Unrealistic-Situation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$622

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

2,428

Trades

4,119

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-27 06:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 65% -$476

Other

8% 79% -$170

Sports

1% 94% +$26

Politics

1% 38% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	1	$120	123	0	+123	Yes	+$3	07-24 16:56
bitcoin above 76k on september 2 2026	3	$113	89	46	+43	Yes	-$1	09-01 21:44
bitcoin above 64k on july 23 2026	1	$112	116	0	+116	Yes	+$4	07-22 20:48
bitcoin above 62k on july 29 2026	1	$107	110	0	+110	Yes	+$3	07-27 19:57
bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	1	$106	108	0	+108	Yes	+$2	07-23 17:25
bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	1	$105	108	0	+108	Yes	+$3	07-25 23:15
bitcoin above 64k on july 22 2026	2	$90	94	0	+94	Yes	+$4	07-21 16:39
bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	1	$85	89	0	+89	Yes	+$4	07-12 14:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?	2	$77	46	46	+0	No	-$8	09-03 12:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?	2	$76	46	46	+0	Yes	-$8	09-03 14:27
bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	1	$70	92	0	+92	No	-$70	07-16 15:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$66	37	37	+0	Down	-$1	05-15 14:28
bitcoin above 64k on july 12 2026	2	$62	61	61	+0	Yes	+$22	07-12 09:21
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner	2	$60	44	44	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$11	05-21 11:35
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	2	$59	60	60	+0	PlayTime	+$9	05-21 11:42
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$58	35	35	+0	Thunder	+$8	05-21 02:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	14	$54	139	128	+11	Yes	+$6	05-18 18:15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	3	$50	103	0	+103	Team Spirit	-$50	05-21 20:05
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	9	$45	119	30	+88	No	-$5	05-17 23:47
bitcoin above 76k on september 1 2026	1	$43	44	0	+44	Yes	+$1	08-31 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:20 UTC	2	$42	28	27	+0	Up	+$13	03-30 14:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	7	$41	116	95	+22	No	+$1	05-18 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	16	$35	65	0	+65	Down	$0	09-06 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	24	$35	74	0	+74	Down	-$1	09-06 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	16	$35	75	0	+75	Down	+$0	09-06 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	14	$35	65	0	+65	Down	-$5	09-06 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	21	$35	70	0	+70	Up	$0	09-06 14:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	6	$35	58	58	+0	No	+$5	05-19 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	17	$35	73	0	+73	Down	-$1	09-06 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	19	$35	77	0	+77	Down	+$5	09-06 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa22727…
10-27 06:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xf0948f…
10-27 06:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x84c321…
10-27 01:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xef9afb…
10-27 01:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb721cd…
10-26 23:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xc97462…
10-26 23:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7ac9ea…
10-26 23:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xec9874…
10-26 22:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2dc716…
10-26 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8d8778…
10-26 21:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x073a87…
10-26 21:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd6229f…
10-26 20:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x982dc4…
10-26 20:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6e098c…
10-26 19:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7d7f6d…
10-26 19:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdd9bf7…
10-26 18:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x063fde…
10-26 18:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x903e30…
10-26 18:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x08f874…
10-26 18:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xade06e…
10-26 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe31355…
10-26 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x6cbdc6…
10-26 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x203900…
10-26 15:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xa584f0…
10-26 15:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x83882e…
10-26 15:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xcba128…
10-26 15:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3bfd83…
10-26 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x965828…
10-26 15:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc78543…
10-26 11:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0278a9…
10-26 11:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4a48f1…
10-26 11:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdc728b…
10-26 10:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x86942a…
10-26 10:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x77b293…
10-26 10:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe84036…
10-26 10:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xac63fb…
10-26 10:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1d6486…
10-26 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf18afb…
10-26 09:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x882776…
10-26 09:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x968107…
10-26 09:04:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x56a1eb…
10-26 08:43:18	Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xfd4cb9…
10-26 03:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x43a85b…
10-26 03:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5d8ca0…
10-26 03:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x255698…
10-26 02:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x2d97c3…
10-26 02:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x10a89b…
10-26 01:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4c734…
10-26 01:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xea1404…
10-26 01:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8224e1…
10-26 00:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa8f07e…
10-25 23:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa68b52…
10-25 23:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8df543…
10-25 23:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6391a…
10-25 23:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdfa236…
10-25 22:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1e4c87…
10-25 22:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x60c909…
10-25 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xede7d9…
10-25 22:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfee6f8…
10-25 21:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5331db…
10-25 21:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf153d2…
10-25 21:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x562127…
10-25 20:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdb3bf9…
10-25 20:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x513505…
10-25 20:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd68ff6…
10-25 20:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x819d5a…
10-25 19:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7d915c…
10-25 19:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7da75c…
10-25 19:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x166d4f…
10-25 18:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x213913…
10-25 18:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf0c7d5…
10-25 17:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x685236…
10-25 17:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x92aaa2…
10-25 17:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3e61fb…
10-25 16:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x094de6…
10-25 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xfb735f…
10-25 16:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1dfd0…
10-25 16:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6450ff…
10-25 15:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4ad4f4…
10-25 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3471b7…
10-25 15:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf9f1f4…
10-25 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x441dfb…
10-25 14:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x64d36d…
10-25 14:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x813400…
10-25 13:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xea56ae…
10-25 12:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8bb9d9…
10-25 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfc39f…
10-25 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdec763…
10-25 11:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2c575a…
10-25 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4bbbe…
10-25 11:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76800c…
10-25 10:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3a2317…
10-25 10:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x30123d…
10-25 09:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a3100…
10-25 09:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3b27cd…
10-25 09:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2d8562…
10-25 09:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe3a041…
10-25 08:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x274faf…
10-25 08:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb2a613…
10-25 07:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x567b21…