Strange-Approval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$415

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 09-27 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Sports

66% 100% +$109

Crypto

27% 93% +$4

Other

3% 67% -$4

Tech

3% 67% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$1	09-27 08:38
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$3	07-14 02:05
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$3	07-07 17:56
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$11	07-12 03:33
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$1	06-19 23:16
will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$1	08-21 22:33
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$1	07-16 21:34
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.4K	1,400	200	+1,200	No	+$3	07-04 17:26
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$1	06-29 09:20
will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	1	$1.2K	1,157	0	+1,157	No	+$1	07-27 19:51
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	2	$454	227	227	+0	No	+$0	02-28 07:16
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	4	$398	1,400	0	+1,400	Trace Esports	+$2	05-16 13:44
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$304	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-16 05:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	06-12 17:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$264	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	02-16 05:30
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$143	143	0	+143	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:19
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$104	110	0	+110	Knicks	+$6	05-10 20:21
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$84	84	0	+84	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:19
will trump say new regime or regime change during monday news conference	3	$81	81	0	+81	Yes	+$0	04-06 18:10
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-21 17:45
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	0	2,100	-2,100	No	+$40	06-08 11:51
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 17:44
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-25 11:41
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 17:45
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-25 11:41
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$21	0	1,900	-1,900	No	+$21	06-09 23:33
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$16	0	1,150	-1,150	No	+$16	06-08 11:51
Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-25 11:40
Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-25 11:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	03-29 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 08:38:45	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x1e3723…
09-21 20:03:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0x250ecb…
08-21 22:33:58	will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x2675a3…
07-27 19:51:55	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,157	100¢	$1,156	0x0ac967…
07-16 21:34:44	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x091c6b…
07-14 02:05:47	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x68c314…
07-13 20:10:50	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,396	0xa52a07…
07-12 03:33:02	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x2928c9…
07-07 20:20:28	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,400	99¢	$1,387	0x725257…
07-07 17:56:53	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x9d7b6c…
07-06 20:47:17	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,396	0xe285eb…
07-04 17:26:19	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0xb7caa3…
06-29 09:20:08	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0x043ad8…
06-22 16:41:02	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,300	0¢	$2	0xea471b…
06-19 23:16:35	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0x69078a…
06-12 17:07:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x4341d9…
06-09 23:36:31	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x41be1b…
06-09 23:33:40	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,900	1¢	$21	0x0bf018…
06-08 15:16:48	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0xaa645c…
06-08 11:51:46	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,100	2¢	$40	0x90633c…
06-08 11:51:31	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,150	1¢	$16	0x76a8f4…
05-25 11:42:34	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76788d…
05-25 11:42:20	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6344cb…
05-25 11:42:08	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00ff84…
05-25 11:41:57	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa109e9…
05-25 11:41:27	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x82fa00…
05-25 11:41:05	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x274057…
05-25 11:40:33	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc156b2…
05-25 11:40:24	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1170d3…
05-16 13:44:13	Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	All Gamers	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x59dc5c…
05-16 12:46:40	Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	Trace Esports	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0x2a9227…
05-16 12:46:21	Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	Trace Esports	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x88d1e3…
05-16 12:42:11	Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	Trace Esports	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0xa1272e…
05-10 20:21:27	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0xd391b4…
04-21 17:45:18	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x053536…
04-21 17:45:02	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xee6da1…
04-21 17:44:46	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x28bb5e…
04-06 18:10:55	will trump say new regime or regime change during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$72	0x578695…
04-06 18:05:21	will trump say new regime or regime change during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba1ebd…
04-06 18:01:59	will trump say new regime or regime change during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe27521…
03-29 12:20:16	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0705f9…
03-29 12:19:16	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8710aa…
03-29 12:18:20	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 29	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa26d33…
03-29 12:15:20	will underdog be said at the rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9f1a5…
02-28 07:19:39	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x59c965…
02-28 07:19:29	Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x2b4634…
02-28 07:16:45	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x0993b0…
02-25 20:55:46	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xe066c4…
02-16 05:30:27	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0x735070…
02-16 05:30:15	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x10f54b…
02-16 05:29:05	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x87e322…
02-16 05:26:51	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	159	76¢	$121	0x766ed4…
02-16 05:26:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	41	76¢	$31	0xbda14e…
02-16 05:22:25	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x7d3b42…