Safe-Brood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$194

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-18 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

72% 0% $-0

Crypto

26% 93% $-1

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	43	$64	34	31	+3	open	—	04-27 18:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 19:23
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 15:30
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	10	$10	12	9	+3	open	—	04-15 20:18
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$-0	04-17 12:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 13:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-21 17:48
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 14:29
doge updown 5m 1776354900	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 15:58
btc updown 5m 1776780300	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$4	21	15	+6	open	—	05-18 14:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-29 18:53
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-15 20:27
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 14:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 15:05
btc updown 5m 1776710700	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-20 18:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 20:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	17	13	+3	open	—	05-15 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776714300	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-20 19:48
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 13:34
xrp updown 5m 1776356700	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-16 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 14:43
will mark rutte say europe during meeting with prime minister of czechia	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 17:53
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$1	4	3	+0	open	—	04-26 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$1	17	12	+4	open	—	05-18 14:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-08 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-11 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xc2c3a8…
05-18 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x480442…
05-18 14:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcca18f…
05-18 14:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x90e37d…
05-18 14:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4878c1…
05-15 17:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x2b9a7e…
05-15 17:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb351f9…
05-13 17:13:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57bf32…
05-13 17:13:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x919e44…
05-12 14:13:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb3fcc…
05-12 14:13:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c2b99…
05-11 17:48:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x192a38…
05-11 16:59:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32e33b…
05-11 16:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9faf21…
05-11 16:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0b289…
05-11 16:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x699ce7…
05-11 15:19:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d982d…
05-08 16:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd4b815…
05-08 16:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74ce22…
05-08 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d01bb…
05-08 15:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c6060…
05-08 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc89a67…
05-08 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x37b327…
05-08 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd43ab…
05-08 14:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82732c…
05-08 14:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcefd23…
05-08 14:03:57	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cb944…
05-08 13:16:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc18fc3…
05-06 16:57:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1b5850…
04-29 18:53:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae7354…
04-29 18:53:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a3360…
04-29 18:53:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf66787…
04-29 15:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b11cc…
04-29 13:34:48	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xd2e2a0…
04-29 13:32:00	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x72ad12…
04-27 18:36:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xacd397…
04-27 18:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd02112…
04-27 18:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41c6c9…
04-27 18:35:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x529449…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd256ad…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x176811…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a738c…
04-27 18:23:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2952d…
04-27 18:23:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf88901…
04-27 18:03:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x979ff1…
04-27 18:03:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x359500…
04-27 18:03:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebc32b…
04-27 18:03:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b9aff…
04-27 18:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf38df2…
04-27 18:02:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x819646…
04-27 17:59:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9d392…
04-27 17:59:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8efe4c…
04-27 17:57:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x49654f…
04-27 17:56:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce0ff1…
04-27 17:38:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7fa92…
04-27 17:38:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x403fd8…
04-27 17:38:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1cf9af…
04-27 17:30:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73166c…
04-26 17:01:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x478736…
04-26 17:01:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x96ee2c…
04-24 19:23:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb9d01…
04-24 19:21:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8502f…
04-24 19:19:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9c9809…
04-24 19:09:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0808f…
04-24 19:09:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x735679…
04-24 19:08:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a036e…
04-24 17:52:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x892505…
04-24 17:52:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x60b278…
04-24 17:51:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39fc36…
04-24 17:51:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f95e6…
04-24 17:51:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03d4ef…
04-24 17:50:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5bef23…
04-24 17:39:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7481a6…
04-24 17:39:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc7694…
04-24 17:38:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d1a29…
04-24 17:38:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7356a9…
04-23 20:33:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x80cf94…
04-23 20:32:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d0628…
04-22 15:30:26	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x75f0f9…
04-22 15:29:02	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9d8cca…
04-22 15:03:04	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a5ed8…
04-22 14:56:06	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e9c51…
04-21 17:48:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x2309ec…
04-21 17:27:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4f76b4…
04-21 14:08:04	btc updown 5m 1776780300	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xa42f6d…
04-21 14:07:38	btc updown 5m 1776780300	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8ba936…
04-20 19:48:02	btc updown 5m 1776714300	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x42035c…
04-20 19:47:56	btc updown 5m 1776714300	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x05d4bb…
04-20 18:49:38	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xc772a0…
04-20 18:46:46	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x30f81b…
04-20 18:46:42	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0389e7…
04-20 14:41:04	btc updown 5m 1776696000	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1bea19…
04-17 14:29:08	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	Spirit	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x5901cb…
04-17 14:28:10	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	Spirit	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbd8907…
04-17 14:27:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcac626…
04-17 14:26:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x987055…
04-17 13:51:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x91a410…
04-17 13:47:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x095846…
04-17 13:46:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x30f3e8…
04-17 13:45:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc623cd…