Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$73,613
Trades
7,941
Unique wallets
974
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
51¢
Latest NO mid
49¢
End date
2026-10-16
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-16 08:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.8¢
(top1%: 51% YES on $42.4K
vs crowd: 54% YES on $68.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 183 | $24.5K | $22.2K | +$2.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 296 | $7.6K | $5.2K | +$2.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 263 | $3.9K | $3.1K | +$833 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 232 | $906 | $631 | +$275 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 206 | $21.8K | $20.6K | +$1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 130 | $3.8K | $2.1K | +$1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 37 | $1.3K | $305 | +$1.0K |
| Median | 67 | $156 | $209 | $53 |
| Below median | 217 | $1.3K | $858 | +$402 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 132 | $1.1K | $878 | +$208 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 126 | $3.2K | $3.1K | +$95 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 59 | $4.3K | $3.1K | +$1.2K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +2,988 | $1,561 | $1,561 | 102 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +2,840 | $1,354 | $1,354 | 81 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +2,798 | $1,472 | $1,472 | 113 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +2,798 | $834 | $834 | 107 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +2,677 | $1,412 | $1,412 | 89 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +2,313 | $1,181 | $1,181 | 131 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +1,870 | $960 | $960 | 57 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +1,826 | $939 | $939 | 55 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +1,825 | $995 | $995 | 69 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +1,804 | $1,119 | $1,119 | 112 | 10-16 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +1,804 | $894 | $894 | 121 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,712 | $690 | $690 | 98 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +1,700 | $27 | $27 | 28 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +1,567 | $648 | $648 | 53 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +1,397 | $1,136 | $1,136 | 28 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +1,373 | $80 | $80 | 22 | 10-16 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8580…0be5 | Up | +1,342 | $1,076 | $1,076 | 9 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | +1,288 | $605 | $605 | 46 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | +1,257 | $1,245 | $1,245 | 14 | 10-16 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | +1,239 | $388 | $388 | 37 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +1,183 | $935 | $935 | 26 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Up | +1,164 | $1,095 | $1,095 | 2 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,163 | $546 | $546 | 66 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +1,112 | $693 | $693 | 35 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6be…8dd0 | Up | +1,109 | $465 | $465 | 69 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6be…8dd0 | Down | +1,038 | $496 | $496 | 67 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +935 | $501 | $501 | 19 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +927 | $392 | $392 | 65 | 10-16 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xeeeb…1157 | Down | +925 | $142 | $142 | 19 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +882 | $400 | $400 | 21 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +872 | $390 | $390 | 43 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +867 | $551 | $551 | 35 | 10-16 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +848 | $462 | $462 | 26 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +847 | $418 | $418 | 30 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb05f…6a63 | Up | +817 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | +798 | $519 | $519 | 15 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +797 | $411 | $411 | 50 | 10-16 08:33 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +787 | $618 | $618 | 35 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Down | +777 | $293 | $293 | 42 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +764 | $528 | $528 | 29 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +726 | $178 | $178 | 18 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +726 | $186 | $186 | 28 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +711 | $425 | $425 | 20 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +689 | $350 | $350 | 18 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +688 | $369 | $369 | 14 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +684 | $285 | $285 | 32 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +681 | $303 | $303 | 62 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +668 | $531 | $531 | 17 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +657 | $290 | $290 | 53 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +607 | $272 | $272 | 37 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +595 | $207 | $207 | 20 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Down | +565 | $341 | $344 | 25 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +556 | $299 | $299 | 35 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x29e3…4e10 | Up | +553 | $298 | $298 | 12 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8d7…beca | Down | +552 | $198 | $208 | 28 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +540 | $186 | $186 | 17 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Down | +531 | $273 | $273 | 42 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +529 | $279 | $279 | 21 | 10-16 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e08…9779 | Down | +505 | $485 | $485 | 1 | 10-16 08:33 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Down | +491 | $196 | $196 | 16 | 10-16 08:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 08:35:54 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Up | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x2f90d8… |
| 10-16 08:35:54 | (anonymous) 0xb470…e908 | Up | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x2f90d8… |
| 10-16 08:35:19 | (anonymous) 0xe69a…aa4b | Up | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x374c1a… |
| 10-16 08:35:19 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x374c1a… |
| 10-16 08:35:10 | (anonymous) 0xd98d…6418 | Up | SELL | 159 | 99¢ | $157 | 0x4f4248… |
| 10-16 08:35:10 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $157 | 0x4f4248… |
| 10-16 08:35:06 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x53ee26… |
| 10-16 08:35:06 | (anonymous) 0xa2a8…1c82 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x53ee26… |
| 10-16 08:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x8490…c177 | Up | SELL | 275 | 99¢ | $272 | 0xb831e7… |
| 10-16 08:35:03 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 275 | 99¢ | $272 | 0xb831e7… |
| 10-16 08:35:03 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x75f863… |
| 10-16 08:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x76f9…8ea0 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x75f863… |
| 10-16 08:35:01 | (anonymous) 0xd1f7…6a03 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7c280c… |
| 10-16 08:35:01 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x7c280c… |
