Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
54
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$1.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$14
7 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-23 10:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 45% -$11
Other
6% 11% +$7
Politics
2% 40% -$11
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-20 11:27
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-20 11:27
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 10-15 08:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 10-20 11:51
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +12 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:55
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-20 11:13