Gullible-Giraffe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$56.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$263

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-23 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 100% +$45

Other

43% 100% +$8

Politics

11% 67% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	11	$4.2K	2,250	2,242	+8	open	—	04-27 13:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$3.1K	1,897	1,897	+0	open	—	04-23 09:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$2.1K	1,138	1,138	+0	open	—	04-21 20:00
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	6	$1.8K	1,119	1,119	+0	open	—	04-07 09:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	5	$1.8K	1,857	0	+1,857	open	—	05-16 10:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$1.5K	761	759	+2	open	—	04-30 18:34
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	3	$1.4K	1,522	0	+1,522	open	—	04-26 23:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	2	$1.4K	723	723	+0	open	—	05-23 10:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$1.3K	768	768	+0	open	—	05-23 10:13
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	2	$1.2K	624	624	+0	open	—	05-23 10:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$1.2K	640	640	+0	open	—	05-11 12:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	4	$1.2K	640	636	+3	open	—	04-29 12:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 20-26?	2	$1.1K	550	549	+2	open	—	04-22 18:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	2	$1.1K	534	534	+0	No	+$6	05-11 00:10
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	open	—	05-23 10:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	2	$1.0K	521	519	+2	open	—	04-05 12:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	open	—	05-03 12:25
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	6	$904	493	493	+0	open	—	03-29 15:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k april 6 12	2	$870	899	0	+899	open	—	04-08 14:07
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	6	$843	590	295	+295	open	—	03-30 17:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$823	422	422	+0	open	—	05-23 02:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	3	$820	423	423	+0	No	+$25	05-11 00:09
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$811	427	427	+0	open	—	03-26 15:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$794	428	428	+0	open	—	05-23 10:13
will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	2	$793	413	412	+1	open	—	04-06 20:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$786	838	0	+838	open	—	05-01 14:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	5	$727	650	645	+5	open	—	04-08 09:34
will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	1	$709	718	0	+718	open	—	04-10 15:46
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	1	$698	723	0	+723	open	—	04-18 13:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$681	724	0	+724	open	—	04-27 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 10:13:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	217	90¢	$196	0x55ac21…
05-23 10:13:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	235	94¢	$221	0x0b1e5c…
05-23 10:13:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	308	74¢	$228	0x4d60d7…
05-23 10:13:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	428	92¢	$394	0xa4c2f1…
05-23 10:13:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	472	97¢	$457	0xe81dd0…
05-23 10:13:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	526	100¢	$525	0x37267b…
05-23 10:13:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	624	99¢	$617	0x7dc1a3…
05-23 10:12:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	723	99¢	$716	0x91824d…
05-23 02:24:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	235	94¢	$221	0x22ec22…
05-23 02:21:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x8964bb…
05-23 02:20:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	422	100¢	$421	0xf4aedb…
05-23 00:09:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	624	99¢	$618	0xd04eea…
05-21 16:07:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$68	0xe705c2…
05-21 01:18:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	349	95¢	$333	0x6c29cb…
05-21 01:14:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	341	98¢	$334	0xa0f08d…
05-18 14:50:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	472	95¢	$449	0xe2592a…
05-18 14:49:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	428	93¢	$400	0x62a799…
05-18 14:47:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	308	97¢	$300	0xdebfe7…
05-18 14:44:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xcc8548…
05-18 14:29:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	723	97¢	$700	0xae202e…
05-18 14:28:59	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xdcf904…
05-18 00:55:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	SELL	127	47¢	$60	0x46467b…
05-16 10:58:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	545	97¢	$527	0xccfad4…
05-15 13:37:00	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0x4835f4…
05-15 13:35:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	SELL	127	73¢	$93	0x0e5919…
05-13 12:36:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0x2cdc88…
05-13 09:41:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0xdc0a3b…
05-13 09:39:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x321171…
05-13 09:38:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4001c3…
05-13 09:34:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x794c03…
05-11 12:37:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0xe5e7e9…
05-11 12:35:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xb5e72e…
05-11 12:35:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x1f7d75…
05-11 12:34:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	640	93¢	$595	0x96c6e3…
05-11 12:25:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8a47d2…
05-11 12:25:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	302	86¢	$260	0x97eb7c…