| 10-16 08:35:00 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xc06789… |
| 10-16 08:35:00 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xc06789… |
| 10-16 08:35:00 | Flawless-Battalion 0x6ec5…465a | Up | SELL | 180 | 99¢ | $178 | 0x284899… |
| 10-16 08:35:00 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 180 | 99¢ | $178 | 0x284899… |
| 10-16 08:34:58 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb2cfc6… |
| 10-16 08:34:58 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x28fab2… |
| 10-16 08:34:58 | Similar-Balcony 0x1c2e…d554 | Up | SELL | 338 | 99¢ | $334 | 0x64aaec… |
| 10-16 08:34:58 | Athletic-Coordination 0x61df…7ec2 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb2cfc6… |
| 10-16 08:34:58 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 338 | 99¢ | $334 | 0x64aaec… |
| 10-16 08:34:58 | Young-Shot 0x89b4…f9cb | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x28fab2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x5cac…0653 | Down | BUY | 47 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06af59… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x2b3656… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xce49aa… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4c8e2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Down | BUY | 47 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33fd24… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x5cac…0653 | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33fd24… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Inexperienced-Breakfast-Boyfriend 0x7f4d…fdbe | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfc1585… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bcd65… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x5379cf… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3aa088… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x00ec62… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xc25108… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xffdb19… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5379cf… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xffdb19… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6efd49… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Squiggly-Hearth 0x8ea9…5b98 | Down | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xabeab5… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b3656… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 326 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x8d84cb… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc1585… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Inexperienced-Breakfast-Boyfriend 0x7f4d…fdbe | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc18ca2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b89e6… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xc45e…16db | Up | BUY | 76 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x6efd49… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xc25108… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7bf737… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x6efd49… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x07d6e1… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x33fd24… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Down | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bcd65… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6efd49… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $990 | 0x8d84cb… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 97 | 99¢ | $97 | 0x06af59… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xabeab5… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Up | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x6efd49… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x499412… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xf3ec…2591 | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x3aa088… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x85a1e2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x2b89e6… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x07d6e1… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91e63b… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7bf737… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x962d…23a8 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bcd65… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Down | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc18ca2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6efd49… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Noteworthy-Pruner-Exclamation 0xb7f9…6add | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x91e63b… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x5e4e…82b7 | Up | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x00ec62… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Posh-Sake 0x62f4…c090 | Up | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x6bcd65… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x52ec…408e | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x499412… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Noteworthy-Pruner-Exclamation 0xb7f9…6add | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x85a1e2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Up | BUY | 152 | 99¢ | $150 | 0x6bcd65… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0xe4c8e2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc18ca2… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6bcd65… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x920e…f3f2 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06af59… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Infatuated-Vacation 0x4637…6cfb | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xce49aa… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7bf737… |
| 10-16 08:34:57 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 674 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x8d84cb… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x920e…f3f2 | Down | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6350c2… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x11ad17… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd7b78d… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xbd33d4… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x11ad17… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x491fc7… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Reliable-Lap 0x4157…5474 | Down | BUY | 49 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x9cf949… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xc21d5e… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Noteworthy-Pruner-Exclamation 0xb7f9…6add | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc98de8… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xb0019d… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xeb1f…5b91 | Up | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x491fc7… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe22bba… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb76177… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Down | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc92ed2… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b7845… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Inexperienced-Breakfast-Boyfriend 0x7f4d…fdbe | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xafbbfc… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x9b7845… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Down | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa0471e… |
| 10-16 08:34:55 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xc92ed2… |