Safe-Brood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.1%

Resolved

Trades

189

lifetime

Volume

$259

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-18 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

75% 8% -$4

Crypto

20% 71% -$2

Politics

5% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	53	$82	41	41	+0	Yes	$0	04-29 16:53
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 20:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	04-24 19:23
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	4	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-22 15:30
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	10	$10	12	9	+3	Team Falcons	-$1	04-15 20:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	05-08 16:39
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 12:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-17 13:46
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	2	$6	5	5	+0	Spirit	$0	04-17 14:29
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:55 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	04-16 15:58
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:05 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$0	04-21 14:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$4	21	15	+6	Down	+$1	05-18 14:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	04-29 18:53
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:27
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 14:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 17:13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	3	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$0	04-20 18:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	04-15 20:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-08 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	17	13	+3	Up	$0	05-15 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:45 UTC	2	$2	2	1	+0	Up	$0	04-20 19:48
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	$0	04-29 13:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:25 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	04-16 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 14:43
will mark rutte say europe during meeting with prime minister of czechia	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	-$2	04-16 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xc2c3a8…
05-18 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x480442…
05-18 14:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcca18f…
05-18 14:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x90e37d…
05-18 14:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4878c1…
05-15 17:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x2b9a7e…
05-15 17:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb351f9…
05-13 17:13:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57bf32…
05-13 17:13:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x919e44…
05-12 14:13:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb3fcc…
05-12 14:13:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c2b99…
05-11 17:48:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x192a38…
05-11 16:59:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32e33b…
05-11 16:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9faf21…
05-11 16:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0b289…
05-11 16:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x699ce7…
05-11 15:19:41	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d982d…
05-08 16:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd4b815…
05-08 16:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74ce22…
05-08 16:39:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x81c51d…
05-08 16:39:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63655b…
05-08 16:00:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfef13d…
05-08 16:00:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabd4c7…
05-08 15:56:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcea83b…
05-08 15:56:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd56772…
05-08 15:56:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2554a2…
05-08 15:56:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd66e97…
05-08 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d01bb…
05-08 15:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c6060…
05-08 15:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd7288a…
05-08 15:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20669d…
05-08 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc89a67…
05-08 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x37b327…
05-08 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd43ab…
05-08 14:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82732c…
05-08 14:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcefd23…
05-08 14:03:57	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cb944…
05-08 14:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x131000…
05-08 13:17:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb49030…
05-08 13:16:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc18fc3…
05-06 16:57:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1b5850…
05-04 20:42:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdf01bc…
05-04 20:42:10	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x480e81…
05-04 20:40:48	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc4e259…
05-04 20:40:34	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27b46c…
05-04 19:49:36	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc8bd6…
05-04 18:34:50	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xdf17b3…
05-04 18:33:40	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcf7708…
05-04 18:30:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf752c3…
05-04 18:29:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bbe54…
05-04 16:13:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x43e44d…
05-04 16:13:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb89878…
05-04 16:05:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x955608…
05-04 13:46:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x71a470…
05-04 13:45:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x633a79…
05-04 12:56:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb360a4…
05-04 12:56:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68d9f6…
04-29 18:53:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae7354…
04-29 18:53:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a3360…
04-29 18:53:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf66787…
04-29 18:47:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5e43b9…
04-29 18:41:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87d80b…
04-29 18:41:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e4c3d…
04-29 18:41:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x508ade…
04-29 18:40:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5cda1f…
04-29 18:40:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x44aa2e…
04-29 18:39:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4231e…
04-29 18:37:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xede917…
04-29 18:37:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f8fbc…
04-29 18:35:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe2219e…
04-29 18:31:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2d050…
04-29 18:31:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x636ee8…
04-29 16:53:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0413f6…
04-29 16:21:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf448b9…
04-29 16:20:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe06c96…
04-29 16:17:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x435635…
04-29 16:15:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe63501…
04-29 15:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b11cc…
04-29 13:34:48	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xd2e2a0…
04-29 13:32:00	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x72ad12…
04-29 13:31:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdb51d5…
04-29 13:27:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3e2d1…
04-29 13:26:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf0ff57…
04-29 13:18:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x586706…
04-28 16:35:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x815958…
04-27 18:36:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xacd397…
04-27 18:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd02112…
04-27 18:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41c6c9…
04-27 18:35:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x529449…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd256ad…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x176811…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a738c…
04-27 18:23:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2952d…
04-27 18:23:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf88901…
04-27 18:03:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x979ff1…
04-27 18:03:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x359500…
04-27 18:03:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebc32b…
04-27 18:03:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b9aff…
04-27 18:02:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf38df2…
04-27 18:02:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x819646…