Neighboring-Advocacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

3,844

Trades

7,846

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-30 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 56% -$220

Other

12% 48% -$656

Politics

9% 29% -$52

Sports

1% 67% -$10

Tech

0% 0% -$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+50	$49	100¢	$50	+$1	06-18 03:31
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+50	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-18 03:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	26	$946	1,721	1,721	+0	Yes	-$163	06-21 03:25
dota2 spirit1 hive1 2026 06 19	11	$686	639	639	+0	Hive	+$133	06-19 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	29	$607	685	565	+120	No	+$192	06-20 00:20
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	7	$434	607	159	+449	Spirit	-$306	06-19 15:53
dota2 roar clo 2026 06 16	17	$305	858	141	+717	Cloud Rising	-$158	06-16 07:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12	$287	272	272	+0	open	—	06-20 00:35
dota2 vpp z10 2026 06 19	2	$221	121	121	+0	Zero Tenacity	+$21	06-19 15:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$209	220	220	+0	open	—	06-20 08:44
val edg1 lev1 2026 06 20	6	$199	647	0	+647	Leviatán Esports	-$199	06-20 07:00
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$182	100	100	+0	Yes	+$18	06-17 03:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$169	280	280	+0	No	+$33	06-19 01:10
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	7	$168	296	296	+0	No	-$31	06-18 11:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$149	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-18 23:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:15 UTC	26	$130	153	153	+0	Up	-$30	07-30 02:27
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	2	$126	89	89	+0	No	+$27	06-21 02:48
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	10	$124	919	0	+919	No	-$124	06-26 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 05:15 UTC	8	$112	155	155	+0	Down	+$32	06-25 05:20
itf delaney kawanis 2026 06 16	2	$103	53	53	+0	Jake Delaney	+$3	06-16 06:19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$101	102	102	+0	Yes	-$1	06-18 23:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	06-18 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 08:05 UTC	6	$98	87	87	-0	Up	-$2	07-03 08:09
cs2 sashi kol 2026 06 19	5	$96	75	75	+0	KOLESIE	+$16	06-19 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	13	$96	64	64	+0	Up	-$4	10-27 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 06:00 UTC	8	$95	72	72	+0	Down	+$15	07-28 06:13
starmer out by june 24 2026	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$8	06-22 08:57
wta marcink hennema 2026 06 03	2	$91	51	51	+0	Petra Marcinko	+$11	06-04 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:55 UTC	3	$89	60	60	+0	Down	+$29	07-06 17:59
cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18	5	$86	101	77	+24	FURIA	-$22	06-18 19:53
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	2	$84	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	06-20 00:33
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	4	$83	55	55	+0	Knicks	+$27	06-04 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3a3f85…
10-30 03:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd73a9a…
10-30 03:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf99ee4…
10-30 03:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x35f526…
10-30 03:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8e877a…
10-30 03:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x102575…
10-30 02:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0a7870…
10-30 02:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x2a6766…
10-30 02:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x06f4d1…
10-30 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xafc8c7…
10-30 02:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9e90b3…
10-30 02:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1dc75e…
10-30 01:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xadf002…
10-30 01:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x95d658…
10-30 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xa90dff…
10-30 01:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x640ab4…
10-30 01:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xb74237…
10-30 01:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x7677d9…
10-30 01:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4fedc8…
10-30 01:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc8ad26…
10-30 01:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x510c9a…
10-30 01:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x5005aa…
10-30 01:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1b8f69…
10-30 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x670aa6…
10-30 00:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xbed42c…
10-30 00:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x320336…
10-30 00:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xc65732…
10-30 00:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6b7bfa…
10-30 00:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x0c540a…
10-30 00:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8617cd…
10-30 00:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x7ae77a…
10-30 00:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd8523c…
10-30 00:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x1a5417…
10-30 00:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x201a1a…
10-30 00:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x33786f…
10-30 00:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x683963…
10-29 23:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xdaffdc…
10-29 23:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xdca67c…
10-29 23:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2c6453…
10-29 23:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xfaf029…
10-29 23:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x0242b1…
10-29 23:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x98ca4a…
10-29 23:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6ae932…
10-29 23:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc40bbf…
10-29 23:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x083115…
10-29 23:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xb4512c…
10-29 23:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe1a8ed…
10-29 22:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x3dcd72…
10-29 22:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x142490…
10-29 22:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x674120…
10-29 22:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7c83e4…
10-29 22:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x1e7447…
10-29 22:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x6b5b70…
10-29 17:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x8b6afc…
10-29 17:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xe7764e…
10-29 17:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xeff856…
10-29 17:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xd685b6…
10-29 17:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xe9a2d1…
10-29 16:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xbe6435…
10-29 16:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xa975d9…
10-29 16:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x016efc…
10-29 16:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xe55184…
10-29 16:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x70a81c…
10-29 16:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x8bd9cf…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb1c838…
10-29 16:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa4ae8b…
10-29 16:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x94ea29…
10-29 16:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb871e6…
10-29 16:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x35c026…
10-29 16:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xad065d…
10-29 16:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xce9aeb…
10-29 16:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa12aff…
10-29 16:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xf83120…
10-29 16:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x41f70c…
10-29 16:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xe21d75…
10-29 15:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa3c8f6…
10-29 15:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3e00d8…
10-29 15:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7300f6…
10-29 15:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x9a8fdb…
10-29 15:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xe7f400…
10-29 15:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xaee0df…
10-29 15:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xba7ff9…
10-29 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaa7049…
10-29 15:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x8f2904…
10-29 15:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xab151c…
10-29 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xec1d02…
10-29 14:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x2e88c4…
10-29 14:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x560341…
10-29 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8f88c2…
10-29 14:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x350ac1…
10-29 14:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x9bee08…
10-29 14:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x2d45e4…
10-29 14:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x0e5b4b…
10-29 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6aef27…
10-29 14:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2b33f2…
10-29 14:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf79107…
10-29 14:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x676a23…
10-29 14:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xae2238…
10-29 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xca3268…
10-29 14:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x331d3f…