Bubbly-Orangutan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.91K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved

167

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$58.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-31 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

62% 91% -$26,202

Sports

36% 100% +$20,330

Crypto

1% 98% +$21

Politics

0% 0% -$55

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+51	$48	94¢	$48	+$0	10-31 04:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5	2	$21.2K	21,177	21,177	+0	Over	+$20,330	09-27 12:40
will coca cola say low income or lower income during earnings call	5	$13.7K	14,041	14,041	+0	Yes	-$8,937	02-07 15:29
will arthur cazaux win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	3	$8.1K	7,631	7,631	+0	No	-$7,021	03-22 06:08
crint can are 2026 02 13 toss winner	4	$6.1K	5,965	5,965	+0	Canada	-$5,488	02-07 15:25
will chrissy hofbeck be voted off survivor season 50 this week 611	2	$3.3K	3,383	3,383	+0	Yes	-$3,045	04-11 05:25
will there be exactly 4 major space weather events this week 417	2	$1.8K	1,501	1,501	+0	No	-$1,126	04-11 05:21
val jl erah 2026 01 17	2	$1.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	Joblife	-$1,144	01-11 14:42
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 16 be between 2200000 and 2300000	3	$972	4,051	4,051	+0	No	+$486	01-12 13:57
will bitcoin dip to 84k january 5 11	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	01-11 15:18
nflx up or down on january 13 2026	1	$266	0	8,880	-8,880	Up	+$266	01-12 13:52
will daniel crenshaw be the republican nominee for tx 02	4	$208	211	211	+0	No	-$144	02-07 15:22
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	2	$109	88	88	+0	Yes	-$55	04-11 05:16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$48	51	0	+51	open	—	10-31 04:23
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	1	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$0	03-13 14:27
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$33	55	0	+55	Spain	-$33	07-12 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-21 11:31
highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 29c	2	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-21 13:07
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$19	55	0	+55	No	-$19	03-29 15:46
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$17	38	0	+38	No	+$21	03-04 13:30
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	01-21 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-28 14:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-17 11:34
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 380 399	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-14 14:25
will ethereum reach 2700 april 6 12	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-09 13:32
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-07 15:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-07 15:35
Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-07 15:33
bitcoin above 72k on february 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-07 15:33
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-07 15:33
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-14 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:23:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x229b2f…
09-27 12:41:57	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7f3ee3…
09-27 12:41:54	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x999d91…
09-27 12:41:51	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xafb09b…
09-27 12:41:50	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xce60d0…
09-27 12:41:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5ef589…
09-27 12:41:41	will solana dip to 90 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa089c2…
09-27 12:41:38	Will Solana reach $160 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4f5f46…
09-27 12:41:35	Will Solana reach $170 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x31671d…
09-27 12:41:32	Will Solana reach $180 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ca75c…
09-27 12:41:29	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x45b7d4…
09-27 12:41:27	will solana reach 200 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x35ce37…
09-27 12:41:23	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf9fee7…
09-27 12:41:21	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x31da57…
09-27 12:41:18	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51d033…
09-27 12:41:15	Will XRP reach $2.40 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x40fd4b…
09-27 12:41:12	Will XRP reach $2.60 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0d10ea…
09-27 12:41:09	Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe7e8d…
09-27 12:41:06	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc483c1…
09-27 12:41:05	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x086f33…
09-27 12:41:00	will ethereum dip to 2200 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xae507a…
09-27 12:40:57	will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf57349…
09-27 12:40:54	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7a0293…
09-27 12:40:18	Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5	Over	SELL	21,177	98¢	$20,753	0x5c8744…
09-27 12:40:06	Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	21,177	2¢	$424	0xb40050…
07-12 12:56:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xc6eaba…
05-21 11:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9f8839…
05-10 10:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x89f477…
05-10 10:20:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd817c3…
05-10 10:20:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee7f59…
05-10 10:20:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa19ccd…
05-10 10:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23746b…
05-10 10:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5d91fe…
05-10 10:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50adc1…
05-10 10:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcb4e1…
05-10 10:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ff3ae…
05-10 10:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1ccb99…
05-10 10:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x797cb8…
05-10 10:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf51f66…
05-10 10:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3a19b…
04-28 14:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x383dc8…
04-21 13:07:42	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x2d6e93…
