Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

127 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$53

$1.32K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 11-04 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 37% -$44

Other

5% 18% +$8

Politics

2% 57% -$6

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-15 08:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+10	$1	8¢	$1	$0	10-15 08:54
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+12	$1	6¢	$1	$0	10-15 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$156	116	81	+35	Down	+$6	10-15 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$103	125	53	+71	Down	+$3	10-16 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$93	119	119	+0	Up	-$7	10-15 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$64	62	34	+28	Up	+$4	10-16 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$63	67	30	+38	Up	-$4	10-16 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$62	557	27	+529	Up	-$8	10-16 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$50	128	0	+128	Up	+$12	10-15 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$50	112	0	+112	Down	-$50	10-16 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$50	81	0	+81	Down	+$31	10-15 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	5	$45	76	0	+76	Up	-$6	10-15 11:37
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	2	$44	38	38	+0	Yes	+$24	10-16 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$38	167	33	+133	Down	-$5	10-15 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$35	99	0	+99	Up	+$36	10-15 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$30	54	0	+54	Up	+$12	10-15 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$30	56	0	+56	Up	+$1	10-15 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$30	63	0	+63	Up	+$2	10-15 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$30	94	0	+94	Down	+$2	10-15 11:01
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$28	44	0	+44	Down	+$3	10-15 10:45
Solana Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$25	139	0	+139	Down	-$25	10-15 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$25	278	0	+278	Down	-$25	10-16 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$25	74	0	+74	Up	-$25	11-04 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	3	$23	28	13	+15	Up	+$3	10-16 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	Down	$0	10-15 10:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	10-23 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:10 UTC	1	$10	40	0	+40	Up	-$10	10-16 13:11
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	511	0	+511	Down	-$10	10-15 14:29
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	-$10	10-15 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$10	132	0	+132	Down	-$10	10-15 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$10	62	0	+62	Down	+$32	10-15 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$10	42	0	+42	Down	-$4	10-15 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x20b0d4…
11-04 14:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfc5e5d…
11-04 14:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8e0c4f…
11-04 14:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd74bff…
11-04 14:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f9ce4…
11-04 13:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x332086…
11-04 13:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa60c71…
11-04 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3aa306…
11-04 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7032e9…
11-04 13:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe590e5…
11-04 13:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe5e09f…
11-04 13:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe8e885…
11-04 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3a2005…
11-04 13:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xec6da7…
11-04 13:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1d2549…
11-04 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf6a9b8…
11-04 12:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8f7360…
11-04 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x985ef3…
11-04 12:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa76a67…
11-04 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbace6f…
11-04 12:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x00ff43…
11-04 12:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x166232…
11-04 12:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x01a7f8…
11-04 12:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3806c4…
10-23 10:09:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x341de9…
10-22 15:56:38	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x538cfb…
10-22 15:56:27	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x47c00e…
10-22 15:56:11	Will Trump say "France" or "Paris" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe7bf1c…
10-22 15:55:56	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0cbdc2…
10-20 16:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd5df14…
10-20 15:57:09	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x5cb8ee…
10-20 11:51:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa9057e…
10-20 11:27:53	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x792961…
10-20 11:27:45	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x206021…
10-20 11:17:48	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x316e7e…
10-20 11:17:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e97a4…
10-20 11:17:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x199bd5…
10-20 11:17:35	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x23cc53…
10-20 11:17:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x432a5b…
10-20 11:13:41	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8cfd15…
10-20 11:13:32	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xc30f29…
10-16 13:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xccd0fa…
10-16 13:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfdf338…
10-16 13:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7cf280…
10-16 11:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7287ad…
10-16 11:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8459e8…
10-16 11:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5e1269…
10-16 08:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x07c2e1…
10-16 08:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x36a2fe…
10-16 08:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x31de85…
10-16 08:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xa1b0b9…
10-16 08:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xa494b3…
10-16 08:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x52c161…
10-16 08:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x659754…
10-16 08:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xd014f1…
10-16 08:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8c730d…
10-16 08:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x374c1a…
10-16 08:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x6d0e3e…
10-16 08:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x95fec0…
10-16 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdb6e68…
10-16 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x05e8fe…
10-16 08:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe87ec6…
10-16 08:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6da2bb…
10-16 08:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x18f782…
10-16 08:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe7f929…
10-16 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x14591e…
10-16 03:53:04	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0xbe5134…
10-15 23:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0xe98fbe…
10-15 23:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x7a9dd1…
10-15 23:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x42718d…
10-15 23:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x9148ba…
10-15 23:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x0ecb83…
10-15 23:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4776fb…
10-15 23:16:48	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3fb3f6…
10-15 23:16:24	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xff5458…
10-15 23:09:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x781f1c…
10-15 22:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe6f094…
10-15 20:51:59	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x420a1c…
10-15 20:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xc81cc3…
10-15 20:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x729a85…
10-15 20:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x2b8991…
10-15 20:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xdf0a6d…
10-15 20:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd77451…
10-15 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5f59b8…
10-15 19:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf942fd…
10-15 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x9ac502…
10-15 16:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x974ad1…
10-15 14:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	119	36¢	$43	0xc3cab7…
10-15 14:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xd2e619…
10-15 14:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xb26a1c…
10-15 14:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3385fc…
10-15 14:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xed8a5b…
10-15 13:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xb94faf…
10-15 13:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe06d29…
10-15 13:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xba5411…
10-15 11:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc14fdf…
10-15 11:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa5a76c…
10-15 11:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x016592…
10-15 11:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x39d111…
10-15 11:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x997b12…