Smug-Glimpse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

9.9%

Resolved

135

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$69.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$442

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

89% 78% -$29,295

Politics

9% 0% -$1,099

Tech

1% 83% -$273

Crypto

0% 100% +$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+50	$47	100¢	$50	+$3	10-31 04:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?	2	$15.7K	15,532	15,532	+0	open	—	09-24 13:26
ppa tour 2026 newport beach open mens singles pro main draw winner miles hoover win	3	$12.7K	12,468	12,468	+0	No	-$11,962	03-08 07:44
msft close above 450 on january 26 2026	2	$6.9K	6,882	6,882	+0	Yes	-$5,919	01-24 13:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?	3	$6.0K	3,800	3,800	+0	Yes	-$1,026	01-09 08:24
lol fox1 ns 2026 01 15	2	$4.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	BNK FEARX	+$1,400	01-09 07:52
will trump say eight and a quarter war this week january 18	2	$4.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$810	01-09 08:22
will optic texas win dreamhack major 2	4	$4.6K	5,817	5,817	+0	No	-$3,768	03-07 22:48
val jl f9 2026 01 10 total games 2pt5	2	$2.6K	2,595	2,595	+0	Under	-$2,387	01-09 08:25
dota2 ill aloha 2026 02 22 game1	3	$2.5K	2,485	2,485	+0	Ilbirs eSports	-$2,311	02-22 07:04
will trump say switzerland this week january 18	2	$1.7K	1,257	1,257	+0	No	-$289	01-09 08:21
cs2 arc4 minlat 2026 01 14 game2	2	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	ARCRED	-$1,365	01-09 07:44
will jensen or huang be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	2	$1.4K	889	889	+0	Yes	-$329	01-09 07:50
rou1 fcm fua 2026 02 07 draw	2	$1.3K	1,255	1,255	+0	No	-$1,004	01-24 13:41
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	2	$1.2K	867	867	+0	Yes	-$147	01-09 08:20
will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 491	2	$980	667	667	+0	Yes	-$273	01-09 07:49
val fnc1 fut1 2026 01 27 round handicap away 5pt5	2	$493	508	508	+0	Fnatic	-$452	01-24 13:31
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$74	166	0	+166	No	+$91	03-04 13:33
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	10-31 04:19
bitcoin above 62k on february 18	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	02-18 12:53
bitcoin above 68k on february 14	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	02-14 16:01
will bitcoin reach 86k february 2 8	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-08 13:35
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$14	24	0	+24	Spain	-$14	07-12 12:59
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	Over	+$1	06-14 13:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-20 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-28 14:25
highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 27c	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-21 12:57
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	04-09 13:14
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$11	16	0	+16	No	-$11	03-29 15:42
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-13 14:10
Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-21 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:19:34	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x4521e8…
09-24 13:28:23	Will Solana dip to $50 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf02179…
09-24 13:28:18	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x13ac8f…
09-24 13:28:14	Will Solana reach $180 in September?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe36023…
09-24 13:28:11	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x924089…
09-24 13:28:06	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfbf3af…
09-24 13:28:02	Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe714c4…
09-24 13:27:59	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x69b86b…
09-24 13:27:56	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x588027…
09-24 13:27:53	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x427ac4…
09-24 13:27:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4d39c…
09-24 13:27:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb63dfa…
09-24 13:27:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5e98bd…
09-24 13:27:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5bdfa7…
09-24 13:27:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdfc9c6…
09-24 13:27:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x709a34…
09-24 13:27:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe1fe71…
09-24 13:27:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6c87ee…
09-24 13:26:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x998091…
09-24 13:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1789a5…
09-24 13:26:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x41acaa…
09-24 13:26:20	Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,532	89¢	$13,823	0x93cf24…
09-24 13:25:33	Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,532	12¢	$1,864	0x7585d6…
07-12 12:59:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x70f2f2…
06-14 13:13:31	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x4702c0…
05-20 14:47:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbc0263…
05-10 12:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 11?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1c22dc…
05-10 12:55:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb29aaa…
05-10 12:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x52285d…
05-10 12:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x08d3af…
05-10 12:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb86c1b…
05-10 12:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1f6693…
05-10 12:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a35c0…
05-10 12:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7042c5…
04-28 14:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4cd5ef…
04-21 12:57:18	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe33ac9…
04-17 11:17:08	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9578e…
