(anonymous) 0x3b83fb…4990f1 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$41
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
36
Trades
45
lifetime
Volume
$344
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$30
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-25 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
43% 67% +$30
Politics
23% 55% -$10
Crypto
18% 60% +$44
Sports
13% 25% -$17
Tech
3% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +20 $5 32¢ $6 +$2 10-18 23:57
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +9 $5 66¢ $6 +$1 10-18 23:38
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-18 23:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +29 $5 17¢ $5 +$0 10-04 16:18
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-22 10:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +11 $5 23¢ $3 -$2 10-18 23:46