Recent-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$114

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

219

Trades

1,155

lifetime

Volume

$30.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$125

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-15 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 14% -$7,920

Other

32% 12% -$3,067

Sports

14% 25% -$363

Politics

0% 0% -$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-6,568	-$11	2¢	$-125	-$114	07-10 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$2.0K	20,407	7,000	+13,407	No	-$1,129	07-04 21:26
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	14	$1.5K	6,734	4,687	+2,046	No	-$1,008	07-27 17:29
mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	5	$1.4K	1,344	1,344	+0	USA	+$177	02-22 14:39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	11	$1.4K	9,954	3,499	+6,456	No	-$148	04-23 12:34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	4	$1.2K	729	729	+0	Yes	+$289	07-10 21:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	36	$991	27,433	0	+27,433	No	-$991	04-29 10:08
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$934	23,378	23,378	+0	No	+$142	07-04 18:57
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	16	$764	12,263	8,854	+3,409	No	+$113	03-31 09:29
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	5	$744	6,897	0	+6,897	No	-$744	07-27 17:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$588	24,482	0	+24,482	Yes	-$588	05-30 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:15 UTC	3	$519	308	263	+45	Up	+$3	04-05 09:20
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	7	$495	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$495	07-19 15:55
is earth flat 20260608195956112	17	$488	13,203	13,203	+0	open	—	08-15 11:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?	11	$486	11,251	0	+11,251	No	-$486	04-29 09:26
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	40	$444	30,225	0	+30,225	No	-$444	05-03 07:04
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$427	1,856	1,856	+0	No	+$26	02-15 13:03
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	2	$420	1,325	0	+1,325	Gaethje	+$905	01-21 19:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$410	478	469	+9	Yes	+$259	04-07 23:35
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	22	$378	39,119	100	+39,019	No	-$375	05-11 16:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$378	9,965	9,965	-0	open	—	07-01 11:19
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	2	$345	628	0	+628	No	-$345	07-05 10:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$330	279	279	+0	Yes	$0	07-18 14:43
Will XRP reach $1.50 April 27-May 3?	20	$316	11,510	0	+11,510	No	-$316	05-03 02:20
euroleague efes kaunas 2026 02 06	2	$308	209	209	+0	Anadolu Efes	+$108	02-06 19:29
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$296	423	0	+423	Yes	+$127	06-09 23:57
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	2	$277	311	311	+0	No	-$3	06-14 10:08
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$274	273,560	0	+273,560	No	-$274	07-02 07:42
will xrp reach 1pt4 april 6 12	1	$266	1,479	0	+1,479	No	-$266	04-11 12:12
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	10	$265	4,460	0	+4,460	No	-$265	04-29 07:32
Netanyahu out by May 31?	3	$263	12,056	0	+12,056	No	-$263	05-03 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 11:56:58	is earth flat 20260608195956112	Yes	SELL	819	1¢	$6	0xe4edbf…
08-15 11:56:48	Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0x10a63d…
07-29 07:13:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	735	0¢	$1	0x6ddee7…
07-29 06:29:35	Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?	Yes	BUY	907	9¢	$84	0xf3414d…
07-28 19:46:41	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3,232	1¢	$35	0x49179a…
07-28 19:45:46	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$2	0x4ca335…
07-28 17:11:49	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5151e8…
07-27 17:30:13	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	1,048	7¢	$73	0xcd6d5d…
07-27 17:29:51	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	276	5¢	$14	0xe9ef71…
07-27 17:29:13	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xc7f332…
07-27 17:27:34	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	6,000	1¢	$66	0x01aaa9…
07-26 17:56:58	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	128	13¢	$16	0x276c7c…
07-26 17:56:37	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	2,500	12¢	$300	0x86185c…
07-26 17:38:28	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x1d50e1…
07-26 17:21:49	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	3,182	11¢	$350	0xbf5c4d…
07-26 13:09:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	Yes	BUY	4,225	2¢	$85	0x4565a0…
07-26 13:08:54	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,562	6¢	$96	0x622127…
07-26 12:03:45	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	4,323	3¢	$151	0x02552e…
07-26 12:02:43	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3,125	6¢	$173	0xab2b30…
07-19 15:57:25	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	632	19¢	$120	0xea1c6a…
07-19 15:56:19	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$88	0x2800e9…
07-19 15:55:30	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$117	0x18c709…
07-19 15:54:46	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x80f379…
07-19 15:53:04	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x74f480…
07-19 15:52:42	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	525	19¢	$100	0xe83185…
07-19 15:51:18	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,510	4¢	$60	0x0e8636…
07-18 14:49:30	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4,467	5¢	$241	0x5ddf66…
07-18 14:43:36	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	279	59¢	$165	0x375b82…
07-18 14:43:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	312	33¢	$103	0xdcdb34…
07-18 14:30:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	279	59¢	$165	0xb89a0d…