04-17 11:16:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x59ef0b…
04-17 11:16:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfa09c8…
04-17 11:16:30	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 26c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd27512…
04-17 11:16:16	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 27c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x546f0c…
04-17 11:16:14	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 28c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc352fc…
04-17 11:16:10	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x103af6…
04-17 11:16:08	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0f3ba…
04-09 13:14:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8f05e1…
03-29 15:42:42	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xf8906d…
03-13 14:10:07	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc665bc…
03-08 07:46:53	will xrp reach 1pt6 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1ceca6…
03-08 07:46:49	will xrp reach 1pt7 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x28c929…
03-08 07:46:47	will xrp reach 1pt8 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x066a14…
03-08 07:46:45	will xrp dip to 1 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x788d38…
03-08 07:46:43	will xrp dip to 0pt9 march 2 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x04bcc0…
03-08 07:46:33	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa9cd18…
03-08 07:46:31	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9f51a3…
03-08 07:46:27	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x81c46a…
03-08 07:46:25	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd26c1e…
03-08 07:46:21	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10eff0…
03-08 07:46:19	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb0483c…
03-08 07:46:17	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa96535…
03-08 07:46:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x699980…
03-08 07:46:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 8	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x977e3a…
03-08 07:46:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 8	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xde42b0…
03-08 07:45:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7bad9e…
03-08 07:45:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 8	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67c71f…
03-08 07:45:55	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb96206…
03-08 07:45:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9ede9b…
03-08 07:44:13	ppa tour 2026 newport beach open mens singles pro main draw winner miles hoover win	No	SELL	12,468	3¢	$374	0xb33348…
03-08 07:41:41	ppa tour 2026 newport beach open mens singles pro main draw winner miles hoover win	No	BUY	174	95¢	$165	0xa1e3d0…
03-08 07:40:47	ppa tour 2026 newport beach open mens singles pro main draw winner miles hoover win	No	BUY	12,294	99¢	$12,171	0x1d0721…
03-07 22:48:31	will optic texas win dreamhack major 2	Yes	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x4198eb…
03-07 12:41:59	will optic texas win dreamhack major 2	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5702f8…
03-04 13:33:21	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	166	45¢	$74	0x74adf6…
02-22 07:22:16	solana above 70 on february 22	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5fe09e…
02-22 07:22:14	solana above 80 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x967191…
02-22 07:22:12	solana above 90 on february 22	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x429266…
02-22 07:21:50	ethereum above 1700 on february 22	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf17640…
02-22 07:21:44	ethereum above 1800 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd61ea…
02-22 07:21:42	ethereum above 1900 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21ce3b…
02-22 07:21:40	ethereum above 2200 on february 22	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ed034…
02-22 07:21:34	ethereum above 2100 on february 22	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x922f05…
02-22 07:21:28	will bitcoin reach 74k february 16 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd9ac62…
02-22 07:21:26	will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xedf722…
02-22 07:21:24	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 16 22	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37f459…
02-22 07:21:12	will ethereum reach 2400 february 16 22	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedde56…
02-22 07:21:10	will ethereum reach 2300 february 16 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff9705…
02-22 07:21:06	will ethereum reach 2200 february 16 22	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x76aa21…
02-22 07:21:04	will ethereum reach 2100 february 16 22	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc93a69…
02-22 07:21:02	will ethereum dip to 1800 february 16 22	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc2b75d…
02-22 07:21:00	will ethereum dip to 1700 february 16 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x679c17…
02-22 07:20:52	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a967f…
02-22 07:20:46	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5284fb…
02-22 07:20:40	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3f739c…
02-22 07:20:38	will google have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x07261f…
02-22 07:20:34	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe52b8b…
02-22 07:20:32	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x80b532…
02-22 07:20:30	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42d2ce…
02-22 07:20:26	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe024e…
02-22 07:20:20	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe93800…
02-22 07:20:18	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb203f5…
02-22 07:20:16	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6f7337…