Muffled-Mincemeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$406

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-16 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 24	2	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	02-24 06:11
btc updown 4h 1771909200	2	$58	42	42	+0	open	—	02-24 08:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	4	$52	40	40	+0	Down	$-8	05-12 00:01
bitcoin above 70k on february 17	1	$49	67	0	+67	open	—	02-16 10:46
bitcoin above 68k on february 23	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	02-23 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	05-14 17:28
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$3	05-13 18:11
sol updown 4h 1781568000	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	06-16 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	Up	+$13	05-11 19:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	05-11 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$12	7	16	-9	Down	+$2	05-12 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-09 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-08 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-05 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 03:45:52	sol updown 4h 1781568000	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe4d320…
05-14 17:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa5e91d…
05-14 17:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xd580c4…
05-13 18:11:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xefb5a5…
05-12 06:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x1d5561…
05-12 06:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6a1bb4…
05-12 00:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xa4e632…
05-11 23:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x90b72f…
05-11 23:53:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x6dbabc…
05-11 23:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x95af9f…
05-11 19:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbac14c…
05-11 19:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb237c2…
05-11 17:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa3de79…
05-11 01:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x4ebc3b…
05-09 09:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xdfbf05…
05-08 18:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe7c7eb…
05-05 12:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdcb09b…
02-24 08:11:22	btc updown 4h 1771909200	Down	SELL	42	62¢	$26	0x9cc00e…
02-24 07:42:28	btc updown 4h 1771909200	Down	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0x331a5f…
02-24 06:11:06	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Down	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x67072f…
02-23 20:15:24	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Down	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x91058a…
02-23 15:51:46	bitcoin above 68k on february 23	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x9b76a7…
02-23 00:16:42	bitcoin above 68k on february 23	No	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x3b9d6d…
02-16 10:46:19	bitcoin above 70k on february 17	No	BUY	67	74¢	$49	0xd7ebfe…