Closed-Ordinary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$548

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

237

Trades

486

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$127

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-03 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

63% 32% +$47

Politics

18% 25% -$612

Crypto

15% 35% +$20

Sports

4% 35% -$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+87	$81	96¢	$84	+$3	09-15 17:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+100	$25	22¢	$22	-$2	11-03 11:22
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+49	$24	30¢	$15	-$9	11-01 18:36
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$5	4¢	$4	-$1	10-25 03:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+50	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	07-02 02:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$3.9K	4,864	4,864	+0	No	-$37	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,576	1,576	+0	No	-$615	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	22	$678	529	529	+0	No	-$32	10-27 06:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	27	$533	555	511	+44	Yes	+$133	10-30 22:15
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	19	$298	530	480	+50	No	-$16	09-28 17:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	20	$258	527	312	+215	Yes	+$97	10-29 00:56
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	4	$244	174	90	+84	Yes	$0	06-10 00:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	7	$207	226	75	+151	Yes	+$40	10-17 03:54
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	4	$182	100	100	+0	No	+$4	10-22 03:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	12	$178	191	191	+0	No	-$38	10-21 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	3	$167	100	85	+15	Yes	-$13	06-12 06:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?	3	$153	87	87	+0	Yes	-$17	06-09 16:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?	3	$142	109	47	+62	Yes	-$3	06-12 16:06
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	9	$133	194	194	+0	open	—	10-10 12:46
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	8	$127	198	94	+104	No	-$40	10-28 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?	2	$107	60	60	+0	Yes	-$11	06-08 06:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	06-05 20:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	4	$100	80	80	+0	No	+$1	09-18 06:22
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-24 17:14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	2	$91	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 19:35
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	2	$88	52	52	+0	No	-$1	07-18 22:16
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	6	$86	139	90	+49	open	—	11-01 18:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	4	$84	138	0	+138	open	—	09-15 17:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	7	$81	232	79	+153	Yes	-$39	10-13 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?	1	$75	78	0	+78	Yes	+$3	06-07 07:46
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$74	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	10-24 07:27
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$74	50	49	+1	Yes	+$0	06-23 01:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?	1	$73	76	0	+76	Yes	+$3	06-12 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?	1	$73	75	0	+75	Yes	+$2	06-11 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?	1	$67	68	0	+68	Yes	+$1	06-04 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:22:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x874180…
11-02 19:05:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x778ca3…
11-01 18:36:16	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x033522…
11-01 17:31:06	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x01c97c…
10-30 22:15:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x07c896…
10-30 22:14:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x8594c2…
10-30 22:08:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x1c5684…
10-30 22:07:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xf48978…
10-30 21:49:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	53	87¢	$46	0x3be7bd…
10-30 21:40:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0xf47551…
10-30 21:25:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0x6122df…
10-30 21:23:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	64	75¢	$48	0xbc08a4…
10-30 19:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0xf321f5…
10-30 18:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	64	37¢	$24	0x74dd6e…
10-30 15:10:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe5f12f…
10-30 13:29:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf0cae4…
10-30 13:04:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x054fa6…
10-30 09:37:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0x11a5d9…
10-30 07:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xba9bb7…
10-30 05:15:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0xca9775…
10-30 03:42:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x91a3fd…
10-29 17:09:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x75f036…
10-29 16:46:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x583b9b…
10-29 00:56:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x356fae…
10-29 00:46:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xa1736e…
10-29 00:37:35	Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x95d2d3…
10-28 19:35:07	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x9b1291…
10-28 18:59:50	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x28d70f…
10-28 15:16:07	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x00b587…
10-28 11:56:28	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4795ff…
10-28 11:44:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x30d711…
10-27 20:55:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xee43f8…
10-27 06:57:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1b923c…
10-27 06:56:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x83e776…
10-27 06:54:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x4bcd08…
10-27 06:52:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x7214d7…
10-25 19:54:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x2ddaa6…
10-25 16:23:50	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x88707d…
10-25 13:41:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x5f219c…
10-25 03:23:35	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x9ec31a…
10-24 15:20:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x96ea10…
10-24 14:44:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x585dce…
10-24 13:52:51	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0xe9f2be…
10-24 11:37:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xec9720…
10-24 10:12:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd129ea…
10-24 07:27:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xf63d29…
10-24 05:29:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x245201…
10-24 04:06:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0xa70756…
10-24 03:58:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xdd877e…
10-24 02:06:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0x11b9fa…
10-23 19:02:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb9f783…
10-23 18:40:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x0b255f…
10-23 16:07:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x56dafe…
10-23 12:36:17	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xe5afb1…
10-23 12:28:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x334e7e…
10-23 11:07:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x164271…
10-23 07:49:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x34d373…
10-23 03:45:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf1e366…
10-22 17:53:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xebea2c…
10-22 14:50:09	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6a173b…
10-22 12:48:06	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x2c867c…
10-22 05:17:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x169e6c…
10-22 03:44:50	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xc27298…
10-21 22:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x6523f6…
10-21 20:58:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x37198e…
10-21 19:06:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x62f3bb…
10-21 19:03:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xe1d7b6…
10-21 18:59:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	27¢	$8	0xc8f14a…
10-21 15:26:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9f7cbc…
10-21 10:39:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x6a301c…
10-21 08:50:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0x0a16e6…
10-21 07:38:41	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x2e3dcd…
10-21 06:11:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	26¢	$13	0xdf6fc8…
10-20 13:09:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xccb411…
10-20 11:21:14	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x4d7b5f…
10-19 01:44:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xc7ac5d…
10-19 01:01:33	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x641958…
10-18 23:26:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4e1d8d…
10-18 23:19:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x878b1d…
10-17 03:54:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5b63f0…
10-17 01:19:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xecfca0…
10-16 19:31:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x4edc97…
10-16 14:53:52	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xf7064e…
10-16 01:00:49	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x091109…
10-15 14:18:50	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x2730d3…
10-15 14:00:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x59c0da…
10-15 05:42:19	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0xa5b7cb…
10-15 05:42:08	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0x333302…
10-14 22:35:43	will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2ee7e0…
10-14 10:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x693ff8…
10-13 19:03:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	34¢	$17	0x919e2d…
10-13 19:01:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x901bba…
10-13 17:34:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0xc0169e…
10-13 17:33:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x896706…
10-13 16:59:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xb84804…
10-13 15:53:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xc559e8…
10-13 10:48:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xb47931…
10-13 10:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0x1a1f10…
10-13 01:53:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x25d293…
10-13 01:16:33	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x405706…