Radiant-Citron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

36.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$111

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-01 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

59% 22% -$24

Crypto

19% 25% -$5

Sports

17% 36% -$1

Politics

5% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+10	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-07 17:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$17	13	13	+0	Yes	+$7	04-13 13:48
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	03-09 16:10
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	1	$4	16	0	+16	No	-$4	06-18 15:22
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$3	14	0	+14	No	-$3	03-09 18:42
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$3	6	0	+6	cancelled	$0	05-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	+$4	10-01 13:16
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$3	5	0	+5	Knicks	+$3	05-07 17:40
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	06-25 11:27
nhl chi nj 2026 03 29	1	$2	5	0	+5	Devils	-$2	03-29 21:13
nhl nsh tb 2026 03 29	1	$2	5	0	+5	Lightning	-$2	03-29 21:18
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov	1	$2	5	0	+5	Ugo Humbert	-$2	05-20 13:24
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	06-21 21:36
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$2	4	0	+4	Knicks	-$2	06-09 17:04
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$2	5	0	+5	Knicks	+$3	06-09 17:05
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	1	$2	3	0	+3	Matteo Berrettini	+$1	06-01 12:55
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	05-07 17:46
UFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)	1	$2	4	0	+4	cancelled	$0	05-20 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Up	-$2	05-07 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:05 UTC	2	$2	102	0	+102	Up	-$2	03-30 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$2	52	0	+52	Down	-$2	05-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	05-07 18:37
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	06-25 11:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-07 18:50
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$1	111	0	+111	Yes	-$1	03-09 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$1	05-07 18:21
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	05-07 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	05-07 18:33
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Anna Kalinskaya	-$1	06-01 12:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	06-02 19:58
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-01 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf2e591…
10-01 13:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xfa215f…
06-25 11:30:20	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xa991e5…
06-25 11:29:32	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x19812e…
06-25 11:27:40	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x590d3a…
06-22 19:53:56	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0172fb…
06-21 21:36:26	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x46078f…
06-19 20:07:14	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xcc67d1…
06-18 15:23:20	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x151db2…
06-18 15:22:46	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x471a92…
06-16 09:09:46	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x235f08…
06-16 09:09:03	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xca2e24…
06-12 20:18:09	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9cde24…
06-12 20:18:00	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdc50c5…
06-12 20:16:07	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4ff7a3…
06-09 17:05:48	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8f3d8e…
06-09 17:05:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0c53c4…
06-09 17:04:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x356758…
06-02 19:58:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x79d063…
06-01 13:00:15	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Kansas City Royals	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x86b1a8…
06-01 12:58:54	Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4dec7e…
06-01 12:56:52	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf40558…
06-01 12:55:30	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf22120…
06-01 12:52:36	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5e3570…
06-01 12:52:26	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x182b0d…
05-27 06:25:46	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x68766d…
05-20 13:24:34	Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x880f84…
05-20 13:23:15	UFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)	Ramon Taveras	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8c1717…
05-07 19:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf290aa…
05-07 19:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x008988…
05-07 19:03:31	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1ee8c1…
05-07 19:02:17	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3bd8a7…
05-07 18:58:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7ccd69…
05-07 18:54:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x83b790…
05-07 18:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x8178b8…
05-07 18:46:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x96effa…
05-07 18:41:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd7e9b0…
05-07 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb8f430…
05-07 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x45db33…
05-07 18:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f8ed4…
05-07 18:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x66afd5…
05-07 18:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6b8301…
05-07 18:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe23e66…
05-07 18:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc2159b…
05-07 17:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb7ca92…
05-07 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6eb070…
05-07 17:49:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x600c52…
05-07 17:46:36	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe6b9c5…
05-07 17:45:36	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa24a14…
05-07 17:43:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdca2d0…
05-07 17:40:46	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x495617…
05-07 16:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa1764d…
04-13 13:48:21	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x403ae6…
03-30 12:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x04cf39…
03-30 12:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf33f18…
03-30 12:04:58	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2e399e…
03-30 12:03:00	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb33395…
03-30 12:01:20	highest temperature in ankara on april 1 2026 7corbelow	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$1	0x4b78c5…
03-29 21:18:34	nhl nsh tb 2026 03 29	Predators	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9d51d9…
03-29 21:17:26	nhl dal phi 2026 03 29	Stars	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8bd81d…
03-29 21:13:34	nhl chi nj 2026 03 29	Blackhawks	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5e6783…
03-09 18:42:59	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x1ad550…
03-09 18:41:19	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4c0985…
03-09 18:30:35	will trump say jesus this week march 8	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x3aaf11…
03-09 16:10:43	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xdab63e…