04-21 13:07:34	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 25c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa627c5…
04-21 13:07:32	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 26c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d0355…
04-21 13:07:28	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b3d3b…
04-21 13:07:26	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c4b87…
04-21 13:07:24	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x838a46…
04-21 13:07:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 28c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7cfe39…
04-21 13:07:18	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 29c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f05ac…
04-17 11:34:48	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb5f22d…
04-17 11:34:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 420 439	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb69810…
04-17 11:34:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 440 459	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x204be1…
04-17 11:34:34	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x731a62…
04-17 11:34:30	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 480 499	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x027b7f…
04-17 11:34:28	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 500 519	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x824fb6…
04-17 11:34:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb0ac33…
04-17 11:33:58	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 28c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x992e35…
04-17 11:33:56	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 29c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8d5de…
04-17 11:33:54	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a5575…
04-17 11:33:48	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 26c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x991471…
04-17 11:33:44	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 27c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x739c19…
04-17 11:33:42	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 28c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf2c060…
04-17 11:33:38	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84af96…
04-11 05:30:13	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 140 159	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9ccf13…
04-11 05:30:11	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 120 139	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7d1792…
04-11 05:30:03	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b6f4a…
04-11 05:29:59	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 460 479	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b0e30…
04-11 05:29:55	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 480 499	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cd026…
04-11 05:29:47	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 500 519	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf138f…
04-11 05:29:43	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 520 539	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1d481…
04-11 05:29:27	will solana dip to 70 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7dc03a…
04-11 05:29:23	will solana reach 100 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf46eb2…
04-11 05:29:15	will solana reach 110 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5083e7…
04-11 05:25:41	will chrissy hofbeck be voted off survivor season 50 this week 611	No	SELL	3,383	4¢	$135	0x88df7f…
04-11 05:25:21	will chrissy hofbeck be voted off survivor season 50 this week 611	No	BUY	3,383	94¢	$3,180	0xac9654…
04-11 05:22:49	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 29c	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f9905…
04-11 05:22:43	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 28c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x811d5f…
04-11 05:22:39	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 27c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc5179…
04-11 05:22:33	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 26c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85bf40…
04-11 05:22:27	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07d95c…
04-11 05:22:23	highest temperature in singapore on april 13 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0ab122…
04-11 05:22:11	highest temperature in singapore on april 12 2026 28c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf87d51…
04-11 05:22:03	highest temperature in singapore on april 12 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d1b10…
04-11 05:21:57	highest temperature in singapore on april 11 2026 34c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39cdb5…
04-11 05:21:49	highest temperature in singapore on april 11 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10a9de…
04-11 05:21:05	will there be exactly 4 major space weather events this week 417	No	SELL	1,501	21¢	$315	0xc4965b…
04-11 05:20:47	will there be exactly 4 major space weather events this week 417	No	BUY	1,501	96¢	$1,441	0x07f6c2…
04-11 05:16:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	88	31¢	$27	0x92e103…
04-11 05:16:21	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	88	93¢	$82	0x3bfa87…
04-09 13:32:57	will ethereum reach 2700 april 6 12	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee1e2a…
04-09 13:32:51	will ethereum reach 2800 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x424d85…
04-09 13:32:47	will ethereum dip to 1800 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22cb26…
04-09 13:32:45	will ethereum dip to 1700 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51c112…
04-09 13:32:41	will ethereum dip to 1600 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd672c9…
04-09 13:32:39	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3fced3…
04-09 13:32:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7073f3…
04-09 13:32:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 9	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46c5cb…
04-09 13:32:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 9	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e25ac…
04-09 13:31:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 9	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7109e1…
04-09 13:31:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 9	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x75e8b6…