Frightened-Assurance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

653

Trades

729

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-29 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$25	193	+193	Down	-$25	05-25 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$25	400	+400	Down	-$25	05-27 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$25	285	+285	Up	+$260	05-24 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$25	271	+271	Down	-$25	05-26 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$24	181	+181	Down	-$24	05-27 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$22	216	+216	Down	-$22	05-30 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$15	192	+192	Down	-$15	05-26 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:40 UTC	3	$11	15	+15	Down	-$11	07-22 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$11	497	+497	Down	-$11	05-29 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:15 UTC	1	$11	15	+15	Down	-$11	09-22 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:05 UTC	1	$10	14	+14	Up	+$4	09-21 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Down	-$10	09-23 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	07-21 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:00 UTC	2	$10	12	+12	Down	-$10	07-21 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:55 UTC	2	$10	15	+15	Down	+$5	07-22 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Down	-$10	07-22 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Up	+$4	07-21 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:55 UTC	2	$10	14	+14	Down	-$10	07-22 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:50 UTC	2	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	07-22 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Down	-$10	07-21 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	07-22 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:30 UTC	2	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	07-21 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:20 UTC	2	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	07-22 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Down	+$3	07-21 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	07-21 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	15	+15	Down	-$10	09-16 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:15 UTC	2	$10	17	+17	Up	+$7	07-22 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:40 UTC	2	$10	20	+20	Up	+$10	07-22 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:40 UTC	2	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	07-21 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$10	95	+95	Down	-$10	05-29 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x88e7f6…
10-28 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x814b2b…
10-28 18:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe0d008…
10-26 13:59:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1bd635…
10-26 02:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x893142…
10-25 05:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$9	0xdb29a4…
10-24 00:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0xc06d59…
10-23 19:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x957e33…
10-21 19:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8e0e60…
10-21 08:39:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc5751c…
10-21 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xddc36d…
10-20 19:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xf0a0a7…
10-20 13:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x89a0b4…
10-20 06:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x02d1c3…
10-19 11:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xccded2…
10-18 16:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6b6784…
10-18 15:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x223f5a…
10-18 11:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x02f502…
10-17 16:14:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x06b337…
10-17 02:14:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x410f88…
10-16 23:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xe89886…
10-16 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xf84458…
10-15 03:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x3c033b…
10-13 22:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xe01112…
10-12 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x05ebd5…
10-11 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x12856b…
10-11 08:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6d76e3…
10-10 07:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x78b073…
10-08 22:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xde4d20…
10-05 02:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x6141bc…
10-05 00:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0x33a58b…
10-04 01:34:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x9a2cc6…
10-02 23:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x3c58f9…
10-01 22:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0x7f6982…
10-01 19:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xcc593c…
10-01 13:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb770e0…
10-01 07:44:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x731e4f…
10-01 05:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe59d8a…
10-01 03:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0xfda1dd…
09-30 17:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x71e116…
09-29 15:29:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0ef43c…
09-25 17:34:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc45419…
09-24 17:09:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xa9e283…
09-23 15:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xd2a264…
09-23 11:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x40e80e…
09-23 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x4a56c6…
09-23 01:19:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x51f844…
09-22 15:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5e42d0…
09-22 13:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$10	0xcac795…
09-22 02:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x1d4949…
09-21 23:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3158d8…
09-21 11:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc334a0…
09-21 09:44:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe1886c…
09-20 22:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0xadb6bf…
09-20 04:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x0013cd…
09-18 07:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x75b9a9…
09-17 12:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x2b3de8…
09-16 16:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9060f2…
09-15 17:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x2600b2…
09-15 15:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x06da01…
09-15 12:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x096def…
09-11 21:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x7dcddc…
09-08 06:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x26deaa…
08-29 17:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xc9dd96…
08-28 01:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc350fd…
08-25 14:59:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x57a0e9…
08-24 10:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe338dd…
08-24 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x2a3114…
08-24 01:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x01f7c6…
08-22 09:24:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb9b378…
08-22 08:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x9246d2…
08-18 05:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x51a23b…
08-15 10:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xd3696a…
08-13 19:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc5ddb9…
08-12 04:04:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xb3bdd0…
08-12 01:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xd98d20…
08-11 12:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8def75…
08-11 00:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x72d6a6…
08-10 07:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x95dd39…
08-10 06:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xf91568…
08-06 13:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x696e68…
08-06 04:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4b674d…
08-06 03:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x131b02…
08-06 01:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x68d951…
08-06 00:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xeef73c…
08-05 23:59:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb4f449…
08-05 22:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4f3af3…
08-05 18:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9b6e05…
08-05 13:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa7de62…
08-05 10:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x588e8c…
08-05 10:04:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb2f395…
08-05 09:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4fbc26…
08-05 08:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdbca82…
08-05 08:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc27ac0…
08-05 06:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x59483a…
08-05 03:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x87494b…
08-05 02:14:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdcfde2…
07-30 14:04:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x088ea2…
07-30 11:29:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9385b1…
07-30 09:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x724e80…