Sturdy-Regard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$138

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

1,002

Trades

5,264

lifetime

Volume

$459.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$1.39K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-04 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Other

80% 75% +$8,351

Crypto

10% 68% +$3,064

Politics

9% 50% -$2,073

Sports

1% 47% +$530

Tech

0% 33% -$755

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G		+1,400	$1,248	99¢	$1.4K	+$138	11-04 22:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$10.1K	5,174	5,174	+0	No	-$15	04-15 14:54
lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	14	$7.9K	4,044	4,044	+0	T1	+$35	07-06 08:17
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 21 2026	8	$7.1K	3,812	3,812	+0	No	+$348	04-22 04:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	24	$6.6K	3,909	3,909	+0	No	+$607	06-30 23:14
lol blg tes 2026 08 07	7	$6.3K	5,583	5,558	+26	Top Esports	+$1,899	08-07 14:15
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	13	$6.0K	4,035	2,635	+1,400	open	—	11-04 22:17
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	11	$6.0K	5,357	4,728	+629	No	+$1,748	08-31 01:41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	36	$5.5K	3,836	3,836	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$578	09-12 07:03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	8	$4.8K	3,526	3,526	+0	Yes	-$8	08-22 19:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$4.6K	4,079	4,079	+0	Yes	+$132	04-21 16:09
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	10	$4.4K	2,420	2,420	+0	No	+$393	07-28 14:48
Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)	2	$4.3K	2,390	2,390	+0	Top Esports	+$382	11-03 23:54
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	14	$3.9K	2,508	2,508	+0	Gen.G	+$75	10-23 17:44
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	6	$3.9K	4,295	4,295	+0	Yes	+$455	03-25 16:35
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	6	$3.8K	2,183	2,183	+0	No	+$343	07-01 03:53
lol dk kt 2026 08 30 game handicap away 2pt5	6	$3.7K	2,200	2,200	+0	KT Rolster	+$660	08-30 08:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$3.6K	2,222	2,222	+0	No	+$75	04-23 18:02
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	4	$3.4K	1,893	1,893	+0	No	-$127	03-20 11:38
lol nip jdg 2026 09 05	12	$3.4K	2,434	2,434	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$1,217	09-05 13:43
lol lgd tt 2026 08 06	10	$3.4K	2,512	2,512	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$865	08-06 09:36
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	14	$3.4K	1,960	1,960	+0	No	+$305	07-28 13:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	5	$3.4K	2,254	2,254	+0	No	-$263	04-20 11:58
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	2	$3.1K	2,115	2,115	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$1,079	07-04 10:39
lol dkc ktc 2026 09 14	9	$3.0K	2,300	2,300	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$564	09-14 11:31
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	4	$3.0K	1,536	1,536	+0	No	+$82	08-19 15:43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	3	$3.0K	1,612	1,612	+0	Yes	+$256	09-13 15:42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	25	$2.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$863	09-12 13:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$2.9K	1,564	1,564	+0	No	+$99	03-31 03:37
lol blg ly 2026 07 05	3	$2.9K	1,474	1,474	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$72	07-06 05:33
lol edg tt 2026 08 21	4	$2.7K	2,714	2,714	+0	EDward Gaming	+$368	08-21 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:17:07	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	635	91¢	$577	0xa33f9f…
11-04 22:17:07	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x93d462…
11-04 22:17:07	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8e490c…
11-04 22:17:07	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	167	91¢	$152	0x5f3b96…
11-04 22:17:07	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	444	91¢	$404	0x377023…
11-04 22:17:07	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x28bef0…
11-04 22:17:06	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xec95fe…
11-04 22:17:06	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	60	91¢	$54	0x71a3fb…
11-04 12:45:21	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	SELL	2,635	91¢	$2,398	0xb8a132…
11-04 02:55:54	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	2,029	90¢	$1,826	0x0b03ad…
11-04 02:55:28	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x3febdf…
11-04 02:54:19	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x58a9d5…
11-04 02:53:33	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0xd03380…
11-03 23:54:46	Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)	Top Esports	SELL	2,390	99¢	$2,366	0x2eb484…
11-03 22:02:55	Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)	Top Esports	BUY	2,390	83¢	$1,983	0x677b44…
10-23 17:44:11	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	2,508	80¢	$2,006	0x5b3718…
10-23 10:48:15	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x9bbbc7…
10-23 10:47:42	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	414	77¢	$319	0x4f78e9…
10-23 10:46:20	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x92347e…
10-23 10:38:44	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7c6f6b…
10-23 10:38:41	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x2a5ed9…
10-23 10:37:36	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x61088e…
10-23 10:30:20	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	1,251	77¢	$963	0x6ad7c2…
10-23 10:27:39	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0x701f89…
10-23 10:27:36	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x8ab787…
10-23 10:24:29	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x5b6f2d…
10-23 10:22:15	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	335	77¢	$258	0xe57e6c…
10-23 10:21:44	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x8acac3…
10-23 10:21:15	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	261	77¢	$201	0x5228a1…
10-15 12:10:19	lol we bro2 2026 10 15 game handicap away 1pt5	HANJIN BRION	SELL	261	80¢	$209	0x27a7c2…
10-15 12:10:17	lol we bro2 2026 10 15 game handicap away 1pt5	HANJIN BRION	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xb7d319…
10-15 08:05:28	lol we bro2 2026 10 15 game handicap away 1pt5	HANJIN BRION	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x33d69a…
