Ultimate-Woodwind — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

113

Trades

533

lifetime

Volume

$83.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-05 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Tech

31% 86% +$1,322

Sports

30% 100% +$2,409

Other

28% 64% +$3,888

Politics

11% 58% -$4,291

Crypto

0% 40% -$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	81	$19.2K	51,000	51,000	+0	Yes	+$2,008	07-10 21:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	28	$12.7K	7,854	7,854	-0	open	—	09-28 12:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	44	$7.3K	10,866	0	+10,866	Yes	+$3,535	04-11 01:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	32	$5.7K	5,818	0	+5,818	Yes	+$134	05-22 18:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	18	$5.3K	5,978	0	+5,978	Yes	+$638	09-08 00:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	14	$5.1K	5,219	500	+4,719	Yes	+$483	07-11 00:13
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	61	$4.9K	160,000	160,000	+0	No	+$199	06-25 15:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	13	$4.1K	4,519	0	+4,519	Yes	+$442	08-08 12:03
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	11	$3.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$3,590	10-03 21:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	9	$2.3K	1,291	1,291	+0	Yes	+$222	06-25 15:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-05 07:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$600	10-01 16:38
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	6	$1.1K	1,160	0	+1,160	Yes	+$100	04-14 21:17
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	11	$990	1,332	0	+1,332	No	-$990	02-07 11:24
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$845	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$155	07-29 21:12
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	13	$658	700	0	+700	Yes	+$42	05-29 19:43
will tisza win at least 110 seats	5	$503	735	0	+735	Yes	+$232	04-11 15:57
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$400	12,130	12,130	+0	No	+$109	07-08 14:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$326	300	300	+0	Yes	-$2	04-01 15:10
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	4	$242	250	250	+0	No	-$11	02-02 18:12
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$222	330	0	+330	Yes	+$108	04-02 15:34
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	1	$200	206	0	+206	Yes	+$6	03-19 18:15
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	5	$188	123	123	+0	Yes	+$36	02-09 16:41
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$181	227	0	+227	Yes	+$46	03-04 13:27
all quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 9pt86	4	$177	200	0	+200	Yes	+$23	02-04 20:52
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	4	$174	190	0	+190	Yes	+$16	01-30 12:43
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$165	120	120	+0	Yes	-$35	03-04 13:27
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	3	$145	166	0	+166	No	+$21	01-29 21:02
googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 2pt64	2	$143	150	0	+150	Yes	+$7	02-04 17:21
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	2	$141	149	0	+149	Yes	+$8	03-14 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 07:27:25	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x6e4289…
10-03 21:23:50	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	503	71¢	$357	0x77871f…
10-03 21:18:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	344	71¢	$244	0x5f4849…
10-03 21:18:22	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0xf44948…
10-03 21:17:23	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xdf54bd…
10-03 21:17:23	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8a109a…
10-03 21:17:22	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa403b4…
10-03 20:17:25	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xa80faf…
10-03 20:14:37	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,464	72¢	$1,054	0x3fb676…
10-03 20:09:13	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	421	72¢	$303	0xd6727b…
10-03 20:07:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0x6fea90…
10-03 18:30:00	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0x51f5a1…
10-01 16:38:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	29¢	$290	0x0a7ddf…
09-28 12:20:23	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	7,854	74¢	$5,838	0x5b5470…
09-25 18:53:59	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x450f89…
09-25 11:21:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0xeed83c…
09-08 00:42:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x4ee60a…
09-08 00:33:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xabb0a2…
09-07 23:56:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xd0f505…
09-07 23:56:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0xa5f179…
09-07 23:56:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	589	86¢	$506	0x8aeee2…
09-07 23:56:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x7ca00f…
09-07 23:53:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc5236a…
09-07 23:53:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x1bb77c…
09-07 15:21:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x1890ab…
09-02 05:42:09	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	705	84¢	$592	0x817372…
08-30 00:13:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3ba187…
08-29 21:24:28	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	2,000	85¢	$1,700	0xef1678…
08-29 21:24:28	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	275	84¢	$231	0xca15ad…
08-28 16:27:12	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x7d7189…
