Mortified-Bitten — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-05 00:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Sports

68% 71% +$6

Politics

14% 67% -$190

Other

10% 55% -$3

Tech

6% 67% +$1

Crypto

2% 67% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-24	-$24	98¢	$-24	+$0	05-07 02:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.3K	1,665	1,665	+0	No	+$5	03-23 12:18
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$260	108	166	-59	Yes	+$1	05-27 05:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$242	278	0	+278	Yes	-$242	06-05 00:37
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	04-30 08:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$159	215	0	+215	No	+$56	05-27 05:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$108	111	0	+111	No	+$3	04-03 02:48
will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	$0	03-26 07:02
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$78	41	41	+0	No	+$0	04-16 01:55
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	03-13 05:16
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$44	3,114	3,114	+0	No	$0	01-15 12:43
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	03-23 12:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	04-03 02:48
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	1	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$5	03-18 07:23
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$31	0	33	-33	No	-$3	01-13 11:10
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$31	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-09 14:06
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	$0	03-23 12:20
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	1	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$1	02-06 02:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	03-09 14:10
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$24	26	0	+26	Yes	+$2	05-07 02:27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$24	0	24	-24	open	—	05-07 02:27
will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$1	02-06 02:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$23	0	23	-23	No	$0	01-20 06:50
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	1	$22	23	0	+23	Yes	+$1	03-26 07:02
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$21	23	0	+23	Yes	+$2	01-13 11:12
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$21	30	0	+30	Yes	+$9	04-02 02:29
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	1	$21	0	21	-21	No	$0	05-20 05:33
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	+$7	05-20 05:33
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-26 06:22
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$16	18	0	+18	No	-$16	05-15 08:52
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$15	24	0	+24	Yes	+$10	03-23 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 00:37:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	278	87¢	$242	0xdd41cf…
05-27 05:21:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	74¢	$159	0xb248f9…
05-27 05:21:36	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	96¢	$160	0xfd28b2…
05-20 05:33:28	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x345078…
05-20 05:33:10	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe276cd…
05-15 08:52:23	Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6cd704…
05-15 08:52:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x023b60…
05-07 02:27:33	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x1cc6d3…
05-07 02:27:05	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xae6834…
04-30 08:15:30	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x4f17fa…
04-30 08:14:56	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xaffd2c…
04-30 08:14:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x74cf8b…
04-30 08:14:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0x5a511f…
04-16 01:56:08	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa02bd5…
04-16 01:55:34	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x2ce3c4…
04-16 01:55:24	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xa5a0ae…
04-09 13:36:47	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x95aaa0…
04-03 02:48:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x7a44b0…
04-03 02:48:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf76943…
04-02 02:29:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x9c5719…
03-26 07:02:33	will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xbc9b97…
03-26 07:02:15	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xa8becb…
03-23 12:20:55	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xf271e2…
03-23 12:20:37	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xc7614f…
03-23 12:19:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xe4b4fb…
03-23 12:19:33	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf97804…
03-23 12:18:15	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,665	99¢	$1,640	0x5d7dd7…
03-18 07:23:17	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x6c3c1a…
03-18 07:23:07	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,665	98¢	$1,635	0xa71291…
03-13 05:16:29	Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xdb3b34…
03-09 14:10:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x214c0d…
03-09 14:06:59	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x086a87…
03-01 23:50:25	nba nop lac 2026 03 01	Clippers	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x595509…
03-01 23:50:05	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7e5d36…
02-26 06:22:12	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7f43d6…
02-26 06:21:58	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x64540d…
02-26 06:21:32	Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6532e0…
02-19 06:24:18	will israel strike gaza on february 19 2026	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfbf988…
02-19 06:24:10	will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x228254…
02-06 02:55:47	will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4c204f…
02-06 02:55:31	will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x353011…
02-06 02:55:17	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xce440c…
01-22 01:58:44	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x9c966d…
01-20 06:51:48	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xe72652…
01-20 06:50:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x6dca85…
01-15 12:43:08	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3,114	1¢	$22	0xe63166…
01-13 11:12:11	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x28c095…
01-13 11:11:33	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3,114	1¢	$22	0xdfed4a…
01-13 11:10:59	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$31	0xc6cd90…