Gullible-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-07 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$1

Crypto

33% 100% +$1

Politics

19% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bnb reach 1200 in february	2	$229	115	115	+0	No	+$0	02-26 16:00
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	2	$227	117	117	+0	Yes	-$4	02-28 07:09
will lighter reach 4pt50 in january	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	01-30 01:47
solana above 110 on march 3	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	03-02 08:30
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$51	35	17	+18	No	+$0	03-23 10:01
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	03-18 02:13
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$33	23	10	+13	No	+$0	03-23 09:54
will bnb reach 1000 in march	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	03-18 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-07 09:38
highest temperature in wuhan on march 26 2026 19c	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	03-26 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 7?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	05-07 09:39
will solana reach 150 in march 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-23 10:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-07 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-07 09:39
will solana reach 140 in march 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-23 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-07 09:39
highest temperature in beijing on march 26 2026 26c	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-26 09:34
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-30 03:43
will ethereum reach 2400 april 6 12	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-13 01:41
will the price of solana be less than 40 on april 15	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-13 01:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-07 09:41
Will Solana dip to $70 on May 7?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-07 09:42
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-23 10:01
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-30 03:43
will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-30 03:44
highest temperature in chongqing on march 26 2026 25c	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-26 09:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-07 09:41
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-07 09:40
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 15	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-13 01:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 28c	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-13 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 09:42:36	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 7?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd9e21e…
05-07 09:42:22	Will Solana dip to $70 on May 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb7a876…
05-07 09:42:07	Will Solana reach $105 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd9d432…
05-07 09:41:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ce919…
05-07 09:41:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf11e12…
05-07 09:41:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6a405…
05-07 09:40:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d5f01…
05-07 09:40:36	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7765fa…
05-07 09:40:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaaf1c4…
05-07 09:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x078958…
05-07 09:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0a23de…
05-07 09:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x666fae…
05-07 09:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdcbc1f…
04-13 07:50:49	highest temperature in chengdu on april 13 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf05f57…
04-13 07:50:27	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6dbacd…
04-13 07:50:11	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 22c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4fc82f…
04-13 07:49:43	highest temperature in beijing on april 13 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51c002…
04-13 07:48:35	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x02ad5b…
04-13 07:48:19	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xffd3e7…
04-13 07:47:55	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7b431d…
04-13 07:47:37	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 30c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd17f0c…
04-13 07:47:19	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 28c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x50200b…
04-13 07:46:55	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 10c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a9d01…
04-13 07:46:39	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 9c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84a69b…
04-13 07:46:15	highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x666bab…
04-13 07:45:57	highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 19c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa82339…
04-13 01:47:57	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 12	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb92889…
04-13 01:47:27	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on april 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c0d48…
04-13 01:47:17	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1268d7…
04-13 01:47:01	will the price of solana be less than 40 on april 15	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55d496…
04-13 01:46:45	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on april 14	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x485bad…
04-13 01:46:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8534cc…
04-13 01:45:51	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x968aae…
04-13 01:45:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 14	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x152540…
04-13 01:45:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 14	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6c10a9…
04-13 01:45:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 14	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65577c…
04-13 01:44:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcf4b75…
04-13 01:44:31	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xddee84…
04-13 01:44:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc82f77…
04-13 01:43:53	will xauusd reach 4950 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd15a4f…
04-13 01:43:35	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a7c5a…
04-13 01:43:23	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c2a22…
04-13 01:43:11	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeba33e…
04-13 01:42:27	will ethereum dip to 2000 april 6 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02c311…
04-13 01:41:57	will ethereum reach 2400 april 6 12	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c0967…
03-30 03:44:42	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x54ec39…
03-30 03:44:28	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12ecf6…
03-30 03:44:02	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91ce6b…
03-30 03:43:44	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xafb52a…
03-30 03:43:32	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xce6d68…
03-30 03:43:20	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x814c9e…
03-26 09:35:01	highest temperature in chongqing on march 26 2026 25c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5dba48…
03-26 09:34:35	highest temperature in beijing on march 26 2026 26c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9abe27…
03-26 09:34:09	highest temperature in wuhan on march 26 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe44333…
03-26 09:33:53	highest temperature in wuhan on march 26 2026 20c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa1000e…
03-26 09:33:35	highest temperature in wuhan on march 26 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb6d642…
03-23 10:02:01	will solana reach 140 in march 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde8f75…
03-23 10:01:53	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfb496b…
03-23 10:01:37	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e89df…
03-23 10:01:05	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfee2ae…
03-23 09:54:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x637f61…
03-18 02:30:25	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x3d72cc…
03-18 02:29:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x987b77…
03-18 02:29:17	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa1089b…
03-18 02:13:21	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x46aee0…
03-02 08:30:53	solana above 110 on march 3	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x92e39e…
02-28 07:09:59	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	117	95¢	$112	0x785072…
02-28 07:00:55	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0x2abdde…
02-26 16:00:38	will bnb reach 1200 in february	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x6b73cd…
02-07 04:00:59	will bnb reach 1200 in february	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xf2ca02…
01-30 01:47:00	will lighter reach 4pt50 in january	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb07d54…