08-25 18:07:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$39	0xc2c30b…
08-25 18:07:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	90¢	$76	0x95e995…
08-25 18:07:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x39d68d…
08-25 17:38:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	90¢	$285	0xd95ea4…
08-25 17:38:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xccbb09…
08-25 17:38:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x320d08…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	130	89¢	$116	0xe38e11…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xca12f7…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xc8058f…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xb78432…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	76	89¢	$68	0x631c0b…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	180	89¢	$160	0x417cee…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x370e15…
08-25 16:07:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1eac39…
08-25 16:07:28	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0x87e2d3…
08-25 16:07:28	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x31d7a0…
08-25 16:07:28	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x18791e…
08-25 16:07:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	89	89¢	$79	0xa5a7f6…
08-25 16:07:06	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x2ace5f…
08-25 16:00:34	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x84e3b3…
08-25 15:26:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x6d38b0…
08-25 11:11:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	90¢	$74	0x7bc8c6…
08-25 10:37:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	90¢	$162	0x3e8716…
08-24 17:36:18	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xdab443…
08-24 17:36:18	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x624f5a…
08-24 17:36:18	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x2cb244…
08-24 17:36:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	379	90¢	$341	0xc7fafb…
08-24 17:36:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	170	90¢	$153	0x3b2e55…
08-24 17:36:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	194	90¢	$175	0x2d2a1e…
08-24 17:28:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,978	91¢	$2,710	0x2ddbe4…
08-24 17:27:07	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1,854	91¢	$1,687	0xb5b6da…
08-08 12:03:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x467245…
08-07 09:17:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	404	89¢	$360	0x30e76f…
08-07 08:40:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x4ff46b…
08-07 08:40:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x7522b3…
08-07 08:40:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xdcc69c…
08-07 08:40:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3aa7e2…
08-07 08:40:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x367bac…
08-07 08:40:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	89¢	$148	0x2c942d…
07-29 21:12:17	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x5d6b14…
07-29 17:52:09	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x36dbbf…
07-28 09:58:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x78b761…
07-28 09:58:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x9b7c0e…
07-28 09:58:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x3c810b…
07-27 16:50:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xdf5b5e…
07-27 15:42:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,519	90¢	$1,368	0xb1e068…
07-11 00:13:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0xe85267…
07-11 00:07:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xef47b8…
07-10 23:05:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x82a7cb…
07-10 22:02:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x6c68b2…
07-10 22:01:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x811588…
07-10 21:18:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0x5267ed…
07-10 21:15:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	51,000	21¢	$10,608	0xa80e79…
07-08 14:44:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	85¢	$250	0x7013d0…
07-08 14:43:53	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12,130	2¢	$255	0x0c50a4…
07-04 08:45:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	91¢	$491	0x4b821c…
07-04 08:44:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,036	91¢	$943	0xfe2e4b…
07-04 08:43:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,453	91¢	$1,322	0xcf64e3…
06-26 15:51:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	86¢	$430	0xe377c4…
06-26 15:51:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,026	87¢	$893	0x4e6070…
06-25 15:47:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	87¢	$522	0x3c1215…
06-25 15:47:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x530254…
06-25 15:12:23	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	160,000	2¢	$2,559	0xf0096f…
06-25 15:11:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,291	98¢	$1,270	0xec3c80…
06-07 20:35:30	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12,130	1¢	$146	0x5fb683…
06-03 21:57:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	80¢	$149	0x610a58…
06-03 13:09:16	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,824	2¢	$42	0x10acd5…
06-03 13:08:57	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xf61348…
06-03 13:08:25	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,872	1¢	$163	0x9c2b1c…
06-03 12:01:15	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x2ca2bf…