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x34b4d2…
06-27 04:14:20	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x63f5bb…
06-26 14:05:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6eba1b…
06-25 01:12:31	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xce0048…
06-24 08:23:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x69517d…
06-22 09:32:59	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x2661a2…
06-17 01:53:43	bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x961e1f…
06-16 13:51:10	bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x928750…
06-15 05:58:07	bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x7c5122…
06-13 06:18:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x6d84c4…
06-11 14:54:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xa06727…
06-10 01:04:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x58ac23…
06-08 01:19:03	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x02f99c…
06-02 14:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xe65fa5…
05-31 12:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xbba102…
05-29 13:38:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xf1a45f…
05-27 14:08:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x6de035…
05-25 15:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfbe127…
05-23 15:35:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc08b5e…
05-21 12:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x571152…
05-20 01:20:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x261a35…
05-17 05:08:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0xbaf2ce…
05-16 03:07:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x522f3a…
05-15 15:29:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x2bd1f0…
05-14 15:36:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x4340f8…
05-14 11:00:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x23e7a3…
05-13 02:41:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x1ddc87…
05-10 15:31:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0xd3bb34…
05-07 15:22:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x365020…
05-05 09:44:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x013f06…
05-03 14:24:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0xf7cff3…
05-01 13:38:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xc9a179…
04-27 14:58:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xe18113…
04-27 14:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xb0c7c3…
04-26 01:45:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x5e8f05…
04-22 14:48:30	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x1e4669…
04-19 12:44:50	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x260afc…
04-17 14:21:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0xc9c266…
04-13 12:45:17	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x934a7c…
04-13 12:43:31	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xa2fdcd…
04-12 03:32:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x2bcebd…
04-09 07:11:11	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x51d1f6…
04-09 07:09:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xfaad43…
04-08 14:22:41	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xfb258a…
04-08 14:20:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x65af5b…
04-07 15:05:31	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x0d6b94…
04-07 14:59:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x9f362d…
04-06 09:15:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x4a89a3…
04-06 09:14:31	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x3b30e0…
04-04 15:41:33	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x73baf3…
04-04 15:41:09	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x6bd804…
04-03 06:14:29	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x2ba460…
04-01 14:21:51	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xcb18f5…
04-01 14:21:31	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xc871ef…
03-31 13:17:37	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xf9922a…
03-31 13:17:01	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xc48d59…
03-30 12:53:36	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xc1c272…
03-30 12:52:36	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x93ac27…
03-29 05:17:48	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x003bb6…
03-27 01:35:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 28	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x27f500…
03-27 01:31:21	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xe08234…
03-26 01:45:37	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x059339…
03-26 01:45:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x321fbc…
03-25 01:14:37	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xb3f973…
03-24 01:34:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x9e19e7…
03-22 13:09:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x4f4cf5…
03-22 13:08:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x37f8b9…
03-21 05:44:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x061874…
03-21 05:39:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 21	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x91c52a…
03-20 02:56:11	bitcoin above 78k on march 21	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xfede1b…
03-20 02:55:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x5c9812…
03-19 03:02:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x01a0a7…
03-19 03:01:19	bitcoin above 78k on march 19	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xaad951…
03-18 14:18:35	bitcoin above 78k on march 19	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x74543e…
03-18 14:18:11	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x301e5a…
03-18 12:47:27	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2b9c9b…
03-18 12:47:01	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x64f19f…
03-18 01:45:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x846040…
03-16 08:08:13	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xd6277c…
03-16 08:07:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x6e5ab6…
03-15 12:23:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xfc922c…
03-14 02:06:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xa1c6f8…
03-14 02:00:55	bitcoin above 78k on march 14	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xdb4050…
03-13 07:26:11	bitcoin above 78k on march 14	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xfa214f…
03-12 04:40:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 12	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x63fde0…
03-11 05:49:19	highest temperature in ankara on march 12 2026 10c	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xef74f7…
03-11 05:48:05	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0126a7…
03-10 05:42:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7c133a…
03-09 12:17:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 9	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x214a24…
03-09 12:17:19	highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 10corhigher	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf95b60…
03-08 05:46:13	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 3corbelow	No	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0xbb971a…
03-08 02:07:47	highest temperature in wellington on march 8 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0xd1a00d…