Strident-Heel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$712

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-21 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 50% $-11

Other

27% 84% +$0

Politics

14% 80% $-3

Sports

6% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	No		-2	$-1	38¢	$-1	$-0	07-21 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-27 11:44
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	06-08 10:54
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 09:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	04-22 13:22
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 17:30
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$21	43	43	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:07
btc updown 5m 1776932100	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-23 08:19
btc updown 5m 1776931200	2	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-23 08:04
btc updown 5m 1776864300	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-22 13:29
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-05 08:38
eth updown 5m 1776869100	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-22 14:49
eth updown 5m 1776933000	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 08:34
eth updown 5m 1776931800	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 08:14
btc updown 5m 1776934200	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 08:54
eth updown 5m 1776932700	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 08:29
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-22 12:56
btc updown 5m 1776935400	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 09:14
btc updown 5m 1776869700	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 14:58
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-05 08:48
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-05 08:59
btc updown 5m 1776870000	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 15:04
btc updown 5m 1776936600	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 09:34
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 12:04
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 07:55
btc updown 5m 1776930000	2	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 07:44
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-05 08:34
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$7	18	12	+5	open	—	05-05 11:54
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$7	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-05 12:09
eth updown 5m 1776934800	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$7	7	5	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:22:06	Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x4ea448…
06-08 10:54:42	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x227f86…
05-27 11:44:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x45b6ac…
05-26 11:22:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xea1ee4…
05-26 11:12:08	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xb16c86…
05-26 10:07:05	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xaeb0d7…
05-26 10:07:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb8c5a7…
05-20 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xce9780…
05-20 12:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x276ff3…
05-20 12:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x05e20c…
05-20 11:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x33239e…
05-20 11:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x7e6da5…
05-19 12:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xba46bd…
05-18 17:30:00	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xab6f84…
05-18 13:59:07	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc37419…
05-15 12:54:04	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5289fd…
05-15 12:53:27	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf0a448…
05-15 12:53:20	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc36092…
05-15 12:53:04	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb7bda5…
05-15 07:55:27	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x40afc7…
05-13 10:35:48	T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe	Pakistan	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4759e6…
05-13 10:32:34	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcd9884…
05-07 07:18:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x31e762…
05-05 14:03:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x32b601…
05-05 13:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb3f04…
05-05 13:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xbe53fb…
05-05 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x602d39…
05-05 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x46acd6…
05-05 13:49:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x268cb0…
05-05 13:44:56	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ed655…
05-05 13:44:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x93c135…
05-05 13:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x12de91…
05-05 13:38:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x55b81c…
05-05 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x510e2f…
05-05 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x05dd89…
05-05 13:35:06	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe27921…
05-05 13:34:34	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x73d864…
05-05 13:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x59f59f…
05-05 13:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6c9425…
05-05 13:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeaa60c…
05-05 13:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x71826b…
05-05 13:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x3df224…
05-05 13:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6f3c6a…
05-05 13:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb5a6c2…
05-05 13:19:32	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0b8484…
05-05 13:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1c119a…
05-05 13:14:46	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x792703…
05-05 13:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6078df…
05-05 13:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xeba23d…
05-05 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x41c396…
05-05 13:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xff8d03…
05-05 13:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x210211…
05-05 13:07:26	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0x379e23…
05-05 13:06:16	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc79b46…
05-05 12:49:20	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x81c7d1…
05-05 12:49:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2cb8f1…
05-05 12:09:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xa8ade9…
05-05 12:08:50	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x66627a…
05-05 12:06:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x651952…
05-05 12:04:34	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb2be8…
05-05 12:04:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9ef36b…
05-05 12:02:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x800e15…
05-05 11:59:16	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x908dee…
05-05 11:54:36	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd51d85…
05-05 11:54:02	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xff8423…
05-05 11:51:22	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd1fc66…
05-05 11:50:00	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x392fd3…
05-05 11:43:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeb6099…
05-05 10:48:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x13ab87…
05-05 10:48:36	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcae1ea…
05-05 10:44:24	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3393e1…
05-05 10:14:54	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcc58cb…
05-05 09:52:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb31c36…
05-05 09:49:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6cf9c7…
05-05 09:48:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x694f99…
05-05 09:44:42	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa074f8…
05-05 09:39:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x324ef4…
05-05 09:39:02	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3e789f…
05-05 09:34:42	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x662a73…
05-05 09:28:06	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcc6b10…
05-05 09:19:20	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x67a4e3…
05-05 09:14:42	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5a96b…
05-05 09:14:16	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa5e814…
05-05 09:13:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xae1533…
05-05 09:09:38	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe7344a…
05-05 09:09:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd5b3f9…
05-05 08:59:32	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x610cd3…
05-05 08:59:02	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc7bc94…
05-05 08:58:12	Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x04e1bf…
05-05 08:54:42	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70cf3a…
05-05 08:49:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x150e56…
05-05 08:48:48	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7b5f3d…
05-05 08:38:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2b5fc9…
05-05 08:34:48	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b42a3…
05-05 08:33:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x7f0154…
05-05 08:29:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd70910…
05-05 08:24:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf066f4…
05-05 08:23:48	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x78fbf0…
05-05 08:17:58	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x69f74a…
05-05 08:12:12	Will Donald Trump dance on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9d0161…