Favorable-Warfare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

338

Trades

6,316

lifetime

Volume

$149.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-20 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 50% +$1,474

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 540 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl ful tot 2026 03 01 ful	1	$4.9K	5,321	0	+5,321	open	—	03-01 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$3.6K	2,356	2,333	+24	open	—	05-19 12:59
btc updown 5m 1772377200	3	$2.7K	4,967	0	+4,967	open	—	03-01 15:00
btc updown 5m 1772373900	1	$2.7K	2,729	0	+2,729	open	—	03-01 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	76	$2.4K	3,961	0	+3,961	open	—	05-16 03:46
btc updown 5m 1772371800	1	$2.2K	2,715	0	+2,715	open	—	03-01 13:33
btc updown 5m 1772367900	2	$2.0K	3,585	0	+3,585	open	—	03-01 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	118	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-26 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	321	$1.9K	4,842	0	+4,842	Up	+$2,921	05-09 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	80	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-20 07:12
btc updown 5m 1772370300	1	$1.7K	1,969	0	+1,969	open	—	03-01 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	31	$1.7K	3,355	0	+3,355	open	—	04-25 11:54
btc updown 5m 1772419800	3	$1.6K	1,914	0	+1,914	open	—	03-02 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$1.6K	1,294	1,281	+13	open	—	05-29 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$1.6K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	04-29 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,008	998	+10	Down	+$464	05-08 11:09
btc updown 5m 1774263300	10	$1.5K	2,135	0	+2,135	open	—	03-23 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	103	$1.3K	2,560	0	+2,560	Up	$-1,280	05-09 14:36
btc updown 5m 1772367300	64	$1.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-01 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	57	$1.2K	2,605	0	+2,605	open	—	06-01 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$1.2K	784	776	+8	open	—	05-26 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	45	$1.2K	1,980	0	+1,980	open	—	05-21 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$1.2K	781	773	+8	Up	+$317	05-08 15:34
btc updown 15m 1769408100	1	$1.2K	2,283	0	+2,283	open	—	01-26 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$1.2K	1,920	0	+1,920	open	—	05-20 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$1.1K	716	709	+7	Up	+$272	05-13 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	96	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-20 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$1.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-16 03:44
btc updown 5m 1772358900	2	$1.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	open	—	03-01 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$1.0K	682	675	+7	open	—	05-16 03:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 14:43:10	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x89d955…
06-20 14:42:25	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	505	40¢	$200	0xfdaaec…
06-02 02:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x55a663…
06-02 02:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x44fb76…
06-02 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf4d753…
06-02 01:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xe5354a…
06-01 18:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6e5ecf…
06-01 17:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x552356…
06-01 17:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x84be6d…
06-01 17:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	89	25¢	$22	0xf3c3b7…
06-01 16:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x5a1a39…
06-01 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0xe143c2…
06-01 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8dd44b…
06-01 16:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x87dd7d…
06-01 16:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6b195e…
06-01 15:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0f18fb…
06-01 15:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x25e82b…
06-01 15:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x136699…
06-01 15:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x49a771…
06-01 15:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91c954…
06-01 12:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x26ff42…
06-01 12:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xbf69db…
06-01 12:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbdee1a…
06-01 10:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x44e564…
06-01 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf2b27f…
06-01 10:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xda967f…
06-01 10:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3c556b…
06-01 10:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfadeb9…
06-01 10:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf2db3a…
06-01 10:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb3ece1…
06-01 10:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x08c214…
06-01 10:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbffea8…
06-01 10:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xa5d550…
06-01 10:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e67df…
06-01 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9c996…
06-01 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x92be59…
06-01 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x47a584…
06-01 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0f235d…
06-01 10:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xce3b54…
06-01 10:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0xc27bac…
06-01 10:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xae7981…
06-01 10:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0x85f49b…
06-01 10:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0xac26dc…
06-01 09:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0xbe4d6b…
06-01 09:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x67e2f7…
06-01 09:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3eceee…
06-01 09:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xd28e73…
06-01 09:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcb1c1f…
06-01 09:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x867c49…
06-01 09:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x68d87d…
06-01 09:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x1afa23…
06-01 09:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa18c9f…
06-01 09:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x44395a…
06-01 09:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x239ccc…
06-01 09:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x9ea1e6…
06-01 08:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaac5d1…
06-01 08:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3deff7…
06-01 08:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xfab94b…
06-01 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xabd80d…
06-01 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x811f87…
06-01 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6eef0e…
06-01 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2b97f0…
06-01 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1d973e…
06-01 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xd2505c…
06-01 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7feb24…
06-01 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x698f69…
06-01 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe980b8…
06-01 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x8e49a6…
06-01 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x751b20…
06-01 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x74c74c…
06-01 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x510e98…
06-01 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2b9467…
06-01 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x083e69…
06-01 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf013d1…
06-01 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xac8a84…
06-01 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x78d023…
06-01 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x38e268…
06-01 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x245cfe…
06-01 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x0bd9a9…
06-01 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd51ec1…
06-01 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xa882d1…
06-01 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x34b69a…
06-01 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x3038f8…
06-01 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x2f7a84…
06-01 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x0f8ceb…
06-01 08:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x37fa20…
06-01 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa16f70…
06-01 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x645b58…
06-01 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	385	48¢	$185	0x31e360…
06-01 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x777510…
06-01 08:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd9dc1d…
06-01 08:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6c16d2…
06-01 08:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x375bad…
06-01 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x3a2814…
06-01 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5e68a1…
06-01 08:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xf0710d…
06-01 08:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3c77fa…
06-01 08:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xebf44f…
06-01 08:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xd6e2c0…
06-01 08:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x42dc8f…