Frilly-Reactant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$975

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$67.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$543

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-24 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 98% -$1,101

Politics

5% 100% +$83

Sports

4% 100% +$25

Other

2% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	1	$1.6K	1,609	0	+1,609	No	+$2	04-03 13:24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.6K	809	809	+0	No	+$13	07-12 00:05
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$16	03-18 19:39
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1.5K	1,608	0	+1,608	No	+$64	03-31 10:41
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	Yes	+$3	03-24 15:08
ethereum above 2300 on february 21	1	$1.5K	1,483	0	+1,483	No	+$1	02-21 06:20
bitcoin above 62k on february 17	1	$1.5K	1,481	0	+1,481	Yes	+$3	02-17 07:47
Superform FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$1.5K	1,475	0	+1,475	No	+$11	02-08 04:58
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	2	$1.4K	1,497	0	+1,497	Yes	+$53	03-23 10:21
ethereum above 2200 on february 16	1	$1.4K	1,438	0	+1,438	No	+$3	02-16 05:43
ethereum above 2000 on march 22	1	$1.4K	1,446	0	+1,446	Yes	+$14	03-22 13:01
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	1	$1.4K	1,429	0	+1,429	No	+$7	03-19 06:43
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$1.4K	1,412	0	+1,412	Yes	+$1	03-13 08:28
bitcoin above 66k on march 12	1	$1.4K	1,410	0	+1,410	Yes	+$3	03-12 11:47
bitcoin above 66k on march 11	1	$1.4K	1,407	0	+1,407	Yes	+$10	03-11 10:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	1	$1.4K	1,388	0	+1,388	No	+$28	03-09 13:29
ethereum above 2100 on march 8	1	$1.4K	1,360	0	+1,360	No	+$10	03-08 12:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 5	1	$1.3K	1,324	0	+1,324	Yes	+$9	03-05 04:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 6	7	$1.3K	1,324	0	+1,324	Yes	+$17	03-06 12:47
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$1.2K	1,180	1,180	+0	Yes	-$1,092	04-22 19:59
bitcoin above 68k on april 15	1	$1.2K	1,155	0	+1,155	Yes	+$2	04-14 17:55
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	Yes	+$3	04-07 17:47
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	1	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	Yes	+$13	04-10 13:30
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	2	$1.1K	1,124	0	+1,124	Yes	+$20	03-27 14:02
bitcoin above 70k on march 26	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	No	+$3	03-26 15:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$8	03-25 10:10
ethereum above 2600 on february 3	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	No	+$1	02-03 12:05
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	02-27 04:41
will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 6	6	$986	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$14	04-06 17:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	1	$906	911	0	+911	Yes	+$5	03-04 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 09:13:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	822	100¢	$820	0x79c5a8…
07-23 17:50:00	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	822	100¢	$819	0x1322d3…
07-12 00:06:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6ce7e4…
07-12 00:06:04	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	812	98¢	$800	0x1e29c5…
07-12 00:05:47	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	809	100¢	$808	0xe6f321…
07-03 16:28:56	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	809	98¢	$795	0x416b12…
06-23 15:14:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	733	95¢	$696	0x9f7d01…
06-23 15:09:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x2ec67f…
06-23 15:03:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb53152…
06-23 15:03:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xade572…
06-23 15:01:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x0acf75…
06-17 15:05:34	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	515	1¢	$7	0x21d75a…
06-05 14:02:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	750	97¢	$730	0x2f5c2d…
05-30 20:14:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	579	97¢	$559	0xb2b312…
05-28 01:46:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	559	100¢	$558	0x121735…
05-24 14:25:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	551	100¢	$550	0x9e2787…
05-24 14:24:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3c9093…
05-23 01:08:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	653	99¢	$650	0x02790c…
05-21 15:33:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	651	100¢	$650	0x42fb79…
05-19 16:30:08	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	653	100¢	$650	0x407d3a…
05-15 12:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xdb6946…
05-13 15:12:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x35fb02…
05-13 15:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x5a4ac1…
05-13 15:11:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x468f78…
05-08 20:05:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xc1b0de…
05-06 15:42:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	691	100¢	$690	0xc678d6…
04-26 00:27:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	283	93¢	$263	0xc3b844…
04-22 19:59:22	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,114	5¢	$58	0xc470e1…
04-22 19:47:54	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	66	7¢	$4	0x87499e…
04-21 13:52:12	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,180	98¢	$1,155	0x62dc36…
04-14 17:55:54	bitcoin above 68k on april 15	Yes	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,153	0x21a188…
04-10 13:30:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 10	Yes	BUY	1,140	99¢	$1,127	0x94045b…
04-07 17:47:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,091	100¢	$1,088	0xb7ef02…
04-07 17:45:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x3b47e5…
