Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

484

lifetime

Volume

$92.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$190

Open exposure

$643

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

33% 100% +$63

Other

29% 86% +$12

Crypto

28% 86% +$24

Tech

10% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No		+596	$581	100¢	$595	+$14	10-27 09:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+49	$47	98¢	$48	+$1	08-06 12:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	36	$9.4K	4,709	4,709	+0	No	+$7	07-18 09:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	12	$7.1K	3,617	3,617	+0	No	+$9	06-14 21:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	15	$3.9K	2,198	1,708	+490	No	+$3	05-27 13:02
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	30	$3.6K	1,829	1,829	+0	Yes	+$4	06-29 04:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	23	$3.5K	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	10-15 20:10
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	11	$2.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$3	07-27 11:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	14	$2.3K	1,198	1,198	+0	Yes	+$2	04-09 02:08
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	16	$2.3K	1,154	1,154	+0	No	+$3	09-08 08:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	32	$2.3K	1,147	1,147	+0	Yes	+$5	03-26 02:16
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	6	$2.2K	1,169	1,169	+0	No	+$2	08-16 14:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	9	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$7	04-20 14:26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	17	$2.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	No	+$1	07-20 07:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$2.1K	1,094	1,094	+0	No	+$4	03-16 12:16
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	8	$2.1K	1,062	1,062	+0	No	+$2	02-10 16:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	Yes	+$1	02-03 12:52
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	11	$2.1K	1,036	1,036	+0	No	+$1	03-09 03:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	5	$1.8K	1,198	602	+596	open	—	10-27 09:35
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	12	$1.7K	1,171	585	+586	No	+$5	03-27 15:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	18	$1.6K	1,039	759	+279	No	+$37	03-17 17:19
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.3K	640	640	+0	No	+$2	01-21 08:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$1.2K	605	605	+0	No	+$3	04-27 15:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 02:30
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$1.2K	604	604	+0	No	+$1	06-21 16:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	8	$1.2K	608	608	+0	open	—	05-08 09:23
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	4	$1.2K	606	606	+0	No	+$0	05-13 08:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$1.2K	630	630	+0	No	-$14	05-20 14:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	19	$1.2K	606	606	+0	No	+$1	04-15 03:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	23	$1.2K	640	591	+49	open	—	08-06 12:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$1	04-12 22:09
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$1.2K	630	630	+0	open	—	05-17 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:35:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	596	98¢	$583	0x072ed1…
10-27 06:51:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	466	98¢	$457	0x091234…
10-27 06:50:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	136	98¢	$133	0x5b40d1…
10-27 04:05:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0x4053a4…
10-27 03:10:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	466	98¢	$455	0xdd9d71…
10-27 03:03:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	502	99¢	$499	0x575d52…
10-27 01:24:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x96a84f…
10-26 17:59:09	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	590	99¢	$582	0xac8c5e…
10-22 14:14:20	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	585	99¢	$581	0x80b7b4…
10-21 16:36:47	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	585	99¢	$579	0x736372…
10-15 20:10:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	588	99¢	$580	0x494542…
10-14 14:56:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$199	0xf45f3b…
10-14 14:56:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xe69de0…
10-14 14:56:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026	No	BUY	330	99¢	$325	0x6e5ba8…
10-13 05:14:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$55	0xbc1d6b…
10-13 03:20:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x577533…
10-13 03:13:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x7add08…
10-13 03:09:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xf2554b…
10-13 02:59:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xc0f604…
10-13 02:52:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x86d543…
10-13 02:36:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf146e4…
10-13 02:36:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	484	98¢	$477	0x03631e…
10-13 02:13:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeb2c1b…
10-12 23:25:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	590	98¢	$579	0xc56977…
10-09 16:28:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	207	98¢	$204	0xbf11fe…
10-09 15:15:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x2cc865…
10-08 14:16:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x7e2984…
10-08 13:47:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0x71532e…
10-08 02:31:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x083932…
10-07 14:01:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xecd740…
10-07 13:28:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x634c6c…
10-07 13:23:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$91	0xe45b48…
10-07 09:22:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	588	99¢	$580	0x711362…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe277d4…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd732c6…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xcb5e26…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc9f8bb…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa4a674…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	241	99¢	$238	0x6405ad…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x47fbff…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x447f10…
09-08 08:26:42	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x429240…
09-08 07:34:39	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x6ea776…
09-08 07:34:37	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfda704…
09-08 07:05:43	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x509bc6…
09-08 06:46:12	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x2a5c19…
09-07 17:42:46	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	588	98¢	$579	0x82a783…
09-06 14:38:33	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	566	99¢	$558	0xf4f37c…
09-06 13:13:24	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	566	98¢	$557	0x113d2f…
09-06 03:42:24	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	529	100¢	$528	0x33fd98…
08-23 22:20:19	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	529	99¢	$524	0xd170d8…
08-17 05:07:27	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0e1f3e…
08-16 14:05:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	577	96¢	$556	0xc96b8d…
08-16 10:17:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	577	96¢	$554	0x9a7aec…
08-16 06:38:18	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	468	96¢	$451	0x215db9…
08-16 02:23:09	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	124	96¢	$119	0x412f8f…
08-15 16:21:49	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	458	96¢	$441	0x88901f…
08-15 14:13:07	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	134	96¢	$129	0x38d4ea…
08-09 17:25:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	580	98¢	$571	0xb05a77…
08-09 13:26:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	580	98¢	$570	0x215fdf…
08-06 12:04:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xed2ed0…
08-06 11:38:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf006d8…
08-06 11:29:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf1c9d1…
08-06 11:08:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xb44837…
08-06 10:58:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4e9af2…
08-06 10:56:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd7435c…
08-06 10:49:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x530f4d…
08-06 10:46:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x0901e6…
08-06 10:36:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd37965…
08-06 10:05:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x423552…
08-06 10:01:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	286	96¢	$275	0x4f5976…
07-27 12:45:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd67c28…
07-27 12:44:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x517587…
07-27 12:30:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x96d55b…
07-27 12:28:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xacf8e8…
07-27 12:19:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x690eb9…
07-27 12:18:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa80902…
07-27 12:07:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x485a94…
07-27 12:06:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa1333d…
07-27 11:53:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbb7f47…
07-27 11:53:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8cb935…
07-27 11:43:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x942be1…
07-27 11:41:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	586	96¢	$564	0x429a22…
07-27 11:22:09	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x0297b6…
07-27 08:49:00	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	598	98¢	$588	0x945c92…
07-26 23:17:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	625	98¢	$614	0x4c5057…
07-26 09:34:52	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	163	98¢	$160	0x86f298…
07-26 09:31:49	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	213	98¢	$210	0x17611d…
07-26 09:27:52	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	196	98¢	$193	0x671a79…
07-26 09:18:40	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xdbea42…
07-25 22:42:57	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	327	98¢	$321	0xb1b4df…
07-25 19:41:48	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	278	98¢	$273	0x9b8714…
07-25 17:48:33	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x202731…
07-25 17:40:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8b1972…
07-24 04:45:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xb0688c…
07-24 04:15:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9132f…
07-24 04:15:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x10b57e…
07-24 04:15:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7004f2…
07-24 04:15:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8b7c24…
07-24 04:00:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb4f86d…