Impractical-Accord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

1,090

Trades

2,870

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-22 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

58% 48% -$32

Crypto

29% 55% -$10

Politics

8% 60% +$24

Sports

5% 60% -$5

Tech

0% 62% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026	No	+1	$1	77¢	$1	+$0	10-14 21:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+1	$1	77¢	$1	+$0	10-22 21:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$0	98¢	$1	+$0	10-16 04:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$0	99¢	$1	+$1	10-17 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea get 2026 03 02 total 2pt5	22	$22	40	0	+40	Under	+$18	03-02 19:38
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 140 164	13	$20	220	146	+74	No	+$4	03-07 09:42
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 240 259	16	$19	209	209	+0	No	+$1	03-06 01:53
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	12	$17	603	278	+325	No	+$3	03-07 09:43
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	4	$17	18	18	+0	Yes	+$15	06-21 15:05
efa wol liv 2026 03 07 total 3pt5	10	$15	15	15	+0	Over	+$5	03-06 21:47
cs2 ast havu 2026 03 03	6	$15	15	15	+0	ASTRAL	+$5	03-03 12:44
lol c9 red 2026 03 05	10	$14	31	31	+0	Cloud9	+$4	03-05 21:41
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	10	$14	65	65	+0	No	+$4	03-07 08:36
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	10	$14	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	03-07 07:46
cdr rso ath 2026 03 04 rso	10	$14	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	03-04 21:46
epl bou bre 2026 03 03 total 2pt5	10	$14	12	12	+0	Under	+$4	03-03 20:17
cs2 prv lgc 2026 03 03	11	$14	19	19	+0	Legacy	+$4	03-03 14:19
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	12	$14	47	47	+0	Yes	+$4	03-05 16:51
cs2 mouz hero 2026 03 06	10	$14	20	20	+0	MOUZ	+$4	03-06 19:10
epl lee sun 2026 03 03 lee	10	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$4	03-03 20:58
cs2 kol ace1 2026 03 05	10	$14	13	13	+0	Acend	+$4	03-05 11:49
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	15	$13	48	14	+35	No	-$3	03-06 10:57
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	11	$13	94	94	+0	No	-$7	03-03 05:16
sea nap tor 2026 03 06 spread home 1pt5	10	$12	8	8	+0	Torino FC	+$3	03-06 21:42
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	6	$12	60	60	+0	No	+$2	03-05 14:20
lol hmble cg 2026 02 28	9	$12	36	18	+18	HMBLE	-$4	03-03 15:05
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 03 13	7	$10	7	7	+0	BetBoom Team	+$4	03-13 18:09
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	9	$9	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 20:55
cs2 g2 fut 2026 03 10	4	$9	6	6	+0	FUT Esports	+$3	03-10 18:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 05:20 UTC	7	$9	22	5	+17	Down	+$2	02-23 05:24
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	9	$9	7	6	+1	Yes	+$0	06-22 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	25	$9	8	8	+0	No	+$1	07-04 03:56
cs2 hero pssnua 2026 03 04	7	$9	11	4	+6	Heroic	+$5	03-04 17:58
cs2 fnc ence 2026 03 05	6	$8	7	7	+0	fnatic	+$2	03-05 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 21:32:38	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8ca832…
10-17 15:05:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x521953…
10-17 15:05:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc62fec…
10-17 15:04:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd90570…
10-17 15:04:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdaa1c2…
10-17 15:04:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x83b532…
10-17 14:44:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x227012…
10-16 04:41:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x35c3e9…
10-16 01:35:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9d4804…
10-16 01:24:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x17bc37…
10-16 00:54:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5fad4b…
10-14 21:36:45	next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x55d8b6…
10-08 17:37:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc2d603…
10-07 22:39:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x06e24d…
10-07 18:55:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x577b9d…
10-01 17:02:38	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x381429…
10-01 16:59:44	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7954f9…
09-30 18:01:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0x6bf059…
09-30 14:46:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe4b3ad…
09-29 16:43:21	next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 5 2026	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xecd000…
09-29 16:12:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaee96a…
09-28 18:56:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x67f752…
09-28 16:26:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xf68102…
09-28 14:34:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa210ed…
09-27 16:58:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8c96f3…
09-26 12:54:26	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4dbe51…
09-25 16:51:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xa69759…
09-25 16:51:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2e47e6…
09-23 09:18:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x453bc5…
09-20 22:31:43	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x369ca2…
09-20 12:22:54	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x07e66f…
09-19 19:12:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x005853…
09-19 10:04:31	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x99d216…
09-19 08:59:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x7b81fd…
09-19 08:30:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x24d544…
09-19 08:27:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x81d5ec…
09-19 08:21:07	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x6baad4…
09-19 07:55:43	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x02caec…
09-19 00:43:22	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1cc955…
09-16 15:55:38	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x817bd2…
09-16 15:54:59	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x1041f7…
09-15 03:16:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 15	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x10aece…
09-14 21:07:24	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x469334…
09-14 17:58:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 15	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9d02f8…
09-12 18:48:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 15	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8c39d6…
09-12 09:33:27	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x39efa9…
09-11 09:38:27	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0b44e…
09-07 22:01:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x465274…
09-07 20:31:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x3e8a2e…
09-07 20:12:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xec18f7…
09-07 19:25:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xde94a7…
09-07 19:02:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x7628d1…
09-07 18:43:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x518d43…
09-07 15:54:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x5d86ec…
09-07 15:35:31	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x6cd6da…
09-07 12:48:52	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x62efcb…
09-07 12:48:52	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x0fe491…
09-07 11:27:48	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x4e2823…
09-04 21:45:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x164fab…
09-04 21:44:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x59f45b…
09-04 21:44:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xb91b58…
09-04 21:41:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x6d0b50…
09-04 21:40:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xf4be18…
09-04 20:54:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa0655d…
09-04 05:02:27	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x1a9ade…
09-02 01:12:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe22dab…
09-02 01:12:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x30cd96…
09-01 21:41:36	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4eac9e…
08-29 13:31:37	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xcd55d5…
08-27 11:20:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x7a0494…
08-25 17:45:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xfed7a9…
08-24 06:46:31	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xbb9d2f…
08-24 06:44:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xe2765c…
08-24 06:43:48	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x9f2470…
08-24 06:43:48	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x435579…
08-20 23:09:25	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x553bc5…
08-20 21:58:04	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8db8a1…
08-17 18:16:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x466efe…
08-17 18:15:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xcf3de5…
08-17 18:15:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x60c1c1…
08-17 10:58:13	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7089f1…
08-17 10:34:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xa41d58…
08-16 20:10:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x9f8eb8…
08-16 18:35:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x4f2928…
08-14 15:25:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x7373fb…
08-10 21:24:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d1227…
08-10 18:24:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe71cd2…
08-10 08:28:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x009218…
08-06 15:43:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc05797…
08-05 12:15:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xb751bc…
07-31 21:01:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x152a0f…
07-31 21:01:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x208b78…
07-31 10:18:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xc8ff80…
07-30 15:49:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb8a372…
07-29 23:11:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf0606c…
07-29 23:11:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa64728…
07-29 18:00:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf330d…
07-29 18:00:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e2a73…
07-29 17:09:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf49b3e…
07-29 04:12:30	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfdc6c0…