04-07 16:38:15	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	375	97¢	$364	0x9c8849…
04-07 06:56:05	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x217212…
04-07 06:40:45	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xbceb02…
04-07 01:43:51	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x14d789…
04-06 21:26:15	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xa0a4b9…
04-06 17:01:25	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 6	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa1a1b2…
04-06 16:56:17	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 6	No	BUY	270	99¢	$266	0xf980e8…
04-06 16:56:17	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 6	No	BUY	180	99¢	$177	0xc0538d…
04-06 16:56:17	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 6	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x8ccca3…
04-06 16:56:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 6	No	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0xa5979c…
04-06 16:51:13	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 6	No	BUY	112	99¢	$110	0xd6425f…
04-03 13:24:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	No	BUY	1,609	100¢	$1,608	0x8e446a…
03-31 10:41:27	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,608	96¢	$1,543	0x046918…
03-31 10:40:59	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	417	100¢	$417	0x2c1dca…
03-29 08:31:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 29	No	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0x83bd99…
03-27 14:02:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	1,121	98¢	$1,101	0x829b80…
03-27 13:37:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xe5d524…
03-26 15:23:03	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,101	0x044a7a…
03-25 10:10:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,092	0xb7c1ac…
03-25 10:09:39	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	417	98¢	$409	0xb2c53a…
03-24 15:08:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,499	0x4ecbcb…
03-23 10:21:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	980	96¢	$944	0x806208…
03-23 10:12:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x582861…
03-22 13:01:01	ethereum above 2000 on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,446	99¢	$1,431	0xae2f56…
03-19 21:35:47	bitcoin above 76k on march 20	No	BUY	269	99¢	$267	0x0424cf…
03-19 06:43:05	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	1,429	100¢	$1,422	0xfa1519…
03-18 19:39:13	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	189	99¢	$187	0xf2e177…
03-18 19:39:03	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	800	98¢	$785	0xaa6888…
03-16 05:58:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	371	98¢	$364	0x8fca4e…
03-16 05:51:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xeb043e…
03-16 05:39:13	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	660	96¢	$634	0xb47f02…
03-16 05:37:15	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x0fb367…
03-16 05:33:57	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xaf2021…
03-13 08:28:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,412	100¢	$1,410	0xe86640…
03-12 11:47:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,410	100¢	$1,407	0xbea9bd…
03-11 10:35:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,407	99¢	$1,398	0x1c5352…
03-10 03:20:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x642fdc…
03-10 03:20:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x910232…
03-10 03:20:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x9c2189…
03-10 03:20:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x8e3730…
03-10 03:19:53	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x950981…
03-09 13:29:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	No	BUY	1,388	98¢	$1,360	0x9d08f4…
03-08 12:40:55	ethereum above 2100 on march 8	No	BUY	1,360	99¢	$1,350	0x02ce0a…
03-07 11:29:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 7	Yes	BUY	743	100¢	$742	0x9d55e8…
03-07 11:27:51	ethereum above 2100 on march 7	No	BUY	607	99¢	$600	0xedae52…
03-06 12:47:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	318	99¢	$314	0xd75031…
03-06 12:46:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0xc8234e…
03-06 12:45:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x33728a…
03-06 12:45:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xb2fd01…
03-06 12:44:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x99896f…
03-06 12:40:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x148b2a…
03-06 12:39:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	231	99¢	$228	0xf5b86d…
03-05 04:40:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,324	99¢	$1,316	0xe8c61d…
03-04 09:25:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	BUY	911	99¢	$906	0x13aefc…
03-04 09:24:49	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 4	No	BUY	405	99¢	$400	0x695103…
03-03 07:39:03	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	189	98¢	$184	0x53fb68…
03-03 07:38:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 3	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0xe6a8da…
03-03 07:38:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 3	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x5dcd24…
03-03 07:37:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 3	No	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0x1bf5f6…
02-27 04:41:56	ethereum above 1600 on february 27	Yes	BUY	483	100¢	$483	0xc3ab5a…
02-27 04:41:16	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x33f91e…
02-21 06:20:50	ethereum above 2300 on february 21	No	BUY	1,483	100¢	$1,481	0xaaf769…
02-17 07:47:25	bitcoin above 62k on february 17	Yes	BUY	1,481	100¢	$1,478	0xc7e4ad…
02-16 05:43:53	ethereum above 2200 on february 16	No	BUY	1,438	100¢	$1,435	0x9461ec…
02-16 05:43:43	ethereum above 2300 on february 16	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3d503f…
02-08 04:58:59	Superform FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,475	99¢	$1,464	0xa09b4b…