Even-Bran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-06 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

91% 67% $0

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% 0% -$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	10-06 05:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	2	$841	460	460	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 06:53
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$594	323	323	+0	No	+$0	05-25 05:33
fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 spread home 2pt5	1	$386	402	0	+402	SC Bastia	+$16	04-24 07:03
tur riz gfk 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	1	$371	399	0	+399	Çaykur Rizespor	+$28	04-13 06:28
lal mal val 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	1	$366	385	0	+385	Valencia CF	+$19	04-21 08:45
epl not ast 2026 04 12 spread home 2pt5	1	$355	374	0	+374	Aston Villa FC	+$19	04-12 06:25
Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)	1	$321	338	0	+338	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	+$17	05-25 05:35
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	3	$141	910	910	+0	open	—	05-24 06:53
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	3	$123	880	880	+0	No	+$0	06-06 07:12
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	3	$117	870	870	+0	open	—	05-22 05:12
fif eth mal1 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	2	$57	956	0	+956	Malawi	-$57	06-06 07:19
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)	2	$52	866	0	+866	Atalanta BC	-$52	05-22 05:23
Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)	2	$50	992	0	+992	US Sassuolo Calcio	-$50	05-24 06:56
US military draft authorized in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-06 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:31:51	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x38240b…
07-06 06:53:53	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	460	92¢	$422	0x082fe8…
07-06 06:04:08	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	460	91¢	$420	0xb6c064…
06-06 07:19:15	fif eth mal1 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	Ethiopia	BUY	470	6¢	$28	0xfd9262…
06-06 07:19:12	fif eth mal1 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	Ethiopia	BUY	486	6¢	$29	0xc86c8d…
06-06 07:12:24	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	SELL	880	7¢	$62	0x6eedc5…
06-06 06:23:28	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	410	7¢	$29	0xbcbc06…
06-06 06:23:25	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	470	7¢	$33	0x0cfd8e…
05-25 05:35:16	Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	BUY	338	95¢	$321	0x0c3ba3…
05-25 05:33:33	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	323	92¢	$297	0x0c8a99…
05-25 03:30:56	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	323	92¢	$297	0x2eca01…
05-24 06:56:15	Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)	Parma Calcio 1913	BUY	517	5¢	$26	0xd71d1e…
05-24 06:56:15	Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)	Parma Calcio 1913	BUY	475	5¢	$24	0xb8dcd1…
05-24 06:53:39	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	Yes	SELL	910	8¢	$70	0xcdb12a…
05-24 05:22:27	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	Yes	BUY	490	8¢	$38	0xd92941…
05-24 05:22:25	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	Yes	BUY	420	8¢	$33	0x14c32f…
05-22 05:23:17	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	376	6¢	$23	0x6c9b1f…
05-22 05:23:12	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	490	6¢	$29	0x2010ab…
05-22 05:12:14	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	870	7¢	$58	0x20ec76…
05-22 02:40:46	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	497	7¢	$33	0x946276…
05-22 02:40:43	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	373	7¢	$25	0x08ed62…
04-24 07:03:08	fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 spread home 2pt5	SC Bastia	BUY	402	96¢	$386	0x152089…
04-21 08:45:24	lal mal val 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	Valencia CF	BUY	385	95¢	$366	0xf38d61…
04-13 06:28:59	tur riz gfk 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	399	93¢	$371	0x0b51d4…
04-12 06:25:35	epl not ast 2026 04 12 spread home 2pt5	Aston Villa FC	BUY	374	95¢	$355	0xa07dc6…