Merry-Chivalry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$198

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-19 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

58% 75% +$35

Crypto

20% 100% +$30

Sports

14% — —

Tech

7% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	No	-20	-$20	98¢	$-20	+$0	06-30 13:15
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	-11	-$10	90¢	$-10	$0	07-12 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+10	$2	90¢	$9	+$7	06-28 20:23
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+100	$4	3¢	$3	-$1	06-02 18:56
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	+20	$2	8¢	$2	-$1	06-23 09:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	+10	$4	10¢	$1	-$3	06-19 20:39
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	+50	$6	2¢	$1	-$5	06-01 17:45
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+100	$7	1¢	$1	-$6	06-02 18:57
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	4¢	$0	-$1	06-01 17:45
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-23	-$7	1¢	$-0	+$7	05-08 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 17:47:25	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x2bacc8…
08-07 23:29:51	Epstein storage units raided in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x7246f5…
07-12 16:22:05	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x281e50…
07-03 09:15:13	Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xa954c1…
06-30 13:15:13	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0ddd71…
06-30 12:48:05	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x05299e…
06-30 11:46:53	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8f1de8…
06-30 11:22:55	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x0cece5…
06-28 20:23:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x63d613…
06-23 09:53:47	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2cc463…
06-21 23:09:47	Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x210cfe…
06-19 20:39:04	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xdaa666…
06-19 20:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x453315…
06-02 18:57:26	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb3890c…
06-02 18:57:02	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb90118…
06-02 18:56:46	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0f55b1…
06-01 17:47:39	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x7a9df8…
06-01 17:45:51	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xbc0c0b…
06-01 17:45:30	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb98a54…
06-01 17:44:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x77978f…
06-01 17:41:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfe7d2a…
05-31 23:27:57	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xe98e26…
05-30 19:05:33	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x40810d…
05-29 17:16:43	Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xfdaf73…
05-29 17:01:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb66698…
05-29 15:57:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x11c801…
05-10 00:57:40	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xa1f829…
05-09 14:21:08	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x921522…
05-09 13:30:06	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf6e955…
05-09 02:28:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0x96ace2…
05-08 23:35:07	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x1a0013…
05-08 21:08:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x6e551d…
03-20 17:22:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4f3df2…
03-01 23:00:51	nothing ever happens interest rates	No	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0x9218c2…
03-01 22:57:03	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x246f61…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$40	42	42	+0	Yes	+$30	05-09 02:28
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	06-30 13:15
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	4	$17	0	40	-40	Yes	+$17	05-10 00:57
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$16	100	100	+0	open	—	08-19 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$11	20	0	+20	No	+$9	05-29 15:57
nothing ever happens interest rates	1	$11	122	0	+122	Yes	-$11	03-01 23:00
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	07-12 16:22
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	2	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	05-31 23:27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$7	0	23	-23	open	—	05-08 21:08
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$7	100	0	+100	open	—	06-02 18:57
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$6	20	0	+20	Yes	+$14	05-29 17:01
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	1	$6	50	0	+50	open	—	06-01 17:45
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 17:47
Canada recession before 2027?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$7	03-01 22:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	06-01 17:41
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$4	100	0	+100	open	—	06-02 18:56
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-19 20:39
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	3	$3	50	0	+50	open	—	07-03 09:15
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	1	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	+$7	06-01 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	06-19 20:32
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	06-23 09:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-28 20:23
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 17:45
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?	1	$1	0	5	-5	open	—	08-07 23:29