Meager-Chive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$493

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

632

Trades

1,407

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-29 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

88% 51% +$440

Crypto

6% 62% +$25

Politics

4% 52% +$28

Sports

2% 45% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+5	$3	66¢	$3	+$0	10-20 13:16
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	10-17 16:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	90¢	$1	+$0	05-03 04:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	17	$213	251	237	+14	Yes	+$5	03-27 13:33
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	13	$176	131	131	+0	Yes	+$48	03-10 18:43
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	7	$121	229	178	+51	Yes	+$62	08-09 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	3	$108	58	58	+0	Yes	+$6	03-30 15:42
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	14	$108	205	202	+3	No	-$10	03-27 12:56
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	6	$88	68	56	+12	Yes	-$4	03-25 14:44
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	4	$81	56	56	+0	Yes	+$21	09-05 17:02
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	5	$76	216	6	+210	No	-$71	03-11 13:22
zelenskyy of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	6	$76	52	43	+8	No	-$6	03-26 10:00
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	11	$70	113	49	+64	Yes	+$17	04-03 14:16
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	3	$70	47	47	+0	Yes	+$18	08-17 23:42
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	4	$69	50	50	+0	Yes	-$11	09-12 16:11
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$67	83	83	+0	No	+$27	09-05 17:06
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	4	$64	83	40	+43	Yes	-$16	03-11 13:52
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	8	$61	89	36	+53	Yes	+$26	03-23 04:29
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	6	$61	188	150	+38	No	+$23	07-01 19:45
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	6	$60	109	59	+50	Yes	+$38	08-05 04:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	6	$59	129	92	+37	No	-$11	04-19 08:04
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$59	40	35	+5	Yes	+$6	10-18 05:27
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	4	$55	79	0	+79	Yes	+$24	09-17 04:51
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	5	$54	89	0	+89	Yes	+$35	08-26 08:51
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	10-29 06:12
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	6	$50	65	63	+2	No	+$8	04-14 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$49	67	64	+2	Yes	+$5	04-28 06:51
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	13	$46	65	47	+18	Yes	+$10	03-13 15:35
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	4	$45	86	0	+86	Yes	+$41	08-18 17:40
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	5	$44	46	43	+3	No	-$32	04-01 15:30
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	4	$44	44	44	+0	No	+$4	03-11 15:24
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	4	$43	55	44	+11	Yes	+$21	04-10 14:25
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	11	$41	72	69	+4	No	-$9	03-25 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:12:35	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x80ee36…
10-29 06:09:47	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xd7f6e5…
10-28 05:41:29	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3a386f…
10-27 18:44:08	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xea2f8b…
10-25 04:53:35	Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x067018…
10-24 16:17:11	Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Anthony Joshua	Fury	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4ec5be…
10-24 12:20:47	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x82c6dc…
10-24 10:12:05	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x902a60…
10-24 08:50:42	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	8¢	$6	0xbdcdbb…
10-24 08:33:08	white house of tweets october 27 november 3 2026 180 199	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb43808…
10-24 07:10:29	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb0eead…
10-24 07:08:42	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8365c5…
10-24 07:08:00	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x744a64…
10-24 07:04:48	Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x953ccf…
10-24 07:04:36	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8fb5ff…
10-24 05:27:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x839bbb…
10-24 05:25:35	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb8b2ff…
10-24 05:21:24	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0d1a35…
10-24 05:11:06	cz binance of tweets october 27 november 3 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2467b4…
10-23 06:38:05	Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1d0701…
10-23 06:29:09	Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf68791…
10-23 06:28:45	Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xed8d30…
10-23 05:40:50	Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x116fc0…
10-23 05:38:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xdf37f9…
10-23 05:16:21	Will PP win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x86b7e9…
10-23 04:35:24	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x1811ab…
10-23 04:28:06	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf69f75…
10-23 02:22:57	Will PP win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x13623e…
10-22 17:47:51	Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x476a07…
10-22 16:32:09	Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7061cd…
10-22 14:47:29	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbbd7bd…
10-22 14:26:33	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6ff6bf…
