Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?
open
Total volume
$640
$1,580 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$3,709
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 10:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $501 | $501 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $0 | $139 | $138 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $491 | $491 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Median | 1 | — | $40 | $40 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $38 | $38 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | +492 | $485 | $485 | 4 | 05-10 07:32 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 05-10 09:52 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +31 | $0 | $0 | 8 | 05-10 10:05 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 07:24 |
| Exemplary-Coalition 0xe1e5…2b09 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 10:25 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 10:25 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 10:02 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 07:57 |
| Wary-Fog 0x54e0…b02c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 04:02 |
| Disgusting-Jumbo 0x25b8…efb1 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 04:40 |
| Neighboring-Diversity 0xd850…5c18 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 09:57 |
| Bubbly-Orangutan 0xa1e7…fdf4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 10:25:59 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xcb632a… |
| 05-10 10:25:36 | Exemplary-Coalition 0xe1e5…2b09 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x780ec3… |
| 05-10 10:20:14 | Bubbly-Orangutan 0xa1e7…fdf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3ff3ae… |
| 05-10 10:05:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x962e6d… |
| 05-10 10:05:13 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6cc382… |
| 05-10 10:02:29 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4eb6e1… |
| 05-10 10:02:22 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc5adc7… |
| 05-10 09:57:10 | Neighboring-Diversity 0xd850…5c18 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd4c15f… |
| 05-10 09:52:09 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x48741a… |
| 05-10 09:34:51 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x134cdb… |
| 05-10 09:23:31 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcaacbc… |
| 05-10 09:23:24 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5bce4d… |
| 05-10 09:19:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a8319… |
| 05-10 09:19:01 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x782ed3… |
| 05-10 08:09:29 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4be471… |
| 05-10 07:57:40 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xe6d670… |
| 05-10 07:32:27 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x419106… |
| 05-10 07:24:08 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x97d576… |
| 05-10 06:48:43 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x31a5e8… |
| 05-10 04:40:53 | Disgusting-Jumbo 0x25b8…efb1 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3427f3… |
| 05-10 04:02:11 | Wary-Fog 0x54e0…b02c | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe1f070… |
| 05-10 01:48:38 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x7a1b37… |
| 05-10 01:31:25 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 208 | 99¢ | $206 | 0x2f224f… |
| 05-10 01:13:08 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 83 | 98¢ | $81 | 0x3a4773… |
| 05-09 20:49:59 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x601a8a… |