10-14 14:32:34	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14	Team Falcons	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xe94a1f…
10-14 12:57:03	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14	Team Falcons	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xebddb3…
10-14 00:59:24	lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14 game handicap home 2pt5	BNK FEARX	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0x63b9b3…
10-13 15:37:55	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x2b1179…
10-13 10:24:55	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xfee571…
10-13 10:09:37	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	398	91¢	$363	0xc41b80…
10-13 09:45:52	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	198	63¢	$125	0x2a8357…
10-13 09:31:10	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x3b324b…
10-13 04:51:21	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x42d5fb…
10-13 01:09:33	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x66ec85…
10-13 01:00:09	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x630fe7…
10-12 16:04:42	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x9779e4…
10-12 13:03:17	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	BNK FEARX	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0x40ddf9…
10-12 08:34:24	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	SELL	425	55¢	$234	0xf52564…
10-12 07:48:24	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xaa58f6…
10-12 06:57:53	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xeb7b83…
10-12 05:25:50	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x3e43d5…
10-11 12:47:22	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xc8a6c4…
10-11 12:47:19	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	81	97¢	$79	0xceb4dc…
10-11 12:47:19	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x4a9424…
10-11 12:47:16	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x7c3cb9…
10-11 12:47:15	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xfbe6b3…
10-11 12:47:12	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd57f39…
10-11 12:47:12	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x1a2d23…
10-11 12:47:06	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xba5045…
10-11 12:47:04	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x1776f0…
10-11 03:46:53	LoL: Saigon Warriors vs MVK Academy (BO5) - VCS Finals Playoffs	MVK Academy	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0x3bc180…
10-10 20:57:28	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	330	97¢	$320	0x00ccf6…
10-10 20:57:27	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xed6335…
10-10 20:57:27	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xa24008…
10-10 20:57:27	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x1e7981…
10-10 20:57:25	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	186	97¢	$180	0x6bbab4…
10-10 20:57:25	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0x622b4e…
10-10 16:11:01	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	370	97¢	$360	0x56bc5d…
10-10 08:22:21	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xa71b5a…
10-09 16:51:26	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x94c0b7…
10-09 14:17:33	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xb6985b…
10-09 10:23:58	LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	BUY	613	56¢	$344	0x026a3f…
10-09 03:14:35	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	336	71¢	$239	0xca67a4…
10-09 02:15:54	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Cowboys	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xfe0a34…
10-09 01:47:02	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Cowboys	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x1544a0…
10-09 01:21:21	Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)	Cowboys	SELL	196	31¢	$61	0x40d499…
10-08 14:56:39	Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)	Cowboys	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa98240…
10-08 10:37:59	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xcf83c8…
10-08 09:21:18	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina	Cameron Norrie	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xac27de…
10-08 02:13:19	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbcba85…
10-07 15:43:01	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xcaae64…
10-07 07:56:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina	Alex Molcan	SELL	333	95¢	$317	0xe8342c…
10-07 07:04:24	LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	GAM Esports	SELL	172	26¢	$45	0x31fa1e…
10-07 04:18:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina	Alex Molcan	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x4e6f29…
10-07 00:34:50	LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	GAM Esports	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x869d97…
10-06 13:29:58	Croatia vs. Spain: Croatia O/U 2.5 Corners	Over	BUY	993	53¢	$529	0x67097d…
10-06 10:03:55	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x13b052…
10-06 10:03:43	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x575ece…
10-06 09:11:46	China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka	Naomi Osaka	SELL	465	72¢	$335	0xfd3300…
10-06 07:21:30	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	HANJIN BRION	SELL	500	80¢	$400	0x7b3226…
10-06 05:44:06	China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka	Naomi Osaka	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x442e6b…
10-06 03:01:57	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	HANJIN BRION	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x9dcad4…
10-05 13:18:43	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xe7e759…
10-05 13:17:41	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x7cc8d3…
10-05 13:17:41	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	513	38¢	$195	0x698842…
10-05 10:40:40	lol sr jdg 2026 10 05	JD Gaming	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x8019cf…
10-05 10:28:32	atp djokovi medvede 2026 10 05	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x289f4a…
10-05 08:35:49	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x64ab6f…
10-05 08:28:44	lol gam vit 2026 10 05	Team Vitality	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xc6d2c3…
10-05 00:47:58	LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	Team Vitality	BUY	132	75¢	$99	0x88795c…
10-05 00:29:05	LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	Team Vitality	BUY	11	75¢	$9	0x7ed3be…
10-05 00:23:37	lol gam vit 2026 10 05	Team Vitality	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6206d9…