10-22 14:16:50	Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9ac8fd…
10-22 14:15:50	Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcd5dbc…
10-22 11:42:44	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x724272…
10-22 11:39:54	Will PP win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xab4ebc…
10-22 10:03:32	Will PSOE win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x85c1b1…
10-22 09:57:12	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2f57be…
10-22 09:50:29	Will PP win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x054507…
10-22 09:48:14	Will PP win the most seats in Almería in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x31bba0…
10-22 09:47:23	Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc4e69f…
10-22 09:46:08	Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa6de46…
10-22 09:44:44	Will PSOE win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x921f26…
10-22 09:42:44	Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf864c4…
10-22 09:41:53	Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8451b3…
10-22 09:40:54	Will PP win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xee7019…
10-22 09:35:53	Will PSOE win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf0c2e5…
10-22 09:32:14	Will PP win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8cf523…
10-22 09:30:56	Will PSOE win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1b6f67…
10-22 09:29:45	Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd6ca56…
10-22 09:14:39	Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0199d3…
10-22 09:13:56	Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf4a76e…
10-22 09:03:39	Will PP win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd0f7ab…
10-22 08:56:29	Will PP win the most seats in Valencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1dc096…
10-22 08:55:17	Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4f0d3a…
10-22 08:52:06	Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xceee44…
10-22 08:50:05	Will PSOE win the most seats in Tarragona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x25b14c…
10-22 08:47:50	Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd3b88b…
10-22 08:44:27	Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x018c9a…
10-22 08:42:48	Will PP win the most seats in Soria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf2b9c1…
10-22 07:56:47	will pp win the most seats in segovia in the 2026 spanish general election	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x830e99…
10-22 07:55:53	Will PP win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1ac944…
10-22 07:53:36	Will PP win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9f92af…
10-22 07:51:53	Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe47198…
10-22 06:33:50	Will PP win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc09ae7…
10-21 06:06:00	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x9b2a7d…
10-21 06:02:54	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcfaf97…
10-20 13:16:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5ad2f6…
10-20 13:10:27	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xadc514…
10-20 05:10:39	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x592f89…
10-20 05:09:30	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6355fb…
10-20 05:02:02	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7abee3…
10-20 05:00:02	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x19a16d…
10-19 05:13:56	Will Trump say "America First" or "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6481b8…
10-19 05:13:08	Will Trump say "Bull" or "Bullshit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x71d614…
10-19 05:12:45	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe136f4…
10-19 05:10:23	Will Trump say "Data Center" or "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd04dbe…
10-19 04:53:48	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d5cdb…
10-19 04:53:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb69098…
10-19 04:51:35	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdbcf4e…
10-19 04:44:38	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xefeb45…
10-18 05:51:21	will rodri attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x875178…
10-18 05:50:12	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2efd7f…
10-18 05:48:09	will vinicius junior attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1066ec…
10-18 05:47:45	Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x48b88f…
10-18 05:31:50	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xe4f415…
10-18 05:31:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xdd2029…
10-18 05:30:23	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0xf45140…
10-18 05:28:42	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xbf8c9e…
10-18 05:27:09	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8a1015…
10-17 16:16:14	next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xed2e4b…
10-17 15:55:47	over 10m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x95f2e4…
10-17 15:55:36	over 15m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x06524a…
10-17 15:55:27	over 20m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb7b8ce…
10-17 15:55:11	over 30m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa72a10…
10-17 15:54:32	over 40m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x40b00a…
10-17 15:54:14	over 60m committed to the 1w public sale	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x75ab9a…
10-17 15:28:56	will james comer be the republican nominee for kentucky governor	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x160a3c…
10-17 15:26:47	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4c6d8f…
10-17 06:13:08	will james comer be the republican nominee for kentucky governor	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x933ccd…