Favorable-Warfare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$16	29	0	+29	Up	+$13	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$12	8	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x85e701…
05-05 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x622c84…
05-05 11:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3465d1…
05-05 10:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x24ac0f…
05-05 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xacfcf4…
05-05 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x950123…
05-05 08:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x95eb31…
05-05 03:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc31533…
05-05 02:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa21752…
05-05 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x422caa…
05-05 00:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x773cd6…
05-04 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0x9b666f…
05-04 21:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x20dfc7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$2.08K	68	05-05 16:49
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$799	55	05-05 16:47
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$742	51	05-05 16:47
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$570	54	05-05 16:47
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$542	51	05-05 16:47
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$1.19K	40	05-05 16:47
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	9	$646	15	05-05 12:41
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	8	$555	12	05-05 12:40