Realized P&L (7d)
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
69.0%
Resolved (7d)
8
Trades (7d)
8
1,730 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$61
$14.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$251
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 11-11 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
63% 59% -$241
Politics
28% 61% -$94
Sports
7% 49% -$87
Tech
1% 40% -$45
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$7
Crypto
0% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? No +34 $21 66¢ $23 +$1 09-21 12:01
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +33 $22 62¢ $20 -$2 09-26 11:00
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? No +33 $21 60¢ $20 -$1 09-13 21:01
Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? No +28 $12 51¢ $15 +$3 10-07 21:00
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? No +34 $23 37¢ $13 -$10 09-24 10:00
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +33 $22 38¢ $12 -$9 09-25 16:00
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +33 $20 36¢ $12 -$8 10-07 03:00
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? No +12 $6 74¢ $9 +$3 11-02 17:02
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +11 $7 80¢ $8 +$2 11-04 11:02
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? No +12 $6 68¢ $8 +$2 10-31 14:01
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%? No +12 $6 60¢ $7 +$1 10-28 03:01
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +11 $6 64¢ $7 +$1 10-25 23:02
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026? No +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 11-03 01:02
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? No +11 $6 56¢ $6 +$0 10-19 00:02
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase? No +12 $6 50¢ $6 $0 11-07 22:02
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? No +11 $6 56¢ $6 +$0 10-25 23:02
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026? No +12 $6 52¢ $6 $0 11-11 23:02
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026? No +11 $6 55¢ $6 $0 11-11 23:02
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +10 $6 62¢ $6 $0 11-03 01:02
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? No +28 $17 22¢ $6 -$11 10-03 08:22
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? No +12 $6 52¢ $6 $0 11-02 17:02
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? No +12 $6 50¢ $6 -$1 11-07 22:02
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +11 $7 50¢ $6 -$1 11-09 02:02
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase? No +11 $6 48¢ $5 -$1 11-02 17:02
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? No +37 $22 14¢ $5 -$17 09-29 06:00
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? No +12 $6 42¢ $5 -$1 10-19 00:02
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? No +10 $6 49¢ $5 -$1 10-19 00:02
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? No +9 $6 48¢ $4 -$2 10-21 00:03
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? No +11 $6 39¢ $4 -$2 10-19 00:02
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +34 $22 4¢ $1 -$21 09-29 19:00