05-11 12:24:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xc56802…
05-11 00:18:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	339	98¢	$332	0x78a954…
05-11 00:14:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x876452…
05-11 00:10:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	534	100¢	$534	0x085b40…
05-11 00:09:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	429	98¢	$422	0x442926…
05-11 00:09:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	423	100¢	$422	0x86f202…
05-09 11:22:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	534	99¢	$528	0x6ad30c…
05-09 01:19:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	255	81¢	$206	0x5323ae…
05-05 13:07:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	145	94¢	$136	0x792da6…
05-05 09:19:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	278	94¢	$261	0x2208c0…
05-05 09:18:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0xeb3ba7…
05-04 15:49:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd5fd3f…
05-04 15:48:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	255	72¢	$183	0x8fbff6…
05-04 11:35:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	308	69¢	$212	0xc304a1…
05-04 11:34:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0xbff72a…
05-04 11:22:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x9ab0e6…
05-03 12:30:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	255	86¢	$219	0x811e04…
05-03 12:29:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0x8021c8…
05-03 12:26:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	529	96¢	$505	0xaeb9d3…
05-03 12:25:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	506	100¢	$505	0xc97b2a…
05-01 14:26:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$32	0xf161c1…
05-01 12:40:10	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	46	67¢	$31	0x57df2c…
05-01 09:59:12	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x461c6d…
05-01 09:30:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xb16950…
05-01 09:22:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	640	94¢	$600	0x398660…
05-01 09:10:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x065734…
04-30 19:02:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	263	93¢	$244	0xe38c00…
04-30 19:02:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0xa1fd11…
04-30 18:34:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	803	94¢	$754	0x97e47d…
04-30 18:34:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	759	99¢	$754	0x5ee378…
04-29 22:44:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7d9d9a…
04-29 22:43:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	462	97¢	$450	0xff79d4…
04-29 12:56:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	486	99¢	$481	0xda6119…
04-27 13:21:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	724	94¢	$681	0xeab1f4…
04-27 13:20:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	693	98¢	$681	0xe4c63b…
04-27 12:19:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	339	87¢	$295	0x92fcc8…
04-27 12:18:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x6d9d9b…
04-27 12:18:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$148	0x0e5c02…
04-27 11:23:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	761	97¢	$736	0xd6bbf6…
04-27 10:40:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in April?	No	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x33d524…
04-26 23:01:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	879	94¢	$826	0xc48b84…
04-26 23:01:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	843	98¢	$827	0x3272e9…
04-26 23:00:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	299	94¢	$281	0x63dee7…
04-26 22:58:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0xad3c8d…
04-26 20:15:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	344	94¢	$325	0xd56e49…
04-26 20:13:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	327	99¢	$325	0x08b942…
04-25 20:31:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	327	95¢	$311	0x06cb74…
04-25 20:30:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	320	97¢	$312	0x5bfd42…
04-25 14:07:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	282	99¢	$279	0x5fcb2e…
04-25 00:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x33ec6b…
04-25 00:23:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	272	6¢	$16	0x6c6fdd…
04-23 10:07:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	390	91¢	$355	0x254ff9…
04-23 10:02:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xf4ec51…
04-23 09:57:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	575	96¢	$555	0x6ab537…
04-22 18:30:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	586	92¢	$540	0xc0b0ef…
04-22 18:28:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	549	98¢	$540	0x6bdb9e…
04-21 20:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x4b3170…
04-21 20:03:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0xc74612…
04-21 20:02:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0x498bb4…
04-21 20:00:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1,138	98¢	$1,118	0x1c2386…
04-20 11:49:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	550	96¢	$528	0x2a0965…
04-20 10:30:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x163556…
04-20 10:29:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x2d4d7d…
04-18 13:22:36	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	No	BUY	723	97¢	$698	0xff56f0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	77	$756.2K	12,740	05-31 19:25
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	68	$6.64K	514	05-31 11:59
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	51	$16.3M	22,603	06-01 01:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	48	$106.0K	1,165	06-01 05:55
Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2	48	$1.06K	91	05-23 19:20
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	46	$293.9K	3,211	05-31 15:18
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	46	$2.75K	2,068	05-31 00:57
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	45	$49.9K	520	05-29 21:27