Foolhardy-Oeuvre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$255

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-07 05:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 26% $-10

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$21	12	10	+2	open	—	05-04 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$21	12	10	+2	open	—	05-04 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$13	9	6	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$7	68	0	+68	open	—	05-01 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-01 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 19:40
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-07 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 05:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9ef067…
05-06 05:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc92265…
05-06 05:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9752ed…
05-06 05:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25f99a…
05-06 04:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8557d3…
05-06 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x191ddc…
05-06 04:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeab9b3…
05-06 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5c2887…
05-06 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xead188…
05-06 00:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x643b9f…
05-06 00:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x70707d…
05-06 00:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x69a53a…
05-06 00:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x722336…
05-05 16:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x25cca8…
05-05 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd52a62…
05-05 16:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd5644d…
05-05 16:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc24540…
05-05 16:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x269baf…
05-05 16:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x21ec11…
05-05 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc511dc…
05-04 20:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x635526…
05-04 20:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x76828c…
05-04 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x357980…
05-04 19:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcd2a46…
05-04 19:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa390d0…
05-04 19:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcb22d7…
05-04 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7e4955…
05-04 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc3b333…
05-04 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x99228e…
05-04 18:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc9675d…
05-04 18:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8a5d51…
05-04 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3f2bff…
05-04 18:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1ab1b6…
05-04 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x084848…
05-04 18:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe35b97…
05-04 18:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x48e430…
05-04 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xc406d7…
05-04 17:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x861d0a…
05-04 17:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5b6e39…
05-04 17:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb3cbfc…
05-04 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x16d2d1…
05-04 17:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3db07e…
05-04 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xce5bed…
05-04 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2f6ee4…
05-04 12:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7f7c99…
05-04 12:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x11d2cd…
05-04 11:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ffaaf…
05-04 11:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd5e5b7…
05-04 11:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2e17c1…
05-04 11:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe20b37…
05-04 11:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x076a1a…
05-04 11:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc5b6e0…
05-03 21:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x88c2f9…
05-03 21:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x29b666…
05-03 21:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2cfeb1…
05-03 21:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe12bac…
05-03 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd714f0…
05-03 21:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4c9174…
05-03 21:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1b841b…
05-03 20:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x88bbad…
05-02 23:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6d5051…
05-02 10:58:46	Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	All Gamers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x97b198…
05-01 23:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5f9b2d…
05-01 23:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x51c4f0…
05-01 23:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7b34bc…
05-01 23:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x687925…
05-01 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeebd80…
05-01 23:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x56583b…
05-01 23:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x59584b…
05-01 23:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf608da…
05-01 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0xffa7f6…
05-01 22:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5ce675…
05-01 22:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc05785…
05-01 22:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf20530…
05-01 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x29d2fd…
05-01 22:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcc0b53…
05-01 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4361a4…
05-01 22:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6fefb7…
05-01 22:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdf4408…
05-01 22:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xad5e47…
05-01 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6cfb38…
05-01 22:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xeca5f7…
05-01 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9affd2…
05-01 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x31faad…
05-01 21:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf1c8d7…
05-01 21:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x695e79…
05-01 21:12:02	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfc1051…
05-01 21:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3970ef…
05-01 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa9c4cf…
05-01 21:01:38	Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	All Gamers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x08a4ac…
05-01 21:00:50	Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Paper Rex	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x289061…
05-01 20:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xb13e35…
05-01 20:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe1d9ea…
05-01 20:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bf020…
05-01 20:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaf76d8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	61	$14.9K	2,650	05-07 05:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	60	$40.7K	1,723	05-07 05:55
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	59	$55.4K	3,804	05-07 05:54
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	59	$23.9K	4,345	05-07 05:54
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	59	$18.0K	616	05-07 05:54
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	59	$18.0K	630	05-07 05:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	59	$16.2K	4,866	05-07 05:54
Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30	59	$15.9K	570	05-07 05:54