Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 11?
open
Total volume
$657
$1,567 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$5,248
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 14:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $270 | $270 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $8 | $379 | $371 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $150 | $150 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $1 | $330 | $328 |
| Median | 6 | — | $26 | $26 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $42 | $37 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 8 | $1 | $92 | $91 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entire-Foot 0x9006…9fb8 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| Mellow-Coke 0x0477…631c | Yes | +240 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:01 |
| Critical-Beanstalk 0xf626…8a12 | Yes | +226 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:03 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-10 09:09 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +116 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 11:03 |
| Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-10 13:10 |
| Easy-Counselling 0xcaa1…a961 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Cheery-Quit 0xd6be…f675 | Yes | +95 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:57 |
| Dangerous-Heyday 0xa987…dfbd | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 08:52 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-10 09:44 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 10:22 |
| Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 13:11 |
| Inexperienced-Count 0xd160…5424 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-10 08:34 |
| Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| Shoddy-Banking 0xf997…c0fa | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 07:21 |
| Wordy-Secretariat 0x52a9…71a1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 18:51 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 08:53 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 10:22 |
| Likable-Porcelain 0xad74…15c1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:42 |
| Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Noxious-Zucchini 0xf05e…429a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:15 |
| Bubbly-Orangutan 0xa1e7…fdf4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:20 |
| Self-Assured-Contagion 0xb192…e6a8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:01:39 | Mellow-Coke 0x0477…631c | Yes | BUY | 240 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0109da… |
| 05-10 13:11:22 | Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x88e915… |
| 05-10 13:10:41 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x31feec… |
| 05-10 11:56:49 | Entire-Foot 0x9006…9fb8 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x61540b… |
| 05-10 11:03:07 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xddb042… |
| 05-10 10:40:50 | Trim-Option 0x8872…5f19 | Yes | SELL | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c5c6e… |
| 05-10 10:22:59 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x06f74e… |
| 05-10 10:22:59 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8f7411… |
| 05-10 10:20:25 | Bubbly-Orangutan 0xa1e7…fdf4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x23746b… |
| 05-10 10:15:47 | Noxious-Zucchini 0xf05e…429a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x9d20ee… |
| 05-10 09:52:18 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe22e66… |
| 05-10 09:52:18 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32d39b… |
| 05-10 09:52:18 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb85a9e… |
| 05-10 09:44:20 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d0122… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeba102… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x100de2… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa6b84… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5ed70d… |
| 05-10 09:09:38 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x4125b2… |
| 05-10 08:56:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85f4f7… |
| 05-10 08:53:09 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf4d705… |
| 05-10 08:52:51 | Dangerous-Heyday 0xa987…dfbd | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x8ddc07… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec3b41… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb3486… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa8efdd… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x904dc5… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x008442… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ab660… |
| 05-10 08:34:20 | Inexperienced-Count 0xd160…5424 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x4befec… |
| 05-10 08:03:53 | Critical-Beanstalk 0xf626…8a12 | Yes | BUY | 226 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x68548d… |
| 05-10 07:21:34 | Shoddy-Banking 0xf997…c0fa | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x9da1fa… |
| 05-10 06:58:26 | Easy-Counselling 0xcaa1…a961 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x2de093… |
| 05-10 06:58:17 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x270a20… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x840b8c… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb4b57… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa15965… |
| 05-10 06:18:48 | Wordy-Secretariat 0x52a9…71a1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcf8325… |
| 05-10 05:26:56 | Self-Assured-Contagion 0xb192…e6a8 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x61f5c8… |
| 05-09 19:12:52 | Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x7c3dd1… |
| 05-09 19:12:45 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf77e5e… |
| 05-09 19:12:40 | Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xeabecc… |
| 05-09 18:57:19 | Cheery-Quit 0xd6be…f675 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xe08a6e… |
| 05-09 18:56:27 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0c0b5d… |
| 05-09 18:56:27 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x431d2a… |
| 05-09 18:55:11 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7def61… |
| 05-09 18:51:12 | Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcc7d76… |
| 05-09 18:42:44 | Likable-Porcelain 0xad74…15c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca3a1d… |