Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$937

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$98

9 positions

First seen

2026-11-01

last 11-10 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

75% 100% +$34

Other

25% 36% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+44	$20	60¢	$26	+$6	11-03 12:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+192	$30	10¢	$20	-$10	11-03 18:25
Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	+56	$20	34¢	$19	-$1	11-08 04:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+39	$20	26¢	$10	-$10	11-05 05:59
Will the KMT win Taipei and the DPP win New Taipei?	Yes	+29	$10	33¢	$10	$0	11-09 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	+13	$5	50¢	$7	+$2	11-10 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	Yes	+12	$5	36¢	$4	-$1	11-10 17:35
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+112	$29	1¢	$1	-$27	11-04 18:57
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+38	$10	1¢	$0	-$10	11-04 07:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$159	92	92	+0	Yes	+$25	11-04 06:59
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?	5	$146	126	126	+0	open	—	11-07 09:32
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	3	$81	123	123	+0	open	—	11-09 16:56
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	4	$44	113	113	+0	open	—	11-08 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	3	$43	28	28	+0	Yes	+$13	11-05 08:29
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	2	$40	33	33	+0	open	—	11-06 22:27
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	4	$39	166	54	+112	open	—	11-04 18:57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$39	61	61	+0	open	—	11-04 09:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$30	192	0	+192	open	—	11-03 18:25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	11-04 04:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	11-04 04:01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	11-04 04:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	11-05 05:59
Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	11-08 04:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	11-03 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	3	$19	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	11-06 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 5?	2	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	+$8	11-05 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	11-10 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 7?	2	$13	16	16	+0	No	+$3	11-07 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 6?	2	$12	76	76	+0	No	-$8	11-06 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 7?	2	$11	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	11-07 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	4	$10	26	26	+0	open	—	11-10 06:49
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	11-04 07:33
Will the KMT win Taipei and the DPP win New Taipei?	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	11-09 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 6?	2	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$1	11-06 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 5?	2	$10	18	0	+18	No	-$10	11-05 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	2	$8	8	8	+0	No	-$2	11-05 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 6?	2	$6	25	25	+0	No	-$4	11-06 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	2	$5	25	25	+0	No	-$5	11-04 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	11-10 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 17:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5cf640…
11-10 17:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0e1e6d…
11-10 08:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3fb024…
11-10 06:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x9b069b…
11-10 06:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc32e21…
11-10 05:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x09e704…
11-10 01:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa4d902…
11-09 17:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8dbfc6…
11-09 17:10:28	Will the KMT win Taipei and the DPP win New Taipei?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x952b4d…
11-09 16:56:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	123	34¢	$41	0x13458a…
11-08 16:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xbe8612…
11-08 04:41:00	Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x6c7f53…
11-08 00:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf3398f…
11-08 00:58:42	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x5e507b…
11-07 09:32:43	New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	51	17¢	$9	0xc6b777…
11-07 08:33:06	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbc2fd3…
11-07 08:29:58	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	88	10¢	$9	0x05fefb…
11-07 03:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0xe61946…
11-07 03:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd475a0…
11-07 00:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x0c6869…
11-06 22:27:55	New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9a5693…
11-06 22:27:19	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0x9f2401…
11-06 10:07:54	New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x59b4d8…
11-06 08:16:57	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x43840e…
11-06 08:16:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x323c61…
11-06 04:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x1e9075…
11-06 04:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xc12f45…
11-06 03:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x22b62b…
11-06 01:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$2	0xfe8c49…
11-06 00:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x9b70a9…
11-06 00:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xde2be0…
11-06 00:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x09b09e…
11-05 09:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x138fff…
11-05 09:25:31	New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	75	73¢	$54	0x24d4e5…
11-05 09:18:52	New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xe202ba…
11-05 09:15:10	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x707821…
11-05 08:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x954d92…
11-05 07:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xeab379…
11-05 07:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcfe542…
11-05 07:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2c6216…
11-05 05:59:22	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x974f51…
11-05 05:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x286708…
11-05 03:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x742d0c…
11-05 03:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x70f545…
11-05 03:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb31c0…
11-05 03:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc43712…
11-05 03:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x969e16…
11-05 03:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xcabc0d…
11-04 18:57:42	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0xcb652e…
11-04 18:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xde2e85…
11-04 18:17:54	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	10¢	$5	0xe7c64d…
11-04 09:58:30	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x14a816…
11-04 07:33:39	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe7672d…
11-04 07:18:24	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xdf5b80…
11-04 07:12:25	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x021a1a…
11-04 06:59:58	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x9cc785…
11-04 06:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xa7cb85…
11-04 04:12:31	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0x19ef48…
11-04 04:01:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xed76b9…
11-04 04:01:31	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7c13a9…
11-04 03:19:00	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x205499…
11-04 03:12:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2801fb…
11-03 18:25:21	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	192	16¢	$30	0xa23d58…
11-03 12:06:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x968485…
11-03 12:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe3a971…
11-02 15:20:52	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xcdf0ef…
11-02 15:10:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1e7567…
11-02 15:10:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x78624b…
11-02 13:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5cd1ee…
11-01 18:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0x99e48d…
11-01 17:15:15	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x4c0e12…
11-01 17:12:46	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	92	73¢	$67	0x34d414…