07-18 14:29:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	312	34¢	$106	0xf029a8…
07-18 14:26:54	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe3d94c…
07-18 14:25:01	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd2a75a…
07-18 13:50:46	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x9e5b25…
07-18 13:49:57	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xd38dd1…
07-18 13:49:57	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc39640…
07-18 13:43:34	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	961	16¢	$156	0x6a9cf1…
07-18 13:43:09	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	350	16¢	$56	0x270198…
07-18 13:42:39	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x4328ae…
07-17 11:39:36	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	655	11¢	$72	0x89dbfb…
07-17 11:39:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$80	0x3a2533…
07-15 10:24:28	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	347	35¢	$122	0xace432…
07-15 10:20:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	925	27¢	$250	0x570927…
07-15 10:12:52	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0xd5ddf9…
07-15 10:10:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$95	0x128eae…
07-11 03:29:34	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	580	25¢	$145	0xa64731…
07-11 03:05:28	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	603	25¢	$151	0x40d4fb…
07-11 01:37:05	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x029367…
07-11 01:34:56	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	960	2¢	$15	0x300cf0…
07-11 01:33:47	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x6732d3…
07-11 01:32:43	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x5a9d64…
07-11 01:31:35	will xrp dip to 1 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0xc7e365…
07-11 01:31:31	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x8e44da…
07-11 01:30:29	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x162fa5…
07-11 01:29:34	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1c3858…
07-11 01:28:31	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x64156a…
07-11 01:27:11	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x61d980…
07-11 01:26:22	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3ea441…
07-11 01:25:31	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x7cd81b…
07-11 01:24:22	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xe53e0c…
07-11 01:22:28	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x43fbc7…
07-11 01:15:37	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x2e7af2…
07-11 01:13:05	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xd26b92…
07-11 01:12:16	will xrp reach 1pt3 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfde3dc…
07-11 01:11:11	will xrp reach 1pt3 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xf1944a…
07-11 01:10:04	will xrp reach 1pt3 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9ce676…
07-11 01:03:19	will xrp reach 1pt3 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	960	1¢	$12	0xffca12…
07-10 23:42:46	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2ccd8d…
07-10 23:42:34	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	991	1¢	$11	0x26f607…
07-10 23:33:52	will xrp reach 1pt3 july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	999	1¢	$11	0xce8901…
07-10 23:08:10	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2e4ce2…
07-10 23:07:43	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	957	10¢	$96	0xc1923e…
07-10 21:56:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	211	24¢	$50	0x7c11f0…
07-10 21:39:16	is earth flat 20260608195956112	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x83edd8…
07-10 21:31:34	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	600	10¢	$60	0xf29748…
07-10 21:25:16	is earth flat 20260608195956112	Yes	BUY	501	1¢	$5	0x6a7281…
07-10 21:09:55	is earth flat 20260608195956112	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x627888…
07-10 21:08:49	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	729	100¢	$728	0x8a61b2…
07-10 15:32:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	91	61¢	$56	0x4a425f…
07-10 15:30:35	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,568	0¢	$11	0x07977b…
07-10 15:30:11	is earth flat 20260608195956112	Yes	SELL	6,437	1¢	$49	0xaf11a0…
07-10 11:55:38	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	138	60¢	$83	0x72e950…
07-10 11:54:37	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xdce107…
07-10 09:27:23	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,400	12¢	$168	0x143027…
07-10 03:10:41	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,000	2¢	$57	0x701516…
07-10 03:10:28	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,727	2¢	$57	0x408405…
07-10 03:10:20	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,017	6¢	$59	0xad0a2f…
07-09 23:16:20	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,017	6¢	$60	0xba75d2…
07-09 23:16:13	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,727	2¢	$60	0x6d7e3c…
07-09 23:16:07	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$60	0x8b57bd…
07-05 10:02:46	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	357	55¢	$196	0x3ebc39…
07-05 09:44:43	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	271	55¢	$149	0x1c61a9…
07-04 21:26:13	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$58	0xf7e217…
07-04 20:56:50	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$59	0xd5cf9e…
07-04 20:15:19	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	885	6¢	$53	0x29064b…
07-04 20:11:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$7	0x6904a4…
07-04 18:57:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23,378	2¢	$538	0xec5e54…
07-04 17:54:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23,378	2¢	$396	0x858240…
07-04 17:54:17	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,000	6¢	$420	0xb68035…
07-02 07:42:46	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	93,560	0¢	$94	0x